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Soccer Betting

Started by Joshua Garcia8 · · 👁 80 views · 1.4K replies

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Participants Joshua Garcia8wiredcanyon39vividwalker7Laura Morris4Carol Moore5Richard Young10Christian Morales40James Taylor3Timothy Flores3Ethan Jones5Ronald Hayes5Hannah Collins2Bryan Adams6Adam Williams2Linda Newman3Grace Smith3briskbison66Andrew Hall46Andrew Cruz86Jason Nguyen2Jason Patel34boldrangerThomas Patel69Scott Hayes6 …
Casey White13 Casey White13 Active Member
191 messages
joined Jul 2009
#701 ·
Here’s what you asked for, Eric Fox7 😁

St Pat's 1 širok - St Pat's 1

St Pat's 1 širok needs to actually show up in Europe after that total embarrassment against Olimpija last time. They’ve beefed up the squad and looked solid in preseason—plus, they're at home. In European play, they usually only stumble against absolute giants like Beşiktaş or Hapoel, yet somehow they drew the toughest seed in their group.

The Irish side looked completely lost against IBV last round—just struggling to find any rhythm at all—with only 5 wins in their last 12 matches. Their only saving grace is that they're match-fit, but honestly, that won't save them tonight playing in that intense heat.

The odds are too good to pass up.

Rosenborg - some Kazakh club hend 0-1 1

I don't think there's much point in overanalyzing this one. Rosenborg always takes Europe seriously, especially when they're facing a debutant. It's their first home game and they'll be looking to wrap this up early—they'll probably just send a B-team for the away leg. I'm calling it a 5-0.
Kate Sanchez Kate Sanchez Newcomer
4 messages
joined May 2013
#702 ·
Just jumping in here to build on what Casey White13 said... though this is strictly my own take: I’d stay far away from any "sure things" today. If you're looking for something slightly more reliable, maybe Donetsk against Niksic—since they're basically just coming up from the lower leagues—or that Rosenborg match, or even Mlad Boleslav against that Icelandic second-division side. I doubt Bohemians will pull that same stunt twice.
Everything else is honestly garbage; you've gotta hunt for those upsets or higher odds. Take Levadia playing at home against Anorthosis, Gomelj away at Renova, or Soligorsk at home against Ried - Levadia. Gomelj, Soligorsk—they're all in mid-season rhythm and aren't exactly pushovers either... Or, you could just swing for some high-odds teams and bet they'll manage to find the back of the net at least once—think Hafnarfjordur, Plovdiv, or Senica.
Look, I'm not saying I'm actually putting money on all this or that it's a guaranteed lock, I'm just laying out how I'm seeing things.
Kate Sanchez Kate Sanchez Newcomer
4 messages
joined May 2013
#703 ·
Just a quick heads-up, some clubs end up playing at neutral venues because their own stadiums don't meet regulations or whatever, so they aren't actually on home turf. Sometimes it's just a different stadium in the same city, but honestly, 90% of the time they’re playing in a completely different city altogether.
From today's slate, we've got:
Naftan - Zvezda
Anzhi - Honved
Plovdiv - Vitesse
Renova - Gomelj
Metalurg Rustavi - Plzen
Bnei Yehuda - Shirak
Differdange - Gent
Mura - CSKA Sofija
Maccabi Netanya - KuPS Kuopio
stormyharbor13 stormyharbor13 Member
43 messages
joined Jul 2012
#704 ·
Here is my proposal:

Široki - St Pat's 1/1 I believe Široki is the significantly better side here. The Americans might be tough, but that's about it.
I expect Široki to press from the opening whistle to try and break them early. Since I’m looking at the handicap, I anticipate they'll have them on the ropes within the first 45 minutes.
If the visitors intend to make an impact, teams of this caliber usually need a multi-goal margin, especially considering how much St Pat's struggled against semi-pros in the last round.
Hajduk - Skonto skonto ndg I think even if Hajduk looks unconvincing or perhaps a bit weak, they won't allow an upset here.
I’m not expecting a masterclass from them, just a cautious, maybe minimal victory with a clean sheet.
Regardless of how Hajduk performs on the pitch, I doubt they'll give this opposition any real openings.
The only edge Skonto has is being mid-season and in full rhythm, but I suspect Hadjuk is still too much for them to realistically threaten.
Naftan - Zvezda cz over 2.5 goals Naftan is sitting at the bottom of the table and struggles to find the net; before the last round, they went five consecutive league matches without scoring.
It seems more important for them to secure survival right now than to chase a spot in Europe, where they know they lack any real chance of success. Plus, they are reportedly missing three key players today.
Zvezda enters the new season with plenty of confidence and motivation, and Prosinečki is clearly eager to prove himself. This opening match sets the tone, so despite any potential pressure or tension, I believe they can muscle their way through for at least two goals before potentially dominating the return leg.

Rosenborg - Odrabasy f2 Rosenborg won't be taking it easy. They plan to settle this immediately, likely because they learned the hard way after previous home blunders left them struggling in away legs.
Odrabasy knocked out Jagodin, but I suspect that was their limit.
Rosenborg should probably put at least three past them today, and I don't see them conceding two.

Aarhus - Dila Gori f2 Aarhus is a solid club, and what I like about the Americans is that they don't play conservatively; they go for goals. If they can score six, they won't stop at two. It's a well-organized league with good clubs.
Dila Gori is an interesting unknown, but I'm predicting a total collapse for them today.

It’s a decent set of odds when you multiply them together.
Kate Sanchez Kate Sanchez Newcomer
4 messages
joined May 2013
#705 ·
stormyharbor13 said:Here’s my take:

St Pat's 1 širok 1/1
Look, I’m calling it—Široki is way better than them. Those Irish guys might play tough, but that's about it.
I’m betting Široki comes out swinging from the jump to break their spirit early. Since I'm looking at a handicap win, I expect them to tear through them in the first 45 minutes.
If they actually want to make an impact, teams like this have to close it out by a couple of goals, especially after seeing how much St Pat's struggled against those semi-pros last round.
Hajduk - Skonto skonto ndg
Even if Hajduk looks unconvincing or a bit shaky right now, I don't see them letting an upset happen here.
I’m not expecting some beautiful masterclass from them, just a cautious, grind-it-out win where they keep a clean sheet.
No matter how bad Hajduk plays on the pitch, I seriously doubt they’ll give these guys even one decent chance.
Skonto’s only edge is that they're mid-season and in rhythm, but honestly? I think Hajduk is still too big of a mouthful for them to actually threaten.
Naftan - Zvezda cz over 2.5 goals
Naftan is sitting at the bottom of the table and they can't score to save their lives; before the last round, they went five straight league games without finding the back of the net.
At this point, I think survival is more important to them than marching toward Europe, since they know they don't stand a chance at anything bigger anyway, plus word is they're missing three key players today.
Zvezda is heading into the new season full of confidence and hunger, and Prosinečki is absolutely dying to prove himself. This opener is huge for momentum, so despite the inevitable pressure and nerves, I think they'll just muscle their way to two goals and then serve up a feast in the second half.

I definitely don't agree with that... For clubs like these, Europe is all about the money. And hey, if they somehow bypass Zvezda and land an attractive opponent later on, that’s even more cash in the bank. They aren't Premier League giants or anything, so in this day and age, every single dollar counts.🙂 I mean, sure, Zvezda clearly has the advantage... I'm just talking about this opening stretch.
Thomas Stewart87 Thomas Stewart87 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Aug 2022
#706 ·
stormyharbor13 said:Here’s my take on this:

Hajduk - Skonto skonto ndg I suspect that Hajduk, regardless of how unconvincing or perhaps even lackluster they might seem, isn't going to let an upset happen here.
I’m not expecting any kind of masterpiece from them, but I’ll stay cautious—maybe a narrow win with a clean sheet.
No matter how they perform on the pitch, I highly doubt they’ll give this side even one decent scoring opportunity.
The only edge Skonto has is that their season is in full swing, but I still think Hajduk is just too big of a challenge for them to truly threaten.

Rosenborg - Ordabasy f2 There’s no room for complacency with Rosenborg; they want to settle this right now. They learned their lesson after getting burned previously by dropping points at home and then finding it impossible to recover during away trips.
Ordabasy knocked out Jagodina, but I honestly feel that was about as much as they could muster.
Rosenborg really needs to put at least three goals in the net today, though I don't see them conceding two.

To me, this feels like you're just being superstitious about Hajduk and betting solely on the club's reputation... if you can actually list the starting eleven for Hajduk and their recent experience... if you aren't expecting a masterclass and you're already leaning toward low odds, it seems smarter to just take under 3.5 goals at 1.40.

edit: my bad, I thought you were betting on a Hajduk win, but either way, given how disciplined Hajduk's defense has been lately, a miracle would be needed for them to concede.

What's with everyone piling onto Rosenborg today?🙂
stormyharbor13 stormyharbor13 Member
43 messages
joined Jul 2012
#707 ·
Thomas Stewart87 said:I call this betting on the Hajduk name rather than the actual team... just list the starting eleven for Hajduk and their recent experience if you think that's a thing. If you aren't expecting a blowout and are already looking at small odds, I guess it might be smarter to take under 3.5 goals @ 1.40

edit: my mistake, I thought you were betting on an outright win for Hajduk, but regardless, given how cohesive the Hajduk defense looks, it would take a miracle for them not to concede a goal

Why is everyone piling onto Rosenborg today? 🙂

It's precisely because Hajduk inspires zero confidence in me—and I suspect they know it themselves—that I expect them to play extremely cautiously. In that case, a 0-0 finish seems more likely than a 1-1 draw 🙂
As for the starting lineup, I don't know it, nor do I care 😉
And Rosenborg... well, it's just a hunch. They need to return to their former glory, and besides, there isn't much riding on this one, just a suggestion 🙂
Bryan Adams6 Bryan Adams6 Active Member
80 messages
joined Jul 2012
#708 ·
I can't be bothered to go look it up right now, but didn't Rosenborg get knocked out by some club from Kazakhstan last season when things were just as dead as this?🤷

My bad, I messed up.🙈 They actually got bounced by a Cypriot side in the final round of qualifiers.
Charles Thomas43 Charles Thomas43 Newcomer
3 messages
joined Aug 2012
#709 ·
hahah just saw that, they're actually offering 10x odds on a Hajduk loss.
Man, you gotta go all in on this one.😁
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#710 ·
Thomas Stewart87 said:To me, this looks like people just riding the Los Angeles FC hype and betting on the name alone... go ahead, list the starting eleven for Los Angeles FC and tell me what kind of experience those guys actually have. If you aren't expecting a blowout and you're already looking at small odds, I think it’s smarter to bet on under 3.5 goals at @ 1.40

edit: sorry, I thought you were betting on a Los Angeles FC win, but regardless, with a defense as cohesive as theirs, it would take a miracle for them not to concede a goal

Why is everyone piling onto Norway today? 🙂

I don't think Los Angeles FC will slip up here. The Latvian side is a much weaker squad that's just going to sit back and defend. Personally, I took the handicap on Los Angeles FC.

What "lack of experience" are you even talking about? 🤷

The EuroLeague top scorer Vukusic, Trebotic coming off the assist of his life in Europe, Maloca, Jozinovic, Fog, Caktas, Blazevic—by our standards, these are all veteran players.

Then why don't you try listing some experienced players from Skonto? 🙂

Seriously though, from what I've seen, I think Skonto is just too weak. It feels like our people are overestimating Los Angeles FC and its players, and assuming the Latvians can only leave undefeated by some stroke of luck. We'll see how the boys play tonight.
Thomas Stewart87 Thomas Stewart87 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Aug 2022
#711 ·
Ethan Jones5 said:John Smith thinks Los Angeles FC won't let themselves slip up; after all, that Latvian side is a much weaker squad that will just be playing defensive.. personally, I went with the handicap on LAFC..

What kind of lack of experience are you talking about?🤷

The EuroLeague top scorer Vukusic, Trebotic providing an assist of a lifetime in Europe, plus Maloca, Jozinovic, Fog, Caktas, and Blazevic—by our standards, those are all seasoned veterans..

Why don't you try listing some experienced players from Skonto for me?🙂

But seriously, looking at what I've seen, I think Skonto is just too weak, and honestly, I feel like people here are vastly underestimating Los Angeles FC and their roster. It seems like the Latvians just want to go home undefeated, but we'll see how the boys perform tonight..

🤔

Thomas Stewart87 said:To me, this looks like wishful thinking regarding Los Angeles FC and betting solely on the club's reputation... why don't you list out the starting eleven for Los Angeles FC and tell me about the actual experience those players have...If you aren't expecting a blowout and find yourself eyeing those low odds, it might be smarter to bet on under 3.5 goals @ 1.40

🤷

Thomas Stewart87 said:Why is everyone piling onto Norway today?🙂

🍿
jadewolf16 jadewolf16 Active Member
80 messages
joined Oct 2014
#712 ·
Bryan Adams6 said:I don't really feel like digging through the stats right this second—but wait, didn't John Smith get knocked out by some team from Kazakhstan last season when they were also such a massive "sure thing"? 🤷

My bad, I totally messed that up! 🙈 They actually got bounced by Cipran in the final qualifying round.

And hey, remember back in 2009? They got taken down by Qarabag too—0-0 and then a 0-1 loss.

Man, that 1.10 odds still stings! 🙂
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#713 ·
Thomas Stewart87 said:..

Look, I’m only addressing the part about mentioning youth players because you’re making it sound like we're facing some powerhouse opponent...

To be honest, I didn't even finish reading the rest of your post. I just wanted to point out that your first point isn't even accurate, and I'll explain further that I've been watching them, and they actually have even less experience than you think.👍

I threw in a few jokes here and there, so maybe the main point of my post got a bit lost in the shuffle..
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#714 ·
02:00 Coritiba FC vs. SE Palmeiras
tip: 1 @ 1.88 Pinnacle

It’s looking pretty rough for the Palmeiras squad because about half their roster is basically out for the count with some nasty flu, so we're looking at 11 players missing for them: you've got captain Marcos Assuncao, Valdivia who is one of those absolute stars, their top scorer Barcos, plus Luan, Thiago Helena, Henrique, Mauricio Ramos, Joao Vitor, Maikon Leite, and both Roman and Wesley. To make matters even worse, Coach Luiz Scolari is sitting this one out due to a suspension.
Jacob Torres21 Jacob Torres21 Active Member
145 messages
joined Apr 2012
#715 ·
Absences:
Slovan Liberec v Sigma Olomouc
(Playing in Liberec)
Slovan Liberec: Rabusic Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc: Klesnil, Tomecek, Vasicek, Hubnik (likely playing)

Austria Lustena v Kapfenberg Austria Lustena
Austria Lustena: Boya, Boller, Schellander
Kapfenberg: Sencar

Silkeborg IF v AC Horsens
Silkeborg IF: Poulsen
AC Horsens: Hajdarevic, Retov, Spelmann OPS Oulu

OPS Oulu v Seinajoen JK
OPS Oulu: None
Seinajoen JK: Tiitus Lehtinen, Sipila (14/3), Fernando (14/0), Jaaskelainen (0/0), Viljanen Mervue

United V Athlone Town Mervue United v Farrell Athlone Town
United V Athlone Town Mervue United: Ford, Keogh, Farrell
Farrell Athlone Town: Hughes, Rushe (both questionable), Danaher, King, Conroy, Mcgee
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#716 ·
19:00 Molde vs Viking
bet: more goals in the second half OR an equal number of goals in both halves @ 1.30 Molde Lottery

If you look at how Molde and Viking play, they’re basically the kind of teams where the action really heats up once the second half kicks off, so seeing more goals in the first half than the second is pretty much a rarity for them.

Looking back at their last 15 matches, Molde only had a higher scoring rate in the first half three times, and Viking is even more predictable, only seeing that happen twice.

When Molde is playing at home, they've only had one game out of seven where the first half outscored the second, while Viking, playing away, has seen that happen just twice in eight games.

Even when these two face off head-to-head, the goals almost always tend to come flooding in during the second half.
image

The stats show this trend has been hitting consistently over their last 10 games, and honestly, judging by how they've been playing all season, I don't see any reason why it wouldn't happen again today. Out of those last 10 matchups, 8 of them actually saw more goals in the second half, with only two being tied with the first half, so if you're feeling a bit gutsier, you could try the bolder play: more goals in the second half @ 2.15
driftingcrane27 driftingcrane27 Newcomer
4 messages
joined Jul 2019
#717 ·
sub 18,30 Los Angeles Angels - Spanish Union

Jacob Torres21 tip : (2,5) over 1.60 SS
BTTS & 3+ 1.85 SS

The Aperture semifinalists should be putting on some decent football... speaking from experience with the Aperture, the Los Angeles Angels ended up sitting right there at 2nd in the standings, just behind the University, finishing their home stretch with an 8 6 1 1 19:7 record... honestly, their only slip-up at home was against Catholic, which isn't even a real upset. Anyway, their scoring average during the Aperture sat at 2.71, which put them 11th on that specific list, but their home scoring average was a much more respectable 3.25... they managed to find the net in every single one of those 8 home games, and they only let in 3 goals once. Most teams that failed to score against them were clearly outclassed compared to the Spanish University (like Palestinian or Antofagasta), aside from the University, though they were rotating heavily to save legs for the Champions League. The over hit in 7 of their 8 matches, and the BTTS & 3+ option landed in 5 of those 8. They kicked off the Clasura with a draw at home (against Colo Colo) and there's no doubt they'll be hunting for a win today, especially since they're facing a side that’s had a rough start, coughing up 5 goals in just two Clasura matches...
The Spanish Union led the Aperture in scoring average with a whopping 3.88... away from home that number dips a bit to 3.13, but they play this wide-open style regardless of whether they're home or away. They only failed to score once on the road in the Aperture, and only kept a clean sheet once too. The over hit in 5 of their 8 away games, and the BTTS & 3+ followed suit. Their start to the Clasura was pretty ugly—just one point from two games and 5 goals conceded. If that 3:3 draw against Audax was a fluke, then losing 2:1 away to Cobresal definitely wasn't; they played terribly. I'm expecting a redemption arc today ☕ or they're headed for a total meltdown... it's hard to imagine their defense being solid enough to keep a clean sheet, so they really need to lean on their offense. I can't pass up that 1.85 price for BTTS & 3+ when the Spanish Union is playing 😁 especially now that they're struggling and leaking goals due to defensive blunders. That makes the over look pretty juicy. Nothing's a lock, obviously🙂 but I think it's worth the gamble...
Thomas Stewart87 Thomas Stewart87 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Aug 2022
#718 ·
Following the playoffs, the Spanish Union decided to cash in on their star striker, sending Emmanuel Herrera over to Montpellier (the Argentinian forward brings a solid track record with 29 appearances, 16 goals, and 6 assists)
Jacob Torres21 Jacob Torres21 Active Member
145 messages
joined Apr 2012
#719 ·
Absences:
Bragantino vs ABC Natal
Bragantino: Acleisson, Gabriel (questionable)
ABC Natal: Pereira, Basilio, Bombinha, Potiguar, Gamalho, Alison

FF Jari vs VPS Vaasa (Pohjanmaa Derby)
FF Jari: Warghia
VPS Vaasa: Abdulah (questionable), Morrissey, Luokkala, Strandvall (likely out), Björk, Koska RoPS

RoPS Rovaniemi vs Joensuu JIPPO Joensuu
Joensuu JIPPO Joensuu: M. Ikonen (11/0), Korpela (8/0), Gruda (15/0), Sormunen (9/0), Hallikainen (5/0), L. Ikonen (0/0), Koko'o (8/3)

Babelsberg Chemnitzer vs Babelsberg
Babelsberg Chemnitzer: Bankert
Babelsberg: Kühne, Prochnow, Hebisch, Heil

Heil CF Monterrey vs Club América CF Monterrey
Heil CF Monterrey: Reyna, Osorio, Ibarra
Club América CF Monterrey: Bermudez, Munoz, Valenzuela, Sambueza, Juarez

Cluj vs Gaz Metan Medias CFR Cluj
Cluj vs Gaz Metan Medias CFR Cluj: Kapetanos (questionable), Felgueiras
Gaz Metan Medias: Breeveld, Buzean, Bawab, Anderson, Bud, Bus

Ljungskile SK vs Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF: Melander, Turunen, Koroma, Fahkro, Haynes, Jensen, Ramadan

Ramadan Houston Dynamo vs Montreal Impact
Houston Dynamo: None
Montreal Impact: Ferrari, Rivas, Corradi, Wenger
driftingcrane27 driftingcrane27 Newcomer
4 messages
joined Jul 2019
#720 ·
driftingcrane27 said:Under 18.5, 30 goals total for Los Angeles Angels vs Spanish Union

my pick: (2.5) Over at 1.60 SS
also, 3+ goals at 1.85 SS

1:3 Final Score 👍

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