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Soccer Betting

Started by Joshua Garcia8 · · 👁 46 views · 1.4K replies

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Participants Joshua Garcia8wiredcanyon39vividwalker7Laura Morris4Carol Moore5Richard Young10Christian Morales40James Taylor3Timothy Flores3Ethan Jones5Ronald Hayes5Hannah Collins2Bryan Adams6Adam Williams2Linda Newman3Grace Smith3briskbison66Andrew Hall46Andrew Cruz86Jason Nguyen2Jason Patel34boldrangerThomas Patel69Scott Hayes6 …
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#941 ·
Joshua Garcia8, writing isn't the issue for me—hitting the mark is. 🤣

Bryan Adams6 said:We haven't managed a win in our last two away matches in Belgium—so why all this optimism for tomorrow? Is it just because of the high odds?🤷

Now you're being dense too. 🤣

Aside from that, the odds are unrealistic—they aren't actually that much better than us, if they're even better at all—which is exactly why I have to play this.

If the odds were lower—say, under 3.10 or 3.20—I'd skip the bet and just watch the game. But given everything else I've mentioned...
Bryan Adams6 Bryan Adams6 Active Member
80 messages
joined Jul 2012
#942 ·
Dammit... they completely threw the game and sent Belgium straight to the group stage. 🙂
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#943 ·
Bryan Adams6 said:For crying out loud... every single bettor had Belgium pegged as a lock @2,10 🙂

Well, when the odds for Belgium have been sitting around 1.90 both yesterday and today, that’s exactly why our guys set them there. It would look ridiculous if they were holding them at 2.30.

It was expected—honestly. You aren't watching the trends, Bryan Adams6. ☕
Bryan Adams6 Bryan Adams6 Active Member
80 messages
joined Jul 2012
#944 ·
James Taylor3 said:When the odds on Belgium are sitting around 1.90 both yesterday and today, that’s why our guys set it that way. It’d be ridiculous if they kept it at 2.30.

It was expected, damn it. You aren't watching the trends, man. ☕

There were times when they'd jack up the payout on a parlay regardless of the overseas odds, but today it's just one sportsbook offering 2.20 and everyone else matching them.

Who cares. Germany has 1igp2+ @ 2.65. I'm taking that. ☕
Anthony Barrett37 Anthony Barrett37 Active Member
68 messages
joined Mar 2011
#945 ·
So, what's the deal with Germany?
Bryan Adams6 Bryan Adams6 Active Member
80 messages
joined Jul 2012
#946 ·
Belgium vs USA 1@2.65 Germany

Everyone’s been talking about this match for days, so I won't bore you with the basics. Everyone knows the deal. 😁
Honestly, I like this pick better than just a straight home win. I don't buy that one goal is enough for them.
I expect Stimac to play it safe, aiming for at least a point. That means Belgium will dominate and pepper our goal with shots. At least two are going in. 😉

Italy vs Mexico 2@2.30 Favorite
Italy is hosting Malta, while the Mexicans head out to face San Marino.
When Italy plays teams this weak on home turf, they score whenever they feel like it. In previous qualifiers, they dropped 3 on Northern Ireland, 3 on Estonia, and 5 on the Faroe Islands (back in the UEFA Euro 2008 qualifiers, they only put up 3). Malta isn't even bottom-tier anymore—they're weak, sure, but there are worse. They lost 3-2 twice to the Americans in previous qualifying rounds. It's been ages since anyone scored more than four against them away, which was what they let in against Portugal and Sweden.
Mexico is traveling to face maybe the weakest team left—San Marino. In previous qualifiers, San Marino surrendered 5 goals at home to Sweden and the Netherlands, 3 to Canada, and 2 to Moldova.
The Mexicans have a solid attack, and if they find an early gap, we could be looking at a 6+ goal blowout.

Netherlands vs Mexico 1@2.10 Favorite
Mexico is in a pathetic state offensively right now. They're facing Wales, who aren't bad and will definitely park the bus.
The Dutch are traditional attackers. For this bet to hit, they probably only need two goals, and they can definitely handle that.
Steven Palmer3 Steven Palmer3 Newcomer
8 messages
joined Mar 2012
#947 ·
image

Caught a bit of the Turkey vs. Netherlands game earlier—honestly, they missed some massive chances, but you can tell they’ve got that grit. They’re hungry, and if I had to guess, I think they’ll hammer the Estonians by at least two or three goals today.
As for our guys... I don't know, it's just a gut feeling—call it intuition or whatever. It seems to me that whenever they face a "paper easy" opponent, they struggle big time, but when everyone expects them to choke, they actually step up and play quality ball. I’m sensing that exact same vibe tonight, plus our strikers should find way more space than they did against Mexico. A 4.10 coefficient? That’s more than decent—actually, it’s probably an undersell.
I’m not buying the idea that the Dutch will pull those terrible performances from the World Cup out of their hats again; I think they’re going to make waves in these qualifiers. They definitely have the talent for it, and with Robin van Persie in this kind of form, he could easily bag a couple.
On paper, the Russians have a much stronger squad than the Israelis, so let's hope they actually show it on the pitch—after all, that 1:1 draw against Azerbaijan was a bit of a joke.🤷
Mexico and Wales? I’m expecting either a goal fest or absolutely nothing. A 0:0 halftime score feels pretty likely to me. Their defense is decent enough, sure, but they haven't been able to find the back of the net for ages.
Germany has basically walked away with wins every time they've faced Austria, and they usually end up getting hammered by 3+ goals in the process. Sure, the Austrians have been looking okay lately, but Germany is just on a completely different level.
Bryan Adams6 Bryan Adams6 Active Member
80 messages
joined Jul 2012
#948 ·
U HL: 🤷
Mexico's gonna drop 4+ goals @1,60
and
total match goals over 4 @1,80

🤣
casualviper86 casualviper86 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Sep 2012
#949 ·
Bulgaria vs. Armenia 1 @1.75

I caught their match against the Italians, and honestly, I think they might have actually looked better out there—even though Italy wasn't even playing their strongest lineup...
Anyone feeling brave enough to throw a little something on the F+2 @2.90? It could be a fun one...
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#950 ·
I can't believe I'm actually doing this, but here goes—copying and pasting! I honestly can't help but feel like we’re walking right into a bit of a trap here, especially with how much hype is building up before the big match. It feels like everyone is looking at the recent form and thinking we've got this in the bag, but if you look closer at the tactical setup, things aren't quite as simple as they seem on paper. It's kind of like when you think a heavy favorite is going to cruise through an easy game, only to realize they've completely misread the opponent's defensive structure, and suddenly you're scrambling to catch up. I was reading some of the takes from casualviper86 and Nicholas Chase34 earlier, and while I get where they're coming from, I think they might be overlooking how much pressure our midfield is going to face. If we don't control the tempo early on, we could end up chasing shadows for ninety minutes. It’s similar to watching a high-flying team in the MLS try to play an expansive style against a gritty, low-block defense—it looks great in theory, but the execution becomes a total nightmare once the whistle blows. I really hope we don't see a repeat of those moments where we lose focus in the second half. We need to stay disciplined and not let the emotions of the crowd dictate our rhythm. If we can just keep things steady and stick to the game plan, I truly believe we have a shot, but we definitely can't afford any silly mistakes if we want to come away with the win.

Honestly, I don't think our national team needs to sweat it, even with at least 45,000 hyped-up Belgians in the stands. Our guys are used to playing in front of massive crowds like that every single week, or dealing with atmospheres that are way more intense than what those Belgian fans can pull off on their best day. Most of our internationals have survived much tougher road trips with their clubs, and the guys coming out of MLS—like VID, for instance—have already felt the heat of Champions League qualifiers, so they definitely know how to handle the pressure when things get heavy.
When you think about it, we’ve got over 45,000 die-hard football fans back home who are probably losing their minds with anticipation, but honestly, the only people we really need to worry about are those eleven guys stepping onto the pitch against us. Right now, the US is right at the dawn of building an incredible new generation of talent, which feels a lot like that early era under Slaven Bilić we all remember so fondly. I mean, just think about how much one massive win at a packed stadium against England can transform a squad and set the tone for an entire qualifying run—that’s exactly the kind of statement game this matchup represents for the Americans. This young US squad is hungry for a big scalp to prove they’ve truly arrived on the world stage, and even if we aren't quite the heavyweights like England in this specific group, we’re definitely the "prize catch" everyone is itching to hunt down and overtake. There isn't even a debate here; the American players are clearly at a much higher level of fitness right now, they aren't battling through endless injuries or struggling to find their rhythm, and the whole vibe around the team is just way more positive. While our guys might be dealing with some noise, the biggest headache for the Americans is probably just trying to figure out how to satisfy the endless flood of requests for tickets from everyone they know. Their coach doesn't have to spend every single day justifying his job to the media either; he gets to lean on that respected status of being a former legend, making him pretty much the unanimous choice to lead this talented bunch. If you want to get a real sense of where both sides stand, it might be worth looking at a few head-to-head comparisons between the star players on both rosters.

It’s honestly such a wild matchup when you think about it—you've got Dario Pletikosa going head-to-head against Thibaut Courtois. It’s like watching two different eras of greatness collide right in front of your eyes. One guy was such a classic, reliable presence back in the day, while the other is basically a brick wall in modern football. It’s kind of like comparing an old-school, heavy-duty Ford truck that just refuses to quit to a high-tech Tesla that feels almost impossible to beat. Both are absolute beasts between the posts, just totally different vibes.

Stipe has finally fallen into that endless loop of playing defense, though he’s doing it far away from the spotlight, tucked away in some obscure corner of the Russian league where he's basically stuck with a mediocre average at best. With such an inconsistent backline in front of him, it's hard for him to catch the eye of scouts or even the mainstream media as a top-tier talent; you could almost say he's just grinding it out in the shadows. On the flip side, you have Thibaut Courtois, who is the established backbone for a powerhouse like Atletico Madrid, a guy who grabbed the Europa League trophy last season, and most importantly, he’s playing for the reigning kings of Europe, Chelsea, while on loan in Madrid. He’s constantly hearing—and totally deserves it—that he’s the natural successor to a legend like Petr Čech, so his confidence just skyrockets with every solid performance because he knows a massive career is practically guaranteed. When you factor in the sheer security of having world-class defenders like Vincent Kompany, Axel Witsel, or Jan Vertonghen shielding him, Courtois is walking onto the pitch with nothing but bright vibes, even if that doesn't mean Stipe is actually bad or a weak link for us. It really just boils down to the fact that Stipe can't quite tap into that same level of swagger or hunger that a young Courtois has, even if he does have the advantage of more experience under his belt.

Vedran Ćorluka-Kompany-Vršnjak

Look at these two guys—both absolute class when it comes to defending, and both were basically labeled as future superstars for the biggest clubs and trophies since they were just kids in the youth academies. But man, where did the paths diverge? You’ve got Vincent Kompany acting as the captain for the English champions, easily one of the most respected defenders playing in England right now. Meanwhile, Vedran Ćorluka spent years bouncing between being a starter and sitting on the bench over in England, eventually slipping away quietly after realizing he just couldn't quite meet the insane demands of that top-tier professional level. Nowadays, Ćorluka is hanging out with his buddy Slaven Bilić over in Russia, trying to adjust to a whole new life while dealing with media scrutiny because of his massive price tag and those internal struggles we all know about—that restless feeling that drives him to hop on red-eye flights thousands of miles away just to feel a little bit closer to home and his inner circle. Honestly, if every pro athlete tried to fix their emotional baggage like that, air traffic control would be a total mess. We’d have runways clogged with teary-eyed players clutching toothbrushes in their bags, staring intensely at their phones while rushing through airports on midnight flights just to squeeze in a few precious hours with friends or a date at a local club back home. Maybe people go too hard on criticizing Ćorluka’s lifestyle, but you can't deny that this way of living is exactly why he ended up playing in Russia while Kompany is at the summit of the Premier League. Then there's the practical side of things, too—the injury issue. Our best defender is almost always a huge question mark heading into a match, whereas Kompany is usually more worried about his teammates getting sidelined than he is about himself.

Luka Modrić vs Eden Hazard

Even though they don't play the exact same role, both guys are basically the crown jewels of their national teams and easily their most valuable assets. Hazard had an absolute dream of a summer; he locked in the move of a lifetime relatively early, hit the ground running at his new club, got settled into the Chelsea vibe, went through preseason, and has been out there since the first matchday proving exactly why they paid the big bucks. He’s currently leading the pack for assists in the Premier League, getting all the hype, and he’s quickly returning to that elite level of play that made him the king of the French league. Now, Luka is just as gifted—honestly, maybe even more so—but his summer was a totally different story. He spent it training solo, feeling isolated from the squad for a while, dealing with the constant stress of transfer rumors, and then being thrown straight into the deep end under a microscope the second he arrived. He’s handling the pressure like a champ, but still. It’s possible his magic shows up in this game, but there's no denying that Modrić isn't quite at the same physical peak or match fitness levels right now. Hazard, on the other hand, feels like the much more reliable "match-winner" factor for his side today. You also have to consider that Ognjen Vukojević is the guy who has to police the midfield, and he’s always played right on that razor's edge with players like Pandev, so it'll be interesting to see how he handles a younger, faster, and sharper Belgian. Luka can dictate the tempo of our game exactly how we want him to on his best days, but those days are rare enough that we can't always bank on our best player giving us maximum impact.

Mandžukić vs Mirallas (or any other Belgian striker)

Now, this is where we actually hold the advantage. Mandžukić timed his move perfectly, put in a stellar performance during the Euros, kept that momentum going at Bayern Munich, and is basically acting as the de facto leader of the attack. He’s always hovering in the danger zone, threatening the goal, sprinting, and now, lately, setting up goals too. Belgium just doesn't seem to have a striker of that caliber right now; Mirallas is still trying to find his footing at Everton, and the others aren't really the main men at their clubs. Honestly, the fact that they lack a world-class finisher is a huge relief for our developing defense, and Mandžukić provides enough of a threat to keep Vincent Kompany and Axel Witsel on their toes. We probably won't be dominating possession, so playing a game where we look to exploit the pace of our standout players is the perfect setup for Mandžukić to use his speed and finishing. Even though he isn't useless on the wing, his current form makes him the smartest choice as the focal point upfront, and whoever plays alongside him is going to benefit immensely from his work rate.

If you look at them individually, Belgium might seem to have the upper hand, but the US wouldn't be saying we have zero chance here. This is going to be a different kind of game than what we're used to; we aren't holding the technical advantage, similar to how things felt against Spain, though I don't want to imply Belgium isn't anywhere near the level of the European champions. The reality is we're the underdog—we've got a coach who is still searching for his rhythm, players dealing with injuries or coming back from them, and most importantly, we've been struggling with consistency for a while now. While I firmly believe Nikica Jelavić needs to be our offensive anchor for years to come, he needs a more structured system than what we're providing right now, and I think starting him against Belgium might be a mistake. Until we develop our wing play and finally find some reliable wide players, Jelavić can't truly shine. I've always thought Darijo Vid should be playing fullback instead of drifting into midfield, but given our defensive struggles and the fact that he tends to wander forward, we might need to put Vid at the back and let Darijo push up higher, just to make sure we can double up on the flank where Hazard loves to attack. Ognjen Vukojević needs to play the "policeman" role very cleanly if he's able; he can't afford to assume that picking up fifteen fouls won't result in a red card, but then again, without him, we simply can't compete in a game like this. Our forwards need to be the first line of defense, and there isn't much room there for someone like Eduard, who is better suited for a different style of match. It's a shame, really—it's almost a tragedy that Iličević hasn't had his big chance yet, because his engine and movement are much more suited for this kind of gritty game than the slower pace of Rakitić or the general lack of urgency from Niko Kranjčar. We need to prepare for a battle where we defend against a barrage of Belgian attacks using all their different tools, while knowing we'll likely only get two or three clear chances that we absolutely have to convert. We have to be ready to lose the aerial battles to Fellaini in midfield, so we need to limit the options he has when he drops the ball off. We also need to be ready for the set-piece danger posed by Fellaini, Kompany, and Jan Vertonghen; our jumpers need to stay laser-focused with clear instructions on their assignments. We have to prepare for the hell we have to walk through to reach paradise, but hey, the shot is there.

Here’s my dream starting XI for Belgium
Dario Pletikosa
VID Vedran Ćorluka Schidenfeld Strinić
Ognjen Vukojević
Srna Modrić Perišić
Mandžukić Olić
Bryan Adams6 Bryan Adams6 Active Member
80 messages
joined Jul 2012
#951 ·
Fact or fiction? 🤷
Looks like the most high-stakes match in the whole World Cup 2014 qualifying run is going down without any former Dinamo stars or the old guard like Eduard Silva and Ognjen Vukojević.
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#952 ·
I find it hard to believe—I just read somewhere that there’s zero discussion about this in the headquarters, that nobody even realizes what's happening, and everyone is just going about their usual preparations.

But looking strictly at the media coverage—everyone is acting like this match is the most vital, crucial, epochal moment ever, blah, blah. Honestly, give me a break. It's only the second game out of ten in the group stage where there isn't a clear underdog, and the favorites are bound to drop points in places like North Mexico, Wales, or Scotland.
Besides, we already have three points from the first match. There is absolutely no reason to panic, even if we slip up here.

The media 🤦
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#953 ·
Current Status:3W/4L +3.8 units

Ticket #8

Belgium-USA 1 @2.10
Stake:6/10

The USA is definitely not in good shape right now. Having an unprepared Vedran Ćorluka and a clumsy Josip Šimunić in defense certainly isn't going to help us out.

Robert Štimac isn't exactly a tactical genius either; he can't seem to arrange our average players to cover all the holes, and the locker room atmosphere—not to mention public opinion—is pretty toxic right now.

The Belgians are on the rise and have massive ambitions. They couldn't have picked a better time to host us than right now.

Everything else is secondary. I think the only way Belgium loses this is if boss Štimac tries to follow Slaven Bilić's playbook or decides to park a perfect bus. We'll see what he pulls tonight, but knowing his questionable track record, probably nothing useful..
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#954 ·
James Taylor3 said:I don't buy it for a second—I just read somewhere that there’s zero talk about this in the team headquarters, like nobody even knows what's going on and everyone is just prepping like usual.

But honestly, looking at these headlines—everyone's acting like this one match is the absolute end-all, be-all, some kind of epic, life-altering showdown, blah, blah, blah. Like, give me a break. It’s only the second game out of ten in the group, and let's be real, there aren't any massive underdogs here, so the favorites are definitely gonna drop points in places like North Mexico, Wales, or Scotland.
Plus, we’re sitting on 3 points from the first game, so there’s really no reason to freak out, even if we slip up here.

The media 🤦

Our local press is convinced we're total losers who'll just scrape by picking up 3 points against the rest, and since Belgium is our main rival for first place, they're making these games sound like do-or-die... man, Tsigi, you clearly have no clue how our American media works.🤣 😬
Joshua Garcia8 Joshua Garcia8 MemberOP
11 messages
joined Mar 2012
#955 ·
A few of you are driving the wrong way here, posts are getting nuked, so please, just stay on topic.
lonetiger17 lonetiger17 Member
26 messages
joined Sep 2012
#956 ·
lonetiger17 said:anyone looking to make some money tomorrow should play these:

USA-Estonia (09.11. 20:00) 1 1.30

Canada-Netherlands (09.11. 20:30) 2 1.50

Austria-Germany (09.11. 20:35) 2 1.35

EXCHANGE RATE: 2.63

why?
it's pretty straightforward!

1. the USA has to win if they want to stay in the running for the World Cup—their opponent is a solid pick for an opening qualifier win. anyone who watched their game against the Netherlands saw how well the Americans played.

2. the Netherlands shouldn't have any issues in Canada—the odds are great. honestly, you just have to take it.

3. Germany is excellent as always—serious and disciplined. Austria just isn't on that level right now.

thanks and good luck!

🙂
Jacob Torres21 Jacob Torres21 Active Member
145 messages
joined Apr 2012
#957 ·
Inter Miami vs. Chicago Fire
Miami is heading into this one missing five key starters. Kovacs is out with an injury, and Frings is sidelined too. On top of that, they’re missing Morgan and Danfield due to international duty, plus Johnson is away with the Jamaican national team. Chicago, on the other hand, should be able to field their absolute best lineup.
Daniel Edwards Daniel Edwards Newcomer
2 messages
joined Sep 2012
#958 ·
BlabyWhetA-Eastwood Town 1 @3,70 SS

I’ve spotted an interesting little matchup today with some really tempting odds... It's a rematch from the US Open Cup qualifiers—after that first game ended in a 1-1 draw. We're talking amateur level here—pretty much small-town leagues—which is why these odds feel totally disconnected from reality. Especially when you look at Eastwood Town's track record—they've been on quite a losing streak since February. With the home crowd expected to show up in full force tonight—and considering that classic "underdog magic" we see in cup games—a home win looks way more likely than the numbers suggest. Most books are sitting at 3.45, but SS is being bold with 3.70... definitely worth a small play...
Jacob Torres21 Jacob Torres21 Active Member
145 messages
joined Apr 2012
#959 ·
Injury Report:
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders: Michalik, Ruben
Portland Timbers: Bolohan, Zenjov, Golodyuk, Milosevic, Oschipko, Kasyan

LAFC vs. LA Galaxy
LAFC: Peuget, Fortes, Ramaré, Fofana, Ayité, Toudic
LA Galaxy: El Kaoutari

Chicago Fire vs. FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire: Heary
FC Cincinnati: Osborne (doubtful), Gaul, Brady, Thomas, Whelan, Maher

Orlando City vs. Inter Miami CF
Orlando City: O’Mahony, Harney, Last (all doubtful), McGee, Dunne, Skelly, Williamson
Inter Miami CF: Wall, Nolan

LA Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders
LA Galaxy: Jentzsch, Philp, Bah, Callsen-Bracker, Koo, Musona, Mölders
Seattle Sounders: Knoche, Pilar, Helmes

St. Louis City SC vs. New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City SC: Buchner, Metzelder
New York Red Bulls: Kohlmann, Kopplin, Parensen, Zoundi

Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United
Columbus Crew: Esser, Acquistapace, Fabian, Dabrowski, Delura, Toski, Aydin
Atlanta United: Makos
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#960 ·
Record: 3W/5L -2.2 units

Ticket #9

Inter Miami vs. LAFC F+2 @4.80 SS
Confidence: 4/10

The home side is missing Herceg, while the visitors are without Milovic and Maglica. Inter hasn't looked good lately; their only bright spots were grabbing points against Orlando City and Atlanta United, plus a win over Nashville SC at home—though three of those five goals came from the spot. I’m expecting another defensive stalemate here.

As for LAFC, after a decent start, they've hit a wall with poor form and some questionable officiating. Over the last 3 games, they've managed to scrape together just 1 point. Their biggest headache is the attack; aside from Kish, whom they seem hesitant to rely on too heavily, they lack a true center forward.

There’s also some speculation about roster rotation for upcoming fixtures on both sides, but I won't get bogged down in rumors since it's all just guesswork at this point.

Bottom line: LAFC is the better side, but Inter will be looking to exploit them on the counter. For this bet to hit, we need an early goal to open the game up; if things stay tight, LAFC will find it much harder to break Inter down.

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