stormylynx4 said:So, what’s the magic number for actual panic? How many deaths does it take before we should start worrying?
Back in 2003, Italy saw 18,000 more deaths than the previous year during that summer stretch, but only 4,000 were directly linked to heatstroke. Out of those 4,000 spread across all of Italy, how many actually needed ventilators? Do you have any idea what it means for any healthcare system to suddenly have over 2,000 patients in the ICU?!
When Covid-19 causes complications, people need respiratory support—oxygen, ventilation, or being intubated on a ventilator—where they usually spend about two weeks if they're lucky enough to pull through.
I don't get what point you're trying to make by constantly throwing out numbers that have nothing to do with this current pandemic. Are we supposed to be less worried today just because 4,000 people died from a heatwave back in 2003?
The Italians themselves came out and said those 20,000 deaths in 2003 were directly linked to the heatwave. So yeah, I'm sticking with those figures.
The fact that Italy and its healthcare system haven't been top-tier for ages isn't news. You could list a ton of things where the healthcare system in that country has just been buckling at the seams, even without this mess. That doesn't mean the doctors are to blame or that they aren't trying. Not at all—honestly, I think they’re giving it everything they've got. But the Italian government is the real issue there, not just this one, but plenty of them before it. And obviously, that's a whole different conversation. But you can't separate the two. That's just how countries work. Doctors don't make the calls on money and laws; politicians do.
Another thing a lot of medical scientists have started pointing out is that the Mediterranean diet—especially the Italian version—doesn't exactly play nice with human immunity. The truth is, while people live a bit longer because of that light eating, they're also super sensitive to even the tiniest changes or attacks. How much attention you pay to that is a fair question. But look, Italy is famous for having huge numbers of people die from the regular seasonal flu every year, mostly the elderly. We're talking up to 68,000 deaths linked to seasonal flu, which is roughly 186 cases a day. That puts Italy way above other countries in Europe. In Denmark, they see maybe 1,400 deaths a year from seasonal flu, which is 0.0002% of the population. In Italy, it's 0.001%. For a place like Denmark in the far north to almost hit the massive numbers Italy sees relative to its population, they'd need about 5,700 cases a year.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/scienc...01971219303285