#161 ·
urbanotter said:Exactly!
It really just comes down to whether political decisions are sound or flawed.
And more often than not, we seem to be making the wrong calls.😉
Pegging our currency to another one is a purely political maneuver, and honestly, there's mounting evidence that it was a mistake from the start.
I don't think you'll find many examples globally where a nation with its own monetary sovereignty would choose to tie itself so tightly to a foreign currency, going through all that effort just to maintain a fixed exchange rate.
Usually, you only see that kind of thing in some unstable banana republic or a developing nation in Africa.
I recall reading about a period when Winston Churchill was serving as the Chancellor of the Exchequer in the United Kingdom, and he pushed for the pound to be pegged to gold. It nearly tanked the entire economy. The poor guy was operating under what sounds like sound logic—that money should represent real value, and gold is "real." But let's be honest, gold is only "fictional" real. In terms of actual utility, bread, meat, electricity, or olive oil are far more "real" than a hunk of metal sitting in a vault...!
rowdyranger44 said:urbanotter, there aren’t any easy fixes here, no magic tricks where you pull a rabbit out of a hat to solve everything. If you start cranking up the printing presses, you’re essentially murdering the savers while simultaneously handing current debtors a massive break through internal devaluation. It’s a massacre either way. Someone is bound to get slaughtered before we can establish a new equilibrium that actually aligns with how competitive the American economy is on the global stage.
Printing money would only be a justifiable move if it were funneled directly into projects with rapid returns—things that export goods and services to foreign markets. Dumping that cash into infrastructure? That’s a total catastrophe. It creates this pathetic illusion of reducing national debt, when in reality, you're just stripping away the wealth of anyone actually producing something tangible.
Of course it isn't simple. Money printing has to be moderate—it should serve as a LOAN to those who are actually thinking ahead or INCREASING production!
It absolutely shouldn't be used, for instance, to fund something like a massive bridge project.
Because that kind of thing is an investment with a very, very, very long horizon and a painfully slow return on investment!
Example:
And here is the commentary at the bottom:
The only real argument against non-credit-based money issuance is the fear of driving up inflation. However, it's quite obvious that when you have a small government deficit (say, under 5% of the total money supply), there's no real reason to fear runaway inflation, especially since the multiplier effect has a much stronger impact on inflation rates than the mere existence of non-credit issuance. To put it plainly, it's absurd to claim that we must forbid the state from issuing money "in the name of fighting inflation." De facto, a monetary system built entirely on debt is nothing more than a giant Ponzi scheme, because debtors can only settle their obligations if new debtors enter the fray, creating the new deposits required to pay off the old ones. For this to work, you need an infinite credit expansion—essentially exponentially growing debt. Since we all know that "credit expansion" cannot last forever, you inevitably hit a wall where the "credit bubble" bursts, leading to mass foreclosures, bankruptcies, liquidity crises, and eventually a complete economic breakdown characterized by rising unemployment and a descent into debt slavery. It is glaringly obvious that a debt-only monetary model is unsustainable in the long run; in such a model, debt must grow exponentially just to keep the system solvent. Yet, since the money supply grows more slowly in this model (because interest rates on loans are always significantly higher than interest on deposits), such a model is doomed to a credit crisis. Unfortunately, informal power structures tied to banking cartels have managed to impose this exact model. They've insisted on a system where the state is forbidden from issuing real money to cover deficits, while banks are simultaneously allowed to issue non-existent money in the form of debt. That is the heart of the problem. Is the purpose of money strictly to create debt, or is it to facilitate the exchange of goods, drive economic growth, and maintain a sustainable monetary model? Think about how new money enters circulation—either through the issuance of real money by the state or through the credit multiplication performed by banks. I believe it makes much more sense for the state, which holds a monopoly on issuing currency, to be able to issue real money, while simultaneously curbing the credit multiplication practiced by banks. Furthermore, the way banks multiply money prevents the state from controlling the money supply and managing targeted inflation, simply because banks have the power to conjure money out of thin air. Now we reach the "core of the matter," the question of all questions. There is a practical conflict here: non-credit issuance by the state and money multiplication by banks cannot coexist peacefully. Why? Because if the budget deficit is 5% of the total money supply, theoretical inflation should also sit around 5% (if the state covers the deficit by increasing the money supply by 5%). However, if banks have the ability to multiply money, they can simulate a much larger influx of cash than what is actually happening. In our current model, they can effectively double the money supply by creating multiplied deposits and their associated credit extensions. In other words, instead of 5%, inflation hits 10%. And once inflation climbs past the 8% mark, its effect on the economy shifts from positive to destructive. Many wonder what the fundamental issue with the monetary system is, or how to find a solution. To understand why the current model is broken, one must recognize the necessity of non-credit issuance—the idea that a portion of money should not enter circulation solely as debt. Without non-credit money issuance, a credit crisis is inevitable because, in a debt-only model, debt will always outpace the growth of the money supply.
I honestly have no clue where that commenter is pulling those 5% inflation numbers from! I mean, it’s not rocket science—even ten years ago, it seemed obvious to me that the government should be printing money specifically to fund industrial production and stimulate growth. But to suggest we'd see an annual inflation rate—basically a devaluation of the Dollar—hitting that infamous 5% mark? Give me a break!