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Brain drain risks after joining the European Union?

Started by briskdrifter3 · · 👁 4 views · 62 replies

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Participants briskdrifter3Brian Woodironstag8Bradley SmithLinda Johnson15Scott Rodriguez19Larry Williams5lonebadger20Andrew Barrett4Jack Johnson6Ryan Gomez4hiddenviper13Jeremy Castillo7Thomas Ortiz3Gerald Chavez7Jerry Clark72Benjamin Rodriguez2Emily Fox2Gary Cooper3ruggeddriver70John Chase3Jeffrey Watson13Roger Fowlermistyrider64 …
briskdrifter3 briskdrifter3 Active MemberOP
63 messages
joined Oct 2012
#1 ·
Has anyone else given serious thought to the mass exodus of labor once we join the European Union?
If we actually make the leap in 2013—though, if you ask me, that’s still a big "if"—and then endure several more years where we aren't even permitted to work abroad (since the member states get to decide whether to ban us for three, five, or seven years)... we are heading straight toward a massive wave of emigration from America. And I'm not just talking about individuals; we're looking at entire working-age families, including young children, packing up and leaving. Even now, there's already a significant number of people fleeing this swamp of a country, but once those bureaucratic hurdles are cleared... well, that exodus will multiply exponentially. It’s precisely what happened in Poland, the Czech Republic, and similar nations. They managed to absorb the shock somewhat successfully, mostly because they have larger populations and, frankly, much healthier economies than ours...
But what does this mean for us?
The ratio of employed people to dependents is currently sitting at roughly 1:1, and things are going to get significantly worse. Our highly educated youth—the very backbone of our workforce—will be the first to leave. These are the people who drive the consumer base that retailers rely on; young adults and young families are the primary drivers of spending. So, who is left to fund the budget through income tax? Who is going to shop at the malls and indirectly support the treasury? Pensioners? Minimum wage workers who can barely afford groceries? Or perhaps the merchants themselves, who would essentially be buying from their own shadows?
Joining the European Union threatens to trigger an economic collapse unlike anything we've seen; we are practically charging like sheep into a slaughterhouse. We won't even have recovered from the current crisis by the time we join; if anything, the entry will only deepen the wound. Compared to what lies ahead for us, Greece looks like a paradise.
In fact, I am personally weighing the option of moving abroad with my wife and child—and if an opportunity presents itself in a few years (one I intend to pursue actively rather than wait for), I am gone. Quite frankly, I couldn't care less about America or
my national identity. I might return once I retire, but my children will likely stay abroad. I am simply fed up with the incompetence here and the miserable wages. I possess specialized skills that are easily marketable overseas. Most of my friends are thinking along these exact same lines...
Brian Wood Brian Wood Newcomer
3 messages
joined Mar 2012
#2 ·
I honestly don't expect any massive exodus here. I mean, anyone who actually wants to pack up and leave can pretty much do it whenever they feel like it today; sure, it might be a little more of a hassle and
maybe a bit more complicated, but nothing is impossible, right? Personally, I'm thinking we'll probably just see a tiny trickle, maybe something similar to what happened in
Canada, so basically just a minimal amount of people moving on.
ironstag8 ironstag8 Active Member
105 messages
joined Apr 2019
#3 ·
I’d honestly suggest looking toward Spain. Unemployment there is practically non-existent, and if you happen to be a young professional with a university degree, you'll find yourself a complete stranger to the concept of being jobless. While things aren't quite as perfect in other European Union nations—though they remain promising enough—they seem to be just waiting for us to show up. That magical date of July 13, 2013, is fast approaching, and they are already busy carving out job openings for our fleeing youth, our intellectuals, and even our blue-collar workers alike.
Bradley Smith Bradley Smith Member
43 messages
joined Jul 2005
#4 ·
ironstag8 said:I’d honestly suggest looking toward Spain. Unemployment there is practically non-existent, and if you happen to be a young professional with a university degree, you'll find yourself a complete stranger to the concept of being jobless. While things aren't quite as perfect in other European Union nations—though they remain promising enough—they seem to be just waiting for us to show up. That magical date of July 13, 2013, is fast approaching, and they are already busy carving out job openings for our fleeing youth, our intellectuals, and even our blue-collar workers alike.

🙏 Which version of Spain are you hallucinating about???
The one where people have been out in the streets for a month straight protesting because unemployment is sitting at 20%, and for kids, it's closer to 35% with zero hope for anything better???
Give me a break. Spain right now is a complete disaster. 🤷
Tons of people are idle and tons of people aren't getting paid, while the banks are squeezing everyone harder than ever before.
Seriously, stop misleading people. Spain is on its knees, the right wing has tightened its grip after the last elections, and they don't want new immigrants—and honestly, they don't even want the ones who are already there.
briskdrifter3 briskdrifter3 Active MemberOP
63 messages
joined Oct 2012
#5 ·
Bradley Smith said:🙏 Which version of Spain are you hallucinating about???
The one where people have been out in the streets for a month straight protesting because unemployment is sitting at 20%, and for kids, it's closer to 35% with zero hope for anything better???
Give me a break. Spain right now is a complete disaster. 🤷
Tons of people are idle and tons of people aren't getting paid, while the banks are squeezing everyone harder than ever before.
Seriously, stop misleading people. Spain is on its knees, the right wing has tightened its grip after the last elections, and they don't want new immigrants—and honestly, they don't even want the ones who are already there.

My colleague is being sarcastic... perhaps try reading more carefully before jumping in with an answer...
Linda Johnson15 Linda Johnson15 Active Member
98 messages
joined Feb 2011
#6 ·
I honestly don't see it happening... they don't even seem to know how to handle their own people. If you're looking to move abroad for work, you’ve got to meet way more requirements and fight tooth and nail against the local workforce there.
The reality is, you'll have a slight edge over most of the world—take Norway, for example. They prioritize their own unemployed first, then Scandinavians, then those from the European Union, and finally everyone else. Joining the EU gives us a seat at one level of that ladder, but it’s not going to be a game-changer.

At the end of the day, a high-quality worker can land a job anywhere regardless of where they're from, especially if they've got specialized skills or they're top-tier experts.

Locals are mostly just worrying about competing with cheaper labor coming in from places like Romania and Bulgaria. Our people are too valuable to settle for entry-level roles just to survive—jobs they could easily grab abroad without any hassle—only to have someone from Bulgaria or Romania swoop in and take that same spot right under their noses. That's where the real friction is going to happen.
briskdrifter3 briskdrifter3 Active MemberOP
63 messages
joined Oct 2012
#7 ·
ironstag8 said:I’d honestly suggest looking toward Spain. Unemployment there is practically non-existent, and if you happen to be a young professional with a university degree, you'll find yourself a complete stranger to the concept of being jobless. While things aren't quite as perfect in other European Union nations—though they remain promising enough—they seem to be just waiting for us to show up. That magical date of July 13, 2013, is fast approaching, and they are already busy carving out job openings for our fleeing youth, our intellectuals, and even our blue-collar workers alike.

Alright, look—Spain might not be exactly the Promised Land, but there are plenty of other spots in Europe that are perfectly decent. All the Nordic countries, the United Kingdom, Germany, Austria, Italy, maybe even France... I might even go so far as to say Canada (don't come for me on that one). You have to admit, in these places, you’ll earn a higher wage for the exact same job compared to what we see here in America—and you'll live better once you actually have your paperwork sorted... you know, a permanent residency and a proper work permit. I’m not even counting temporary gigs, because honestly, even if you're highly educated, the pay won't match.
For instance, a colleague of mine was over in the United Kingdom recently, and the place is absolutely swamped with people from Poland. He was in a neighborhood in some smaller town where you don't hear a word of English—just Polish—where even the street signs are in Polish. Historically, the United Kingdom had those restrictions limiting Poles to seven years maximum after joining the European Union.
We probably won't face those kinds of bans... since there are only about four million of us, most countries would likely assimilate us pretty quickly.
briskdrifter3 briskdrifter3 Active MemberOP
63 messages
joined Oct 2012
#8 ·
Linda Johnson15 said:I honestly don't see it happening... they don't even seem to know how to handle their own people. If you're looking to move abroad for work, you’ve got to meet way more requirements and fight tooth and nail against the local workforce there.
The reality is, you'll have a slight edge over most of the world—take Norway, for example. They prioritize their own unemployed first, then Scandinavians, then those from the European Union, and finally everyone else. Joining the EU gives us a seat at one level of that ladder, but it’s not going to be a game-changer.

At the end of the day, a high-quality worker can land a job anywhere regardless of where they're from, especially if they've got specialized skills or they're top-tier experts.

Locals are mostly just worrying about competing with cheaper labor coming in from places like Romania and Bulgaria. Our people are too valuable to settle for entry-level roles just to survive—jobs they could easily grab abroad without any hassle—only to have someone from Bulgaria or Romania swoop in and take that same spot right under their noses. That's where the real friction is going to happen.

I agree with all of that... the competition is intense, quite frankly. But do you really believe finding a meaningful job there is harder than being a recent college grad in some small town in America, staring at one local company in bankruptcy proceedings and a municipality where you don't know a soul?
If you ask me, that scenario is a much bigger disaster than being last in line after all the groups you mentioned—and I see examples of it constantly in my own circle, among family and friends alike...
Bradley Smith Bradley Smith Member
43 messages
joined Jul 2005
#9 ·

briskdrifter3 said:My colleague is being sarcastic... perhaps try reading more carefully before jumping in with an answer...

I dropped those numbers because I keep getting grilled by people asking me to basically hand them a job over here. It’s always the same story—everyone has this delusional vision of Spain being some kind of economic powerhouse like it was five years ago. Get real.
Look, please, just drop the instructions on how I should respond to the thread. I've been holding my own on this forum for years now—I can handle myself just fine.

briskdrifter3 said:Alright, look—Spain might not be exactly the Promised Land, but there are plenty of other spots in Europe that are perfectly decent. All the Nordic countries, the United Kingdom, Germany, Austria, Italy, maybe even France... I might even go so far as to say Canada (don't come for me on that one). You have to admit, in these places, you’ll earn a higher wage for the exact same job compared to what we see here in America—and you'll live better once you actually have your paperwork sorted... you know, a permanent residency and a proper work permit. I’m not even counting temporary gigs, because honestly, even if you're highly educated, the pay won't match.
For instance, a colleague of mine was over in the United Kingdom recently, and the place is absolutely swamped with people from Poland. He was in a neighborhood in some smaller town where you don't hear a word of English—just Polish—where even the street signs are in Polish. Historically, the United Kingdom had those restrictions limiting Poles to seven years maximum after joining the European Union.
We probably won't face those kinds of bans... since there are only about four million of us, most countries would likely assimilate us pretty quickly.

Look, a work ban isn't some personal grudge or a decision based on how big a country is or whether someone likes you. It’s pure administrative diplomacy. Period. It works like this: just like every other country hit with the maximum ban—take Spain, for example—we’re going to get slapped with the exact same thing. This is a diplomatic move, plain and simple. Nobody wants to start making enemies out of the other nations that already took the full hit. That’s just how the game is played.

Look, when it comes to getting your paperwork sorted, obviously having the right docs in hand makes life a hell of a lot easier. But honestly? That’s just how the world works. It’s been that way forever, and it hasn't changed now.
ironstag8 ironstag8 Active Member
105 messages
joined Apr 2019
#10 ·
@briskdrifter3
Honestly, your chances of finding work in European Union countries are pretty slim—lower than rock bottom—unless you happen to be some kind of superstar in a niche field they’re absolutely desperate to fill. Having a degree and being fluent in a language? That's basically peanuts in this market.
briskdrifter3 briskdrifter3 Active MemberOP
63 messages
joined Oct 2012
#11 ·
ironstag8 said:@briskdrifter3
Honestly, your chances of finding work in European Union countries are pretty slim—lower than rock bottom—unless you happen to be some kind of superstar in a niche field they’re absolutely desperate to fill. Having a degree and being fluent in a language? That's basically peanuts in this market.

So, what you're suggesting is that the massive wave of people landing jobs abroad—people from our neck of the woods who are still making that move today—is somehow earning less than a minimum wage? I couldn't disagree more. Even looking at my own situation... the only thing stopping me from transferring to a branch in another country within my own corporation is the sheer mountain of paperwork. Regarding technical degrees, there is an absolute, desperate demand for that kind of expertise overseas—largely because fewer people are choosing those paths these days. I know of instances in Sweden where they're actually calling people out of retirement because there simply aren't enough young professionals interested in the work... specifically within my sector and my particular corporation...
The reality is that most young people—whether here or elsewhere in Europe—dream of being managers, TV personalities, or running their own coffee shops. That leaves plenty of room for those who actually want to get their hands dirty.
There is an endless supply of skilled trades and essential roles that are in high demand globally: nursing, highly trained hospitality staff, construction (which is seeing a major resurgence over there—a friend of mine is actually back in that circuit)... and so on. Honestly, a German would much rather have a decent worker from our part of the world in a nursing or service role than someone from Romania or Bulgaria.
Jobs exist because those are developed economies... unlike here, where everything feels somewhat... simplified.
Linda Johnson15 Linda Johnson15 Active Member
98 messages
joined Feb 2011
#12 ·
briskdrifter3 said:I agree with all of that... the competition is intense, quite frankly. But do you really believe finding a meaningful job there is harder than being a recent college grad in some small town in America, staring at one local company in bankruptcy proceedings and a municipality where you don't know a soul?
If you ask me, that scenario is a much bigger disaster than being last in line after all the groups you mentioned—and I see examples of it constantly in my own circle, among family and friends alike...

Not by a long shot. It's just a fact that staying local—no matter how tough things are here—gives you way more leverage than trying to break in as a foreigner somewhere else. I actually made it to Norway through a connection; if it wasn't for that, I never would've even set foot in Scandinavia. At the end of the day, I'm just another economist in the crowd, nothing special. Just my two cents.😁
Scott Rodriguez19 Scott Rodriguez19 Active Member
79 messages
joined Feb 2018
#13 ·
I suppose those 3, 5, or 7 years could potentially be applied to America as well—it’s just a guess, really. From what I gather, Bulgaria and Romania are facing that deadline right now, and there is some talk within the European Union about extending the period🙂 by another 3, 5, or 7 years.
Larry Williams5 Larry Williams5 Member
19 messages
joined Jul 2009
#14 ·
Any serious assessment must take into account the demographic trends within immigration-destination countries:
For instance: According to the Eurostat population projection tool, looking specifically at the 20-24 age bracket, we see the following:

SEX: Total AGE: From 20 to 24 years
TIME GEO 2010 2015 2020
Bulgaria 516,606 413,395 314,216
Czech Republic 700,740 653,331 506,140
Poland 2,957,225 2,536,915 2,042,583
Romania 1,725,796 1,262,653 1,106,628
Slovakia 419,859 373,504 298,201

By 2020, these nations have been effectively hollowed out; there simply aren't enough young people left to replace the local workforce as they retire.

Conversely, in the countries receiving immigrants, the influx of new labor into the market is steadily declining:
If immigration were to cease entirely, the 20-24 age demographic would look like this:

AGE: From 20 to 24 years
SEX: Total
TIME 2010 2020
GEO
European union 31,871,673 26,131,294
Germany 4,934,457 3,955,921
Spain 2,619,904 2,108,488
Austria 520,986 443,761
Canada 132,119 93,595
Sweden 605,453 496,054
United Kingdom 4,305,902 3,577,258
Switzerland 470,871 416,567

The bottom line is that the demand for settlement will be massive, even if not a single new job is ever created.
briskdrifter3 briskdrifter3 Active MemberOP
63 messages
joined Oct 2012
#15 ·
Larry Williams5 said:Any serious assessment must take into account the demographic trends within immigration-destination countries:
For instance: According to the Eurostat population projection tool, looking specifically at the 20-24 age bracket, we see the following:

SEX: Total AGE: From 20 to 24 years
TIME GEO 2010 2015 2020
Bulgaria 516,606 413,395 314,216
Czech Republic 700,740 653,331 506,140
Poland 2,957,225 2,536,915 2,042,583
Romania 1,725,796 1,262,653 1,106,628
Slovakia 419,859 373,504 298,201

By 2020, these nations have been effectively hollowed out; there simply aren't enough young people left to replace the local workforce as they retire.

Conversely, in the countries receiving immigrants, the influx of new labor into the market is steadily declining:
If immigration were to cease entirely, the 20-24 age demographic would look like this:

AGE: From 20 to 24 years
SEX: Total
TIME 2010 2020
GEO
European union 31,871,673 26,131,294
Germany 4,934,457 3,955,921
Spain 2,619,904 2,108,488
Austria 520,986 443,761
Canada 132,119 93,595
Sweden 605,453 496,054
United Kingdom 4,305,902 3,577,258
Switzerland 470,871 416,567

The bottom line is that the demand for settlement will be massive, even if not a single new job is ever created.

That is precisely the case. It isn't just that jobs won't decrease—rather, the needs across Europe will actually expand, though certainly not uniformly across all sectors. The economy is fundamentally broken... my colleague Linda Johnson15 serves as a perfect illustration here. Europe is absolutely saturated with economists and various types of managers. Young people seem quite fond of sketching out charts and wearing expensive suits, but unfortunately, a corporation doesn't consist solely of upper management and sales departments... and everything cannot simply be outsourced..
On the other hand, there is a glaring deficit of technical expertise in virtually every field. Some might argue that we simply cannot compete with the Chinese or Indians, but they are gravely mistaken. Anyone who has worked directly with them—as I have, within my own firm, dealing with both groups—understands there is zero chance they can ever compete with a European in roles requiring genuine expertise and inventiveness. Sure, they are inexpensive, but cultural and historical traditions have molded the Chinese into obedient, uninspired workers, while the Indians have become a mass of lazy individuals with degrees... My company actually shuttered its office in India, not because of the cost, but because of the staggering expenses required to fix the blunders they committed. They were useful only for mindless copying and pasting—and even then, they were incredibly lazy..
ironstag8 ironstag8 Active Member
105 messages
joined Apr 2019
#16 ·
briskdrifter3, just take a look at where our young people are heading for school and what they’re actually graduating with—then tell me honestly, how many of them do you think will actually land a high-paying job out there in the States?
Linda Johnson15 Linda Johnson15 Active Member
98 messages
joined Feb 2011
#17 ·
ironstag8 said:briskdrifter3, just take a look at where our young people are heading for school and what they’re actually graduating with—then tell me honestly, how many of them do you think will actually land a high-paying job out there in the States?

The problem is our youth just chase whatever's trendy. Nobody bothers looking at the actual market trends. Even though there’s been a massive shortage of specialized economic talent for years, everyone keeps flocking to business and management degrees...

And then they act shocked when they can't find work, waving their diplomas around and complaining about it.🤷

My own degree was my golden ticket abroad; back home, it's basically useless. Locally, I actually pivoted to a completely different field to make a living—something people usually pick because they didn't have the grades for a business school degree.😉 But honestly? It was the smartest move I ever made in my life.👍

If we could just explain to these kids that picking a niche, "unpopular" trade means being the most sought-after person in the room by the time they graduate... enrollment numbers would look a lot different.🙂
If you set aside the mess in the Republic of America and all the liquidity issues and general nonsense happening here... trades, manufacturing, farming, ranching, or even tourism, would likely pay way better than those flashy import-export schemes and shady shell companies everyone obsesses over.
Scott Rodriguez19 Scott Rodriguez19 Active Member
79 messages
joined Feb 2018
#18 ·
briskdrifter3 said:That is precisely the case. It isn't just that jobs won't decrease—rather, the needs across Europe will actually expand, though certainly not uniformly across all sectors. The economy is fundamentally broken... my colleague Linda Johnson15 serves as a perfect illustration here. Europe is absolutely saturated with economists and various types of managers. Young people seem quite fond of sketching out charts and wearing expensive suits, but unfortunately, a corporation doesn't consist solely of upper management and sales departments... and everything cannot simply be outsourced..
On the other hand, there is a glaring deficit of technical expertise in virtually every field. Some might argue that we simply cannot compete with the Chinese or Indians, but they are gravely mistaken. Anyone who has worked directly with them—as I have, within my own firm, dealing with both groups—understands there is zero chance they can ever compete with a European in roles requiring genuine expertise and inventiveness. Sure, they are inexpensive, but cultural and historical traditions have molded the Chinese into obedient, uninspired workers, while the Indians have become a mass of lazy individuals with degrees... My company actually shuttered its office in India, not because of the cost, but because of the staggering expenses required to fix the blunders they committed. They were useful only for mindless copying and pasting—and even then, they were incredibly lazy..

"A mass of lazy idiots with fancy degrees."😁 It turns out Germans and Austrians hold very similar opinions about us.
"We're only good for copying and pasting, and even then, we're incredibly lazy."👍
It isn't that we don't want to work—the issue is that we don't have the damn time!
lonebadger20 lonebadger20 Newcomer
1 message
joined Jun 2011
#19 ·
Scott Rodriguez19 said:"A mass of lazy idiots with fancy degrees."😁 It turns out Germans and Austrians hold very similar opinions about us.
"We're only good for copying and pasting, and even then, we're incredibly lazy."👍
It isn't that we don't want to work—the issue is that we don't have the damn time!

That isn't a cultural thing. You get what you pay for. Why would an Indian, a Chinese person, or an American slave away for a fifth of the salary when a specialist can just grab papers for the USA or the European Union and get paid fairly? Costs might be higher, but maybe the quality of life and the workplace will be better. I suppose an Englishman needs to know his stuff regardless; it's clearly better for his family to be out West.🤷

I've worked with useless Englishmen, Germans, and Frenchmen before. The only difference is they're more arrogant.😬
Andrew Barrett4 Andrew Barrett4 Active Member
163 messages
joined Jan 2018
#20 ·
The European Union is absolutely packed

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