#421 ·
I don't know. It’s just one of those things where you look at the data and the reality doesn't quite line up with what people say on the news. You see these trends moving in one direction, but then you talk to someone on the street in Chicago or even out in Phoenix, and the vibe is completely different. It’s strange. I think we tend to overcomplicate these systemic shifts. People want a grand theory, a single reason why everything feels a bit off lately, but sometimes it’s just a series of small, disconnected events that happen to cluster together. It’s not always a conspiracy or a massive planned shift. Sometimes it’s just messy. That’s my take anyway. Just an observation. says:
Maria Thomas48
Take a look at this table...
I was looking through this data from the Federal Reserve regarding the historical H.6 release. It’s pretty dense stuff. Just raw numbers on the components of the monetary base. You look at these trends over the long haul and it really changes how you view liquidity in the American economy. Most people just glance at the headlines, but if you actually sit down with the historical files, you see the shifts in how money moves through the system. It's all there in the spreadsheets. Very straightforward once you get past the formatting. Makes you think about the sheer scale of the adjustments they've had to make over the decades to keep things steady. It's interesting. Truly.
The way M1 money supply has climbed over the years... if you look at it through Matthew Patel12’s logic, you have to take the current M1 and add it to the number of years the system has been running, multiplied by that initial M1. It’s a specific way of looking at it. And now we’re hitting a wall because M1 is already ten times smaller than the GDP. It’s a bit of a mess. Just imagine what happens when we actually hit the point where M1 is ten times larger than the GDP based on his principle. That would be something else entirely.
All I could really wrap my head around was that M1 money supply has been climbing by about 3.68% annually over the last 19 years. It’s an interesting trend. If we actually knew what the average annual inflation rate was, we could finally see how much the real value of that M1 supply is actually growing. Or shrinking. It's hard to say without both numbers side by side.
I’ve said this before, but banks are basically just using secondary offerings to multiply deposits. They take those deposits and then use the cash flow to demand massive returns. It also helps juice up the GDP numbers on paper, but it doesn't actually do anything to help people pay off the debt from those loans. It's all circular.
I’ve already said this before: I don't do economic analysis. You need actual, boots-on-the-ground knowledge about how specific economies actually function to pull that off. That’s just not my thing. An analysis by itself isn't enough to provide a solution; it really just points out the problems that follow.
Even if I sat down and put together a massive, deep-dive analysis with a perfectly accurate solution, it wouldn't matter an ounce. It’s all for nothing when there isn't any public awareness about the mess we're actually in. People don't realize that the only real way out is through changing how money regulation works. Tesla had this vision for a superior technological fix—which, honestly, might actually be safe today given how much people worry about things like electromagnetic wave exposure—but it just didn't matter because nobody saw the need for it. There was no collective consciousness. No one was looking for it.
Alright. I’ve put together a completely accurate analysis of how the credit system alone impacts the economy and where exactly the breakdown is happening. It probably won't spark some massive revolution in thinking, though. In my view, I’ve done more than enough to get things moving in the right direction. I’ve said this before, but once we prove the current system is broken, the actual planning for changes needs to be handed over to economists—real intellectuals and patriots who actually have the technical expertise to handle it.
Why should I be expected to have all the answers? Even Leonardo da Vinci didn't have them, yet he still went ahead and imagined the possibility of building an aircraft. It's all the same.
If you want a rough estimate for how much non-credit capital we might need, you could look at it this way. Take the average salary and multiply it by twelve months, then multiply that by the total number of workers. From there, factor in the ratio of total GDP to final consumption. If you run those numbers, you end up looking at roughly $650 billion. That’s about... $1072 Non-credit money per worker annually. If you calculated that based on every single resident, we’re looking at about $12.8 billion. With that much savings per worker, it's pretty obvious people don't have the means to go out and buy cars. I mean, if every third person actually bought a vehicle, their future expenses would skyrocket, leaving them with zero savings for the essentials—housing, furniture, putting kids through college, and all that. In this kind of scenario, it would help if all pensions were financed using non-credit money—assuming, of course, that money is earned through actual merit and not just through who you know—but even then, it doesn't feel like enough. We definitely need to overhaul how banks make their money from interest. Especially when you realize that credit isn't even a fraction of what someone actually earns, and issuing it is essentially a form of forgery. A loan is only backed by a tiny sliver of real value, yet banks demand massive returns. I think I explained the math before—it's roughly 42% annual return on the initial capital if the interest rate is 7%. Just think about those auto loans where the total profit over seven years ends up being more than 50% of the car's price. If the initial cash used is only 1/6th of the total loan, the bank is basically multiplying its money 3.125 times over seven years on just 16% of the principal. Who wouldn't want a business where you triple your cash in seven years? It’s like having a savings account with a 17.6% interest rate. And that’s just a rough estimate. So, who can actually pay this back? What kind of legitimate business produces those kinds of returns by actually increasing the money supply? It's no wonder they're sitting on billions in profits that are impossible to ever pay back.
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