crimsonfalcon10 said:I am scaring no one... I am simply using pure mathematics, just like you... besides, take a look at the link below...
http://img686.imageshack.us/img686/6...itnisustav.jpg
The simulation assumes annual savings of 15% of GDP... we have already calculated this in previous posts since there is no credit in this system and everyone must save... the simulation uses a 3% annual GDP growth rate... we also considered the GDP increase if only 10% of those savings were reintroduced into circulation and what the resulting GDP would be... in that scenario, dividing that 10% of GDP by the standard GDP (which wouldn't account for the return of savings to circulation) gives us the inflation risk...
One solution to make this system work without inflation would be to establish a call center... when someone wants to spend part of their savings to buy a television, they would need to call that center so the government can pull that specific amount of money out of circulation at that moment... that way, his purchase of a television won't trigger inflation... 😂
I think this long-term GDP growth thing is going to be more problematic than people realize. If you’re looking at a steady 3% annual growth rate, that basically means the economy doubles every 23 years, or triples itself every 46 years. I don't know the exact math on all the fallout, but it's bound to trigger some strange consequences. Either everything just gets more expensive, or people actually have to work harder. Personally, I think the price hikes are more likely. Think about it. A cashier at a local grocery store or a bakery isn't suddenly going to scan items twice as fast. Are tractors going to plow fields twice as quickly? Are professors going to lecture at double speed? Even looking at commercials, there’s only so much room for "increased efficiency" before you hit a wall. It can't just go on forever.
I also think that actual growth only really makes sense if it serves a purpose, like meeting people's needs or actually getting the unemployed back to work. Because of all this robotics stuff, we’re going to be able to produce way more than before. So, honestly, I find it hard to believe that real GDP can just keep climbing forever. At the very least, whatever growth we do see has to be more than just a result of the population increasing.
Let’s say we hit a point where GDP stops growing at its current pace. Even then, we’re still stuck dealing with the fundamental issues of how capitalism handles wealth accumulation. It's pretty obvious that if you don't keep increasing the amount of money circulating in the system, the whole capitalist structure starts to fracture. The logic usually follows a certain life cycle: while you're in your active working years, it makes sense to pour money into a retirement fund, and then you tap into those resources once you retire. In a perfect world, that kind of long-term saving just balances out later through consumption. But here's the catch—if people actually can't manage to save for their old age, like what we're seeing right now, the whole thing breaks down.
Maybe we need more non-credit money right now, but that doesn't mean we'll always need it. If we look at pension funds—which charge like a 2% annual management fee on total fund value, which is insane—and we start funding retirees through non-credit means instead, it creates this weird paradox. A larger number of retirees would actually lead to higher earnings for everyone still in the workforce. And obviously, the working population would have to be able to provide for everyone and meet all those needs too.
Any time GDP climbs—or more accurately, when we see more people getting hired and higher earnings per worker—prices tend to follow suit. It’s pretty hard to find an exception to that rule. Extra non-credit money usually fuels that GDP growth. But once we hit that sweet spot of full employment, things get tricky. You end up with too much cash chasing too few workers, which triggers inflation. Think about wages spiking because there just aren't enough skilled hands to go around. Plus, when everyone is working, you get this surplus of savings, but those funds can't really be reinvested into hiring more people since everyone is already employed.
Is the answer found in manufacturing and buying luxury goods? Or maybe just saving cash. Maybe investing in development institutions. Buying stocks. Putting money into new energy sources or focusing on energy efficiency. I don't really know. There is plenty of space and enough money out there to invest, but does that automatically trigger inflation? Not necessarily. The Government can step in with regulations to manage it.
It seems pretty clear from what's being written that there's a high chance non-credit money actually drives employment and general prosperity, rather than just people collecting checks without working. Right now, the system we have just uses this as a carrot on a stick—it's like a donkey chasing something it can never quite reach, while the boss just exploits the whole situation for his own gain.
It’s honestly tough to pin down the exact amount of non-credit money flowing through the system during a transition period. The problem is how we measure production against the GDP. I’ve mentioned this before, but you can legally inflate the GDP quite easily if you want to. Here are some pretty silly examples. If you have a complex corporation with multiple stages of manufacturing and you split up those production units, you end up with double or triple counting the GDP. Internal transfers just pump up the numbers for no reason. Even circular sales—selling the same goods back and forth—can artificially skyrocket the GDP, even though the actual trade result is zero. Every extra hand involved in moving a product adds to the GDP. And so on.
On top of that, we’re dealing with an insane level of interest rate burdens on loans, which means we really need to take some radical action there.
The bottom line is that the current system is a direct path toward endless debt, unemployment, poverty, and total destitution, all built on a foundation of fraudulent laws. Non-credit money that is issued backed by
labor invested in newly created value definitely won't lead to scarcity or poverty. You can't have the issuance of non-credit money following a permanent exponential curve because that money has to be matched by an equal amount of labor coverage. It is physically impossible to continuously invest labor along an exponential flow curve forever.
The government has to ensure that money isn't being handed out without real backing from actual work. That means no bloated bureaucracies where one boss oversees three workers. No dream pensions. No corruption or the shifting of wealth into the hands of a tiny few (which usually happens under the guise of "consolidating procurement"). No social welfare without some kind of community service attached to it. No exploiting the working class until there's nothing left. Etc.
Best,