#221 ·
hiddengardener12 said:Honestly, I think people are making way more drama than necessary about what happens if Hofer wins the presidency. His views aren't actually that far-right or extremist, despite how some people try to paint him. Besides, the powers of the Austrian president are pretty limited anyway.
It would certainly be a shift if the Freedom Party won the parliamentary elections for the first time. But even then, they’d have to go out and find a coalition partner. Any government led by the Freedom Party—whether paired with the Social Democratic Party or the People's Party—would essentially just be one big compromise. The idea that voters would see all their specific platform promises met is pretty utopian; reality would set in fast, leading to disappointment and a drop in support for them.
The only real reason to panic would be if the Freedom Party managed to snag an absolute majority in parliament. Hopefully, we won't see that happening.
Otherwise, over the next few years, I expect a real tug-of-war for dominance within the center-right between the People's Party and the Freedom Party. Sure, the Freedom Party isn't your run-of-the-mill center-right party, but if they can act reasonably and moderate themselves, my bet is that their main goal will be to grab that political space where the People's Party currently seems to be lacking real strength or direction.
I'm not so sure.
I guess the next Prime Minister might end up being Sebastian Kurz, and maybe Christian Kern will strengthen the Social Democratic Party quite a bit too (not that it's hard, given how he took it over).
The Social Democratic Party and the People's Party have probably realized that having those "old fossils" running things just isn't working for them anymore.