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Home › Society › Politics › War in Ukraine › Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5

Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5

Started by Charles Ross3 · · 👁 427 views · 9.2K replies

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Participants Charles Ross3rowdytiger13electrichawk94nimblemoose2Noah Ward2George Robinson43Larry Wilson25Larry Walker24Amanda Allen4Noah Sanchez2Paul Thomas46Jessica Peterson2Nancy Gomez26Nathan Evans78William Anderson5electricsurfer47gentlestag15wiredseal7Thomas Nelson25Donna Harris11Nicholas WatsonJack Kelly5Carol Johnson21Kate Cook27 …
Arthur Miller7 Arthur Miller7 Active Member
129 messages
joined Mar 2022
#2381 ·
darkdriver said:How exactly does a nuclear arsenal not help when you're facing a country that only has conventional weapons?
Hypothetically speaking, if Vladimir decides to just wipe them off the map using a single tactical strike of just a few kilotons against those million Ukrainian soldiers—even if they all managed to gather at once along with their HIMARS, Javelins, Stingers, and everything else—what can Ukraine or the West actually do about it, besides slapping on the 58th round of sanctions?

I think you totally missed my point. When I said "nukes don't help here," I was talking about climate change. Like, there's no fix for that—it doesn't matter if you've got nukes in your back pocket or not, they aren't gonna stop the planet from heating up.
Paul Thomas46 Paul Thomas46 Active Member
101 messages
joined Jan 2018
#2382 ·
Harold Doyle3 said:Look, I’m a political amateur here, so bear with me while I throw out a few questions...
From a purely strategic standpoint: shouldn't the Russians be playing nice with the West instead of picking a fight? If climate change keeps accelerating—which, let's face it, is becoming our reality—they're going to end up with hundreds of millions of Chinese, Indian, and Arab people pressing against their southern borders looking for living space. Obviously, you can't just sit there and watch people perish from the heat, but there needs to be some kind of management. You can't have a total stampede. Russia couldn't handle that alone... but with some Western cooperation, it might actually be organized. Nukes won't solve a migration crisis. The US has Alaska and Canada to retreat to, then there's Europe Scandinavia, Greenland... even Antarctica...

Secondly:

The Russian aggression in Ukraine is essentially creating an "Israel x 15"!
The Ukrainians have access to NATO weaponry and direct experience fighting the Russians. They are going to become the finest soldiers on the planet. Plus, they are brilliant engineers and technicians; they'll figure out how to merge the best tech from both sides to build world-class hardware...
In my opinion, Russia is making some massive strategic blunders...

It isn't really about being naive.
Russia doesn't operate on the same resonance as the West—their logic is fundamentally different. Their goals and the methods they use to reach them align with their own worldview, not ours.

Up until now—well, before this war—you could see this most clearly in how they approached their economy, both domestic and foreign. Now, it’s just as obvious on the political stage.

As Americans like to say, “if it walks like a duck...”
Amanda Allen4 Amanda Allen4 Active Member
238 messages
joined Feb 2013
#2383 ·
darkdriver said:How exactly does a nuclear arsenal not help when you're facing a country that only has conventional weapons?
Hypothetically speaking, if Vladimir decides to just wipe them off the map using a single tactical strike of just a few kilotons against those million Ukrainian soldiers—even if they all managed to gather at once along with their HIMARS, Javelins, Stingers, and everything else—what can Ukraine or the West actually do about it, besides slapping on the 58th round of sanctions?

Ukraine can't do a damn thing, whereas the West actually has the atomic bombs to strike back.
Harold Doyle3 Harold Doyle3 Active Member
216 messages
joined Aug 2006
#2384 ·
darkdriver said:How exactly does a nuclear arsenal not help when you're facing a country that only has conventional weapons?
Hypothetically speaking, if Vladimir decides to just wipe them off the map using a single tactical strike of just a few kilotons against those million Ukrainian soldiers—even if they all managed to gather at once along with their HIMARS, Javelins, Stingers, and everything else—what can Ukraine or the West actually do about it, besides slapping on the 58th round of sanctions?

It doesn't help when you have a hundred million refugees flooding into your borders... how are you supposed to hold them back (or control the chaos) if you've got an enemy staring you down in the West at the same time?

If Vladimir decides to play nuclear roulette, it’s no different than if he just started dropping bombs all over Russia; the only difference is the labels on the casings will be in the Latin alphabet.
Michael Davis9 Michael Davis9 Active Member
64 messages
joined Aug 2012
#2385 ·
Harold Doyle3 said:Look, I’m a political amateur here, so bear with me while I throw out a few questions...
From a purely strategic standpoint: shouldn't the Russians be playing nice with the West instead of picking a fight? If climate change keeps accelerating—which, let's face it, is becoming our reality—they're going to end up with hundreds of millions of Chinese, Indian, and Arab people pressing against their southern borders looking for living space. Obviously, you can't just sit there and watch people perish from the heat, but there needs to be some kind of management. You can't have a total stampede. Russia couldn't handle that alone... but with some Western cooperation, it might actually be organized. Nukes won't solve a migration crisis. The US has Alaska and Canada to retreat to, then there's Europe Scandinavia, Greenland... even Antarctica...

Secondly:

The Russian aggression in Ukraine is essentially creating an "Israel x 15"!
The Ukrainians have access to NATO weaponry and direct experience fighting the Russians. They are going to become the finest soldiers on the planet. Plus, they are brilliant engineers and technicians; they'll figure out how to merge the best tech from both sides to build world-class hardware...
In my opinion, Russia is making some massive strategic blunders...

The United States certainly doesn't have issues when it comes to managing borders and refugees.

The whole thing is really only a crisis for those nations that have essentially handcuffed themselves handcuffs with the concept of "human rights."

Secondly:

Russian aggression in Ukraine is effectively creating an "Israel x 15"!
With access to NATO weaponry and direct experience fighting the Russians, Ukrainians are going to end up being some of the most capable soldiers on the planet. They are brilliant engineers and technicians; they'll take the best tech from both sides and integrate it to build world-class hardware...
In my view, Russia is making some massive strategic blunders...

That’s spot on, especially since this militarization of Ukraine has been building steadily since 2014.
That’s exactly why so many people (myself included) were convinced that a full-scale invasion wouldn't actually happen.

Compared to what Putin has stumbled into now, Afghanistan—which was one of the catalysts for the fall of the USSR—looks like a walk in the park. And let's be real, Russia isn't the USSR; it doesn't possess that same level of capacity.

If you ask me, these are the reasons he dove into this "Ukraine 2022" adventure:
1) Things went so smoothly back in 2014 that he became totally convinced of his own genius.
2) The yes-men surrounding him kept feeding him this narrative that Ukraine was in the exact same position as it was in 2014—weak and fractured—and that the government and Zelensky would just flee the moment the invasion started, causing the whole country to collapse like a house of cards.

There’s a clear parallel here with Hitler; he also took over Austria and the Sudetenland so easily (and later Poland and France) that he became intoxicated by the success and felt he simply "had" to keep pushing, further and further.
To him, the USSR looked like a fragile house of cards that just needed one solid hit to fall apart.
darkdriver darkdriver Active Member
153 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2386 ·
Harold Doyle3 said:It doesn't help when you have a hundred million refugees flooding into your borders... how are you supposed to hold them back (or control the chaos) if you've got an enemy staring you down in the West at the same time?

If Vladimir decides to play nuclear roulette, it’s no different than if he just started dropping bombs all over Russia; the only difference is the labels on the casings will be in the Latin alphabet.

Wait, a hundred million?
I was just talking about a hypothesis regarding Ukraine, and they have, what, maybe 40 million people total?
I honestly don't get the logic here—like, if Vladimir ends up wiping out a million Ukrainians and their gear, why on earth would millions of Ukrainians flee to the very country that just destroyed their people? You know, Russia?
Man, I'd really love for someone to explain that one to me.
darkdriver darkdriver Active Member
153 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2387 ·
Amanda Allen4 said:Ukraine can't do a damn thing, whereas the West actually has the atomic bombs to strike back.

Totally—like, if that's the kind of response I should be expecting...
I mean, we'd just have ICBMs from both sides sitting there in a stalemate, I guess.
electricsurfer47 electricsurfer47 Active Member
177 messages
joined Jun 2018
#2388 ·
Harold Doyle3 said:Look, I’m a political amateur here, so bear with me while I throw out a few questions...
From a purely strategic standpoint: shouldn't the Russians be playing nice with the West instead of picking a fight? If climate change keeps accelerating—which, let's face it, is becoming our reality—they're going to end up with hundreds of millions of Chinese, Indian, and Arab people pressing against their southern borders looking for living space. Obviously, you can't just sit there and watch people perish from the heat, but there needs to be some kind of management. You can't have a total stampede. Russia couldn't handle that alone... but with some Western cooperation, it might actually be organized. Nukes won't solve a migration crisis. The US has Alaska and Canada to retreat to, then there's Europe Scandinavia, Greenland... even Antarctica...

Secondly:

The Russian aggression in Ukraine is essentially creating an "Israel x 15"!
The Ukrainians have access to NATO weaponry and direct experience fighting the Russians. They are going to become the finest soldiers on the planet. Plus, they are brilliant engineers and technicians; they'll figure out how to merge the best tech from both sides to build world-class hardware...
In my opinion, Russia is making some massive strategic blunders...

Even Putin can see now that this was a mistake. But you have to ask yourself—what does Putin actually lose if he calls off the war??? He loses his political standing, himself, and everyone else tied to this whole mess.

In Russia, people are eventually going to realize how many Russians actually died
how much military gear was totally wiped out

And finally, how much damage the sanctions actually caused. I mean the real damage, not the fake version the White House kept spinning through the media.

----
If he walks away from the position he holds right now, he’ll most likely end up in prison, along with everyone else involved.
Harold Doyle3 Harold Doyle3 Active Member
216 messages
joined Aug 2006
#2389 ·
darkdriver said:Wait, a hundred million?
I was just talking about a hypothesis regarding Ukraine, and they have, what, maybe 40 million people total?
I honestly don't get the logic here—like, if Vladimir ends up wiping out a million Ukrainians and their gear, why on earth would millions of Ukrainians flee to the very country that just destroyed their people? You know, Russia?
Man, I'd really love for someone to explain that one to me.

You really need to pay closer attention when you read, then you won't need everything explained to you.
darkdriver darkdriver Active Member
153 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2390 ·
electricsurfer47 said:Even Putin can see now that this was a mistake. But you have to ask yourself—what does Putin actually lose if he calls off the war??? He loses his political standing, himself, and everyone else tied to this whole mess.

In Russia, people are eventually going to realize how many Russians actually died
how much military gear was totally wiped out

And finally, how much damage the sanctions actually caused. I mean the real damage, not the fake version the White House kept spinning through the media.

----
If he walks away from the position he holds right now, he’ll most likely end up in prison, along with everyone else involved.

Like that’s ever been an issue for them
I mean, haven't people always just been treated like disposable assets? Like, didn't they win WWII through pure numbers rather than actual skill? And they've kept that exact same doctrine alive from the end of that war, all the way through the Warsaw Pact era, straight up to today.

I just can't tell whose side they're really on.
boldotter2 boldotter2 Active Member
156 messages
joined Mar 2020
#2391 ·
Michael Davis9 said:The United States certainly doesn't have issues when it comes to managing borders and refugees.

The whole thing is really only a crisis for those nations that have essentially handcuffed themselves handcuffs with the concept of "human rights."

Secondly:

Russian aggression in Ukraine is effectively creating an "Israel x 15"!
With access to NATO weaponry and direct experience fighting the Russians, Ukrainians are going to end up being some of the most capable soldiers on the planet. They are brilliant engineers and technicians; they'll take the best tech from both sides and integrate it to build world-class hardware...
In my view, Russia is making some massive strategic blunders...

That’s spot on, especially since this militarization of Ukraine has been building steadily since 2014.
That’s exactly why so many people (myself included) were convinced that a full-scale invasion wouldn't actually happen.

Compared to what Putin has stumbled into now, Afghanistan—which was one of the catalysts for the fall of the USSR—looks like a walk in the park. And let's be real, Russia isn't the USSR; it doesn't possess that same level of capacity.

If you ask me, these are the reasons he dove into this "Ukraine 2022" adventure:
1) Things went so smoothly back in 2014 that he became totally convinced of his own genius.
2) The yes-men surrounding him kept feeding him this narrative that Ukraine was in the exact same position as it was in 2014—weak and fractured—and that the government and Zelensky would just flee the moment the invasion started, causing the whole country to collapse like a house of cards.

There’s a clear parallel here with Hitler; he also took over Austria and the Sudetenland so easily (and later Poland and France) that he became intoxicated by the success and felt he simply "had" to keep pushing, further and further.
To him, the USSR looked like a fragile house of cards that just needed one solid hit to fall apart.

Actually, if you look at history, autocratic states were actually the ones dealing with the most trouble regarding migrants, minorities, and refugees. That's why they persecuted them—usually unsuccessfully—only to eventually collapse under all that pressure.

Europe and the whole West wouldn't be what they are today if Rome and Byzantium hadn't known how to handle newcomers at their borders. I guess we’re all literally descendants of refugees.
Democracy, industrialization, Western-style socialism, and capitalism have, for the first time in history, created a functional social model where you can actually turn a profit from minority groups.
The USA was built first on the British misunderstanding of "human rights," and then by directly profiting from migrants.

Michael Davis9 said:The United States certainly doesn't have issues when it comes to managing borders and refugees.

The whole thing is really only a crisis for those nations that have essentially handcuffed themselves handcuffs with the concept of "human rights."

Secondly:

Russian aggression in Ukraine is effectively creating an "Israel x 15"!
With access to NATO weaponry and direct experience fighting the Russians, Ukrainians are going to end up being some of the most capable soldiers on the planet. They are brilliant engineers and technicians; they'll take the best tech from both sides and integrate it to build world-class hardware...
In my view, Russia is making some massive strategic blunders...

That’s spot on, especially since this militarization of Ukraine has been building steadily since 2014.
That’s exactly why so many people (myself included) were convinced that a full-scale invasion wouldn't actually happen.

Compared to what Putin has stumbled into now, Afghanistan—which was one of the catalysts for the fall of the USSR—looks like a walk in the park. And let's be real, Russia isn't the USSR; it doesn't possess that same level of capacity.

If you ask me, these are the reasons he dove into this "Ukraine 2022" adventure:
1) Things went so smoothly back in 2014 that he became totally convinced of his own genius.
2) The yes-men surrounding him kept feeding him this narrative that Ukraine was in the exact same position as it was in 2014—weak and fractured—and that the government and Zelensky would just flee the moment the invasion started, causing the whole country to collapse like a house of cards.

There’s a clear parallel here with Hitler; he also took over Austria and the Sudetenland so easily (and later Poland and France) that he became intoxicated by the success and felt he simply "had" to keep pushing, further and further.
To him, the USSR looked like a fragile house of cards that just needed one solid hit to fall apart.

3) Trump was also sucking up to him, which I bet American intelligence circles used to egg Putin on about being invincible, walking him right onto thin ice.
4) The Chinese person also patted him on the back under the guise of "eternal friendship" while he was stepping out onto that thin ice. It was basically, "Go ahead, we've got your back... well, not really."

Putin is just incredibly stupid.
darkdriver darkdriver Active Member
153 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2392 ·
Harold Doyle3 said:You really need to pay closer attention when you read, then you won't need everything explained to you.

A total mess is still just a total mess, no matter how many times you read 😉
Nancy Gomez26 Nancy Gomez26 Regular
787 messages
joined Jan 2018
#2393 ·
electricsurfer47 said:Even Putin can see now that this was a mistake. But you have to ask yourself—what does Putin actually lose if he calls off the war??? He loses his political standing, himself, and everyone else tied to this whole mess.

In Russia, people are eventually going to realize how many Russians actually died
how much military gear was totally wiped out

And finally, how much damage the sanctions actually caused. I mean the real damage, not the fake version the White House kept spinning through the media.

----
If he walks away from the position he holds right now, he’ll most likely end up in prison, along with everyone else involved.

My take? Putin could probably stay in power even if he pulled out of Ukraine entirely, simply because his rule is built on raw force anyway. It would just leave him with a shattered political standing and a bruised ego. It seems more likely he is chasing some sort of historical legacy. For Russia, the bigger issue would be the massive cost of war reparations that would inevitably come due if they retreated unconditionally. I suspect this conflict will breed significant resentment within the Russian military. We are already seeing a massive turnover in high-ranking officers, and that number is only going to climb.
darkdriver darkdriver Active Member
153 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2394 ·
Jeremy Peterson4 said:Anyone got the latest? I’ve been pretty much MIA for the last few months when it comes to following this whole mess, aside from catching wind that they’re gearing up to hit Chicago again.

Word is they're using HIMARS out in the suburbs of Seattle
Michael Davis9 Michael Davis9 Active Member
64 messages
joined Aug 2012
#2395 ·
boldotter2 said:Actually, if you look at history, autocratic states were actually the ones dealing with the most trouble regarding migrants, minorities, and refugees. That's why they persecuted them—usually unsuccessfully—only to eventually collapse under all that pressure.

Europe and the whole West wouldn't be what they are today if Rome and Byzantium hadn't known how to handle newcomers at their borders. I guess we’re all literally descendants of refugees.
Democracy, industrialization, Western-style socialism, and capitalism have, for the first time in history, created a functional social model where you can actually turn a profit from minority groups.
The USA was built first on the British misunderstanding of "human rights," and then by directly profiting from migrants.

3) Trump was also sucking up to him, which I bet American intelligence circles used to egg Putin on about being invincible, walking him right onto thin ice.
4) The Chinese person also patted him on the back under the guise of "eternal friendship" while he was stepping out onto that thin ice. It was basically, "Go ahead, we've got your back... well, not really."

Putin is just incredibly stupid.

I have to disagree there, though I won't dive too deep into it since it feels a bit off-topic. Migrants, minorities, and refugees are actually distinct concepts and represent very different social phenomena.
We are all, quite literally, the descendants of refugees.

I don't quite see it that way, though I would certainly agree that we are all descendants of migrants—that part is absolutely true.
Democracy, industrialization, Western-style socialism, and capitalism have, for the first time in history, achieved a functional social model where minority groups can be directly leveraged for profit.

Minorities and migrants aren't the same thing; they are separate terms entirely.
Within a certain society, a member of a minority group might indeed be a descendant of migrants, but that isn't always the case (take the Basques in Spain, for example).
The USA was built first on a British misunderstanding of "human rights," and subsequently on direct profiteering from migrants.

Migration can be a boon for some societies under certain conditions, while for others, it can be a hindrance.
It is such a complex issue because it relies on an incredibly wide array of factors—affecting both the people arriving and the communities receiving them.

I'll concede that the USA has certainly profited from migration (partly because refugees there often have to work just to survive, unlike in much of the European Union where robust social safety nets exist).
However, even in the USA, there is a massive emphasis on strictly regulating and filtering that migration.

If the formula "more people equals a stronger, better, or healthier nation" were actually true, you'd see people from Switzerland or Finland fleeing to India, China, or Pakistan today. We obviously don't see that happening.

Anyway, we're drifting off-topic here, so I won't get sucked into a massive debate about migration; it's just too broad a subject.
Putin is as stupid as they come.

While the 2022 invasion of Ukraine was a colossal blunder, I wouldn't say Putin played his hand well right up until that invasion.
He managed to hook half of Europe on gas, he secured Crimea for nothing, and he even positioned his own players within the USA. You could say plenty of things about Putin, but calling him "stupid" isn't how I would characterize him.
Nancy Gomez26 Nancy Gomez26 Regular
787 messages
joined Jan 2018
#2396 ·
Michael Davis9 said:I have to disagree there, though I won't dive too deep into it since it feels a bit off-topic. Migrants, minorities, and refugees are actually distinct concepts and represent very different social phenomena.
We are all, quite literally, the descendants of refugees.

I don't quite see it that way, though I would certainly agree that we are all descendants of migrants—that part is absolutely true.
Democracy, industrialization, Western-style socialism, and capitalism have, for the first time in history, achieved a functional social model where minority groups can be directly leveraged for profit.

Minorities and migrants aren't the same thing; they are separate terms entirely.
Within a certain society, a member of a minority group might indeed be a descendant of migrants, but that isn't always the case (take the Basques in Spain, for example).
The USA was built first on a British misunderstanding of "human rights," and subsequently on direct profiteering from migrants.

Migration can be a boon for some societies under certain conditions, while for others, it can be a hindrance.
It is such a complex issue because it relies on an incredibly wide array of factors—affecting both the people arriving and the communities receiving them.

I'll concede that the USA has certainly profited from migration (partly because refugees there often have to work just to survive, unlike in much of the European Union where robust social safety nets exist).
However, even in the USA, there is a massive emphasis on strictly regulating and filtering that migration.

If the formula "more people equals a stronger, better, or healthier nation" were actually true, you'd see people from Switzerland or Finland fleeing to India, China, or Pakistan today. We obviously don't see that happening.

Anyway, we're drifting off-topic here, so I won't get sucked into a massive debate about migration; it's just too broad a subject.
Putin is as stupid as they come.

While the 2022 invasion of Ukraine was a colossal blunder, I wouldn't say Putin played his hand well right up until that invasion.
He managed to hook half of Europe on gas, he secured Crimea for nothing, and he even positioned his own players within the USA. You could say plenty of things about Putin, but calling him "stupid" isn't how I would characterize him.

He let those past victories go to his head. A man needs to recognize his own limits. It seems Putin just found out exactly where his lie ends.
Harold Doyle3 Harold Doyle3 Active Member
216 messages
joined Aug 2006
#2397 ·
darkdriver said:A total mess is still just a total mess, no matter how many times you read 😉

A hundred million Chinese people and Indian people 🤦
darkdriver darkdriver Active Member
153 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2398 ·
Harold Doyle3 said:A hundred million Chinese people and Indian people 🤦

Honestly, you know what? You're totally right 👍
Michael Davis9 Michael Davis9 Active Member
64 messages
joined Aug 2012
#2399 ·
Nancy Gomez26 said:He let those past victories go to his head. A man needs to recognize his own limits. It seems Putin just found out exactly where his lie ends.

That’s beautifully put, and I couldn't agree more.
Gerald Rivera17 Gerald Rivera17 Member
38 messages
joined Oct 2005
#2400 ·


If you aren't really feeling like sitting through the whole thing—I get it, some movies just drag—you can probably just skip ahead to the 1:13:33 mark

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