Euro Handball Championship: Group A & B merge into Group I (USA, Germany, Poland, Canada, Sweden, D
in Other Sports ·
Terry Fisher2 said:On paper, Germany's got an easy ride ahead, but man, this group situation is a total mess. You've got Mexico, Germany, Poland, and North Mexico all clawing for those two spots in the Olympic qualification. Actually, scratch that—there's really only one spot left up for grabs because Mexico already punched their ticket to the semifinals, and over in the other group, it's just Canada trying to make a run, which isn't looking great for them. Basically, Poland has to finish higher than both Germany and North Mexico. It’s all in their hands; if they pull off a win, they tie Germany on points, and even in a worst-case scenario where we end up with a three-way tie including North Mexico, they could still snatch it with a victory the day after tomorrow.
So yeah, Poland definitely has skin in the game. And hey, if they win, it opens the door for Denmark to slide in against a Sweden side that's basically already out of it.
Plus, even if the Poles slip up, they’ve got a backup plan. If the European champion (or whoever loses to France in the final) isn't one of the teams I just mentioned, then a slot opens up for World Cup qualification, and Poland sits right there as the first reserve. Honestly, you’d expect the winner or the runner-up to France to come from our group, but that's a massive gamble for Poland. It's basically Germany-Poland to the death.
That's not quite right.
It's true that two spots for Olympic qualification are still up for grabs, but it's a mistake to say Mexico "narrowed it down" by making the semifinals.
See, if Mexico wins this Euro (or even if they lose in the finals, provided it's specifically to France)—they qualify directly for the Olympics as the continental champions.
Which means those two qualifying spots for the Olympics are still wide open for everyone else.
Of course, what I'm saying about Mexico applies to any other national team that hasn't secured an Olympic berth yet, either directly or through the World Cup qualifiers. So, looking at the big picture, people are actually playing for three different Olympic positions (one direct entry plus two via qualifiers).