USA recognizes Armenian Genocide
in World ·
Zachary Watson50 said:I don't really think it's in Turkey's best interest to attack northern Iraq. Even though there are PKK bases there—which the Turkish military might struggle with since the well-armed, well-trained Kurdish Peshmerga have plenty of experience from fighting Saddam Hussein's army (and the Turkish military too)—they'll definitely put up a hell of a fight. Plus, they'd be risking an open revolt from maybe 20-25% of the Kurdish population right inside Turkey itself. The Kurds aren't exactly a small group... demographically speaking, they're doing quite well, and they have a real warrior tradition. All things considered, I just feel like the Turks would be taking way too much of a risk just to wipe out a few hundred guerrillas and a couple of camps.
The military risks are almost secondary here, because I think this operation is primarily about domestic politics. For decades now, Turkey has been bending over backward under all sorts of external pressure just to remain a loyal NATO partner and try to get into the EU. But now, look—the EU openly won't have them, and one of their biggest US allies has gone so far as to equate them with Nazis. Because of all this humiliation, the Turks are feeling pretty wound up, and I suppose the government needs to give them something to boost morale a little. And wouldn't you know it, what a coincidence, next week Erdogan's government will seek authorization for a military incursion after a public holiday which ends on Sunday, regarding an action that has basically been talked about since July.
Erdogan's government will seek authorization for a military incursion after a public holiday which ends on Sunday, senior ruling AK Party lawmaker Sadullah Ergin said.