Walter Edwards said:Look, you clearly missed my point entirely. It doesn't matter how many times you hit a 1.01 odd in the long run—and I’m talking long run, like years, not just a month—it’s still a losing game. Doesn't matter if you play it once a month or whatever. And honestly, it doesn't matter which sportsbook you use because a 1.01 odd only nets you 1% on your stake. It’s not about the house; it’s about the math. That tiny return is pathetic. Why would you risk $1,500 just to scrape together $15? How often can you even do that in a month? What kind of profit is that? Plus, on sites like FanDuel, they might not even accept your bet, or they'll just flat-out reject you if your stake is too high.
And no, I'm not saying betting on 5.00 odds is somehow better; I'm just saying 1.01 is a joke. But hey, that's just my take. You've got yours, so go ahead and try it if you want.
There are basically three things to address here.
1. I get it, 1.01 doesn't do it for you because the payout is tiny and your bankroll grows at a snail's pace. Me? I play to make money, even if it's small change. From what I've seen, at least 90% of players end up in the red.
2. Where you actually place your bets matters a ton. For example, right now, the "under 5.5 goals" line for Manchester-Tottenham is sitting at 1.02 on DraftKings, but over on FanDuel, it's 1.08. That's four times the profit. To me, that’s where the value lives, and it makes a massive difference. Almost every book out there, except for FanDuel, squeezes huge margins out of those tiny odds, making it a total waste of time. FanDuel is the outlier.
3. FanDuel actually accepts your bets as long as you're within the limits. And the limits are pretty high.
From what I can tell, most people stick to the 1.10-1.60 range. I also notice our local pros rarely touch anything over 2.00. Turns out, there's no money in that either. So, why don't you enlighten us? Which odds do you think actually pay off?