Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion

Luis Suarez - Man City vs Liverpool is giving 2.00
Honestly, Suarez is hands down the best striker on the planet right now when you look at his actual form. We're talking 19 goals in just 12 matches—that kind of insane production is enough to make even Cristiano Ronaldo or Lionel Messi take notice! Sure, Man City is absolutely ferocious when they're playing at home, but let's be real, their defense is looking incredibly shaky and they've been conceding goals almost every single match lately. On the flip side, Liverpool has been absolutely tearing it up, netting 25 goals over their last 7 games, so it's hard to imagine them walking away without finding the back of the net, and if anyone's going to do it, it’ll likely be Suarez. This is such an incredible value play for a player currently playing at this level.

Both teams to score at 1.92 (0-3)

Both sides have been looking absolutely terrible lately—honestly, there's massive pressure on KRC Genk here... they basically have no choice if they want to keep their heads above water.
They’re out there preaching about how they absolutely *have* to pull off a win today.😁
Now, look, even though the visitors are struggling with form, they play with this insane level of grit, especially when they're traveling... it's annoying to deal with.
They've already gone out and snatched wins against Standard Liège, RSC Anderlecht, and Zulte Waregem on the road, so why wouldn't they do the exact same thing in Genk while the home side is spiraling?
I really think the home team is desperate for a decent result—they need to snap this losing streak... if things go somewhat normally, they should be able to find the net at least once.

Thursday 4:00 PM

StJohnst/odg-Celtic da @ 1,75 (0-1)

Just looking at the stats here—neither side has managed to hit both markets in their last four matches in the Scottish Premiership. So, what do we think? Are we ready to bet on both streaks snapping at the same time? Let's go!

driftingotter47 said:Luis Suarez - Man City vs Liverpool at 2.00

That’s an incredible line for a guy playing with this much confidence right now.

@ 2.25 at the sportsbook

Man City vs LiverpoolCity to score in both halves2.5 @ SS (2-1 (2-1))

The home side is absolutely lethal at their own stadium, averaging over four goals a game in the league. I’ve got a feeling this one is going to be wide open, and at these odds, it's definitely worth a shot. Let's face it—neither of these defenses can be trusted to hold anything together.

Are we facing Hyde United again today?🙂 My only real fear is this downward spiral they're on; surely a losing streak can't last forever, though I find myself wondering if they might actually snap out of it just when we meet them.🙂Wrexham AFC can't possibly sink any lower, yet there's always the risk of a further slide, which might provide them with a desperate sort of motivation.I’m looking at the coefficient for 2, much like last time, sitting at @1,65 (2-5). Does anyone happen to know the underlying reason behind Hyde's recent string of poor results?

Tottenham vs Stoke City/Stoke scoring a goal at 1.70 (3-0)
Even though Tottenham is the clear favorite here, I honestly think the odds on Stoke finding the back of the net are absolute gold. If you look at the history between these two sides, Tottenham has failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 out of their last 9 matchups. On top of that, those 9 games ended in a 4-2-3 split. Stoke always seems to find a way to cause problems for Tottenham. In fact, the home side has conceded in 11 of their last 12 matches...

Rotherham United vs Coventry City 3+ 1,78 (1-3)

Look, Coventry is playing absolutely lethal right now—they are scoring goals left and right, just totally clinical—and while Rotherham is an ambitious side that’s definitely going to come out hunting for the whole prize, the visitors can score against anyone... honestly, I just see a match with plenty of goals here.
The last meeting was a 0:3 win over in Coventry.
Rotherham is averaging about 2.8 goals per game, while City is pushing closer to 4... over

Manchester United (-2+) - Tottenham Hotspur X2 @ 1.20 (1-2)
I’ve really been liking this over 1.5 goals option lately. It’s become a bit of a staple on my betting slips.
Manchester United is on a roll right now. They’ve pulled off four wins in a row, and if you factor in the Champions League and the Carabao Cup, that streak jumps to six. They have momentum, so I’m expecting them to find the back of the net at least once today. The visitors aren't lagging behind either. They’ve won four straight away games, including one in the Europa League, where they hammered home nine goals—that's nearly two per match. When you look at their last five head-to-head matchups, three went over 2.5 goals and two went over 1.5. To me, this looks like a solid play.

09.29.12 PRE Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 2 : 3
08.22.11 PRE Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 3 : 0
10.30.10 PRE Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 2 : 0
04.24.10 PRE Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 3 : 1
12.01.09 CAP Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 2 : 0

Southampton FC (-2+) - Chelsea FC X2 @ 1.25 (0-3)
Another game like this, though looking at their recent history, this one might actually be even more predictable.

12.01.13 PRE Chelsea FC Southampton FC 3 : 1
03.30.13 PRE Southampton FC Chelsea FC 2 : 1
01.16.13 PRE Chelsea FC Southampton FC 2 : 2
01.05.13 FAC Southampton FC Chelsea FC 1 : 5
04.02.05 PRE Southampton FC Chelsea FC 1 : 3

So, all five of those ended with goals, and four of them actually cleared the 3.5 mark...
In their last five home games, Southampton FC has a goal difference of 11:8. They’re scoring regularly, but they’re also giving up goals just as often. It’s a very similar story with Chelsea FC; when they play away, they almost always manage to score. Their only outlier was that recent trip to Arsenal FC which ended in a 0-0 stalemate.

Peterborough United (2.5) - Brentford FC (1-3)
Both teams are sitting pretty at 5th and 1st respectively, and while they are incredibly efficient offensively, they both seem to leave the door wide open defensively.
Just looking at the last five matches, Peterborough United has a goal difference of 10:9, while the visitors sit at 12:6.
Their head-to-head history tells the same story. Out of their last five meetings, four finished with scores like 1-2 or 2-1, and one was a 3-2 thriller.
The "over" bets are looking like a good value play here, especially at 1.80. I definitely have to give this a shot.

11.26.13 LEA Brentford FC Peterborough United 3 : 2
10.08.13 JOH Peterborough United Brentford FC 2 : 1
01.11.11 LEA Peterborough United Brentford FC 2 : 1
10.23.10 LEA Brentford FC Peterborough United 2 : 1
03.11.08 LEA Brentford FC Peterborough United 1 : 2

Real Madrid vs. PSG: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.05 (Parlay)
(1-0)
Look, I know it’s technically just a friendly, but I don't think the competitive edge will be missing—especially since this feels like a rematch of that intense showdown between Miller and Thompson back during the playoffs. Since they're playing in Qatar for those big-money sponsors, word is both squads are showing up with their heavy hitters.
I've got a feeling we're looking at an entertaining, wide-open match with plenty of action in front of the net.
Real has this habit of staging late comebacks—not always in the final whistle, but they find ways to turn it around—so I’d say let's take the chance that PSG jumps out to an early lead, only for Real to snatch the win at the end.

Real Madrid vs. PSG: 2/1 @ 27 (1/1)

15:45 Real Madrid vs. PSG: Both teams to score at 1.50 (1-0)

Eric Fox7 pretty much nailed it. For anyone playing it a bit safer, the odds on this pick are still solid. Given their last friendly ended in a 1-0 win for Madrid, I’d be hard-pressed to see a repeat of that defensive grind.
Since this is an open match played for pride and a massive crowd, I’m expecting both sides to find the back of the net, even with all the tactical subs likely coming in during the second half.
Good luck, everyone!

Monday, 01/02/2014
MLS
8:45 PM

Hibernian - Hearts 1
Odds: 1.70 (2-1)

Seventh place facing the bottom of the table.
I’m calling this one not necessarily because the home side is dominant, but because Hearts has managed to scrape together just one single point in their last six matches. On top of that, due to some points being docked—for reasons I can't quite pin down—they've fallen significantly behind, sitting at -2 points.
I suppose their ambitions dried up a long time ago, so a draw seems like the only logical outcome given the decent 1.70 odds.

stormyharbor13 said:Celtic vs. Rangers 1
SS: 1,70

I don't know much about these specific rosters—but I do know this is a heated Old Firm derby. You've got one side representing Catholics and the other Protestants; the rivalry is massive. Personally, I'd steer clear of it—these matches are notoriously volatile and frequently defy any logic suggested by the league standings.

09:30 LA Galaxy vs. LAFC @ 2.10 (2:2)(Parlay, though DraftKings might offer a bit more)

The Galaxy is really digging in to stay in the hunt for the playoffs—and they’ve got a massive hurdle in the form of LAFC, who are looking pretty dangerous right now with Del Pier leading the charge.
If you look at how these two have matched up lately, it’s hard to bet against some action in the net. Out of their last five meetings, four of them saw both sides finding the back of the net with at least three goals scored in total—and even if you look further back, seven of their last nine matches followed that same high-scoring pattern. Both squads this season have been playing a bit of an open game—plenty of scoring, but also plenty of defensive lapses—averaging close to three goals per match.
Over the last couple of seasons, things have swung both ways, so I figured I'd throw a small amount on both outcomes just to cover the bases:

LA Galaxy (p/k)-LAFC 2/1 @ 27; 1/2 @ 33 (X/X)

ADELAIDE UNITED VS SYDNEY FC X 3.40 (2:2)

Through 12 matches, Sydney hasn't drawn once. I love chasing trends like that.
Obviously, I'm not betting the house on it, but you can't ignore the math.
In a league where draws pop up all the time, getting 3.40 odds based on this kind of stat is too good to pass up.
Historically, these two have split points plenty of times, and Adelaide has already played four draws this season alone...
Good luck, everyone!

Saturday 5:00 PM

Cyprus League 1

Alki vs. Ermis Arad. 2 @ 1.35 (1-2)

So, Alki is basically that team that’s been totally sidelined—partly because of some gambling drama and partly due to a massive points penalty. I mean, they're sitting at minus 12 points after 14 rounds! Can you believe that?

On the other side, Ermis is sitting in fourth, fighting hard for the title. They've had four straight draws against the heavy hitters at the top of the table lately... honestly, isn't it about time they finally grabbed a win against a bottom-feeder?

As for the FA Cup, word on the street is that Nottingham Forest and Watford are coming in super unmotivated and looking pretty thin on talent, so let's go with this
Saturday 4:00 PM
Bristol City/Watford/dng-Bristol gives @ 1.35 (1-1)
Sunday 1:00 PM
Nottingham/West Ham/dng-West Ham gives @ 1.40 (5-0)

Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins 1@1.55 (DraftKings) (0-0)

I honestly expected the odds for the home team to be a bit shorter, but this is actually looking like even better value.
The Mariners are sitting right in the thick of it, tied up in points with both the 3rd and 5th place teams. Over the first 12 games, they've picked up five wins, and four of those came right here at home. They aren't exactly scoring a ton, but their defense is solid—they've only let in three goals across seven home matches.
As for the visitors, calling them a disaster is being generous, which is why I'm surprised the odds aren't lower. They’ve managed a measly four points out of a possible 36, and they haven't managed a single win yet. They're giving up nearly two goals per game on average. After two draws in their last five outings, they're now staring at a three-game losing streak. I really don't see them walking away with anything from this one.

Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao: Over 1.75 goals (2-0 predicted)

Whenever these two squads square off, you can pretty much bank on an average of 3 goals per match... it's just how they play.
Looking at the numbers this season, Sociedad is sitting at a 3.2 goal average while Bilbao is hovering around 2.7. Plus, Sociedad has been absolutely tearing it up in La Liga lately—nine straight games with 3+ goals. On the other side, Bilbao’s away form is solid too; out of eight road trips, they’ve failed to find the back of the net in only two of them.
The home side is packing heat with guys like Griezmann, Vela, and Agirreche... and the visitors aren't playing around either with Aduriza, Toquero, Muniain, and Susaeta... honestly, both rosters are basically missing nothing except for their defensive specialists,
like de la Bella, Estrada, Zurutuza, and Granero for the hosts, and Laporte for the visitors.

Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers 1@1.35 (1-0)

Just a little something to bump up the odds on my parlay. Honestly, looking at how these teams have been playing lately, I don't see any surprises coming here. Seattle is riding high with three wins in a row, while the visitors haven't managed anything more than a single draw in their last five outings.
When you break down the home versus away splits, the picture becomes crystal clear.

12.15.13 MLS Seattle Bologna 3 : 0
12.12.13 CONCACAF Seattle Dnipro 2 : 1
12.02.13 MLS Seattle Verona 4 : 3
11.10.13 MLS Seattle Sampdoria 2 : 1

12.15.13 MLS Lazio Portland 2 : 0
12.01.13 MLS Chievo Portland 3 : 0
11.09.13 MLS Inter Portland 2 : 0
10.27.13 MLS Bologna Portland 1 : 0
10.06.13 MLS Napoli Portland 4 : 0

And finally, the head-to-head matchups:
02.21.10 MLS Seattle Portland 2 : 1
09.26.09 MLS Portland Seattle 0 : 1
02.27.08 MLS Seattle Portland 1 : 0
09.29.07 MLS Portland Seattle 0 : 3
01.28.07 MLS Seattle Portland 2 : 1

Monday 7:00 PM

Real Madrid/vs Celta Vigo yes @ 2.30 (3-0)

Man, I was watching all eight games in the Spanish second division yesterday and today—thinking "both teams to score" was a lock—but nope! Not a single one hit. Seriously, I don't think I've ever seen a stretch like that. I guess tomorrow we have to hope at least one slips through, assuming Real actually pulls this win together
.
Next Saturday 4:00 PM

Grimsby Morton-Raith Rovers 2 @ 1.90 (0-0)

So, Morton is officially one of those hopeless clubs I’ve started following—seriously, how do you even do that? They're sitting on eight straight losses right now! They're nine points behind the playoff bubble, while the Rovers are right up there in the thick of the hunt for a postseason spot.