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NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Started by Raymond Brown11 · · 👁 19 views · 241 replies

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Participants Raymond Brown11Lawrence Castillo76Christian Ruizstormyseal9Dana Baker2wiredcanyon39Matthew Rodriguez9Eric Fox7placidranger19Keith Moore21James Taylor3graniteotter6Nicholas Chase34analoghound21ruggedgull32Joshua Garcia8Arthur Hill2Drew Palmer66Alex Cookferalranger81Walter Reed3Frank Morgan30Jessica Johnson2lonedrifter68 …
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#161 ·
Keith Moore21 said:That’s exactly why I went with a straight win. ☕

You caught the scent of that one perfectly. 👍

Today features some top-tier matchups worth watching.

I expect Miami to handle the Knicks quite easily. LeBron always seems to find an extra gear at MSG—he averages around 35 points there—and he’s more than capable of shutting down Anthony. I'm looking at a comfortable Miami win by about 10.

LA Lakers-Dallas—tough one.
Things could get interesting here. Kobe is out, but Bynum is playing absolutely lights out—so that might not even matter.
It could go either way—honestly, I think the best move is to just sink into the couch and watch this one without any unnecessary stress. 😁

Regarding the Sacramento vs. Portland matchup—I think the Kings are much closer to a victory here. Portland struggles on the road, whereas the Kings have been solid at home, taking down much tougher opponents throughout this season. Plus, Cousins has been a constant headache for them all year; without Camby around, I doubt Przybilla can hold him down effectively. It wouldn't be a bad move to lean into his scoring if he's available—I don't see his line going much higher than 18-19 points anyway.
Thomas Cook54 Thomas Cook54 Member
41 messages
joined Jan 2012
#162 ·
Maybe Gasol is a decent pick. He’s been averaging pretty well since Kobe's out, and he put up some good numbers against Dallas this season... I guess Atlanta, Boston, and Chicago should slide through easily... personally, I have a feeling it'll be either Miami or the Lakers going into overtime.😁
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#163 ·
main ticket

Anthony over 25.5 1.85
-Finally, the guy is actually playing the way he’s supposed to! He is absolutely cooking right now and deserves huge credit for how much the NYK has turned things around lately—though, let's be real, having a coach who completely revitalized this entire squad doesn't hurt either. In the last game against Wash, they even rested him for a bit, playing him just 29 minutes while still dropping 18 points. You gotta mention that his shooting has leveled up to about 50% efficiency. He’s been consistently dropping buckets against heavy hitters like Chi (29 and 43), IND (39), and ATL (36), so I don't see any reason why he wouldn't do it again today against a Miami squad that looks pretty unconvincing on the road
James over 26.5 1.85
-In the last outing against Cha, he mostly sat out during a blowout after putting up 19 points, but honestly, he was probably just saving himself for today's clash against NYK. These two always give us great games—I mean, he put up 51 total points in their two matchups this year with a 52.9% shooting percentage, so why wouldn't he go off again?
Johnson over 16.5 1.85
-Over the last 10 games against the Raptors, whenever he's on the floor, they walk away with the win, averaging 23.9 points from him. Seriously, when he scores 21 or more, the team is a staggering 17-2! My only tiny worry is that in the last 5 games, he’s only taking 13 shots compared to 16 previously, but hey, as long as we don't get another blowout, he should clear this line without breaking a sweat
Monroe under 15.5 1.85
-He’s gone over this number in his last two games, but let's be honest, those were against much weaker teams than Chicago, like Milwaukee and especially Charlotte. Given that in their three meetings so far this season, Detroit has been held to just 74 points, he’s naturally going to have a harder time finding ways to hit the over. His stats against the Bulls this season are 14, 19, and 14, so the trend is shifting
Gay under 19.5 1.85
-Look, the guy is in good form, but this brutal schedule of 5 games in 7 days is bound to take its toll eventually. That’s the logic behind my pick here. Plus, it's a back-to-back situation after playing Utah last night, and in their last matchup in New Orleans, he only managed 12 points on 5-of-11 shooting

standard stake, Favorite😉

Deng over 15.5 1.85
-Since Ruzica came back, he’s looked totally unrecognizable, barely dropping 3 points. Because of that, I really believe Deng is going to have his hands tied loose today, especially since he recently dropped 20 points against this same opponent
Scola under 16.5 1.85
-I feel like with Lowry back and Dragica playing so well, Scola is increasingly being pushed into the background, which you can clearly see in his production. Not too long ago, he was regularly hitting the over, but now his margin has been shaved down by 2 or 3 points because of some lackluster performances lately
Denver(207.5)-Houston under 1.85
-This is a straight-up battle for the playoffs. Both teams are sitting at the exact same 32-27 record, so I'm betting both sides will have to step up their defensive intensity. Houston grabbed a 98-90 win in Denver, but Denver bounced them back with a 117-105 win on the road. Statistically speaking, Houston rarely goes over a total this high
Garnett over 16.5 1.85
-People were calling him an "old man" recently, and what did he do? He shut them up with some brilliant performances! Especially looking at his last 5 games where he's averaging 20 points and 9.8 rebounds. He even put up 46 points in two wins against Charlotte this year, so the vet is still got plenty in the tank
Batum over 15.5 1.70
-With Aldridge sidelined, he's getting more shot attempts, and he proved he could handle the load by dropping 20 points against Dallas last time. This should play perfectly into his hands today against a Sacramento defense that has been absolutely terrible
Miami under 95.5 1.85
-NYK has won 13 of their last 17 games, including nine straight at Madison Square Garden, which is their longest streak since 1997! They’ve been winning by an average of 20 points and holding opponents to just 83.3 points. Meanwhile, Miami hasn't played well on the road since the All-Star break; they've lost 8 of their last 9 against teams with winning records. Their only win was in Philadelphia, and even then, they couldn't crack 84 points
Orlando under 98.5 1.85
-The Magics are in rough shape, dropping 4 of their last 5 since Howard left. To make matters worse, Anderson is playing like a different person and their biggest weapon—the three-pointer—has been completely broken. It’s going to take a miracle for them to clear this line

6/7 system SS🙂
Good luck to everyone following along, and to everyone else too!
Dana Baker2 Dana Baker2 Newcomer
1 message
joined Apr 2011
#164 ·
Detroit under 87.5
Nobody really manages to blow out the Bulls—well, actually, nobody 😁—and it’s even harder against the weaker teams from the East. Detroit is proving that point; they’ve put up 83 (H), 77 (A), and 68 (A) against Chicago this season. Since I don't see the Bulls pulling an early blowout, I expect solid defense all night, which points toward the Pistons under.

Charlotte-Boston under 183.5/Charlotte under 87.5 Boston
Boston is stuck in a heavy stretch of games and fatigue is definitely setting in. After that embarrassment against the Raptors, they can't afford a slip-up here. Even though their offense struggles sometimes, their defense is legit—they've been holding opponents under 90 consistently. 9 of the last 10 Celtics games have stayed under the 183.5 mark. Given that the Bobcats are the worst team in the league, I don't see them hitting 90, and I also don't see Boston running away with this early given their packed schedule lately.

Portland under 102.5
Sacramento at home can take on pretty much anyone, even a depleted Portland squad that has zero ambitions left. I think the Blazers, without Aldridge, just won't clear this line in what should be a relatively even game. In their last 7 outings, they only went over once (at home against the Warriors), and against the Kings, they scored 92 (A), 101 (H), and 101 (H)—and obviously, Aldridge was on the roster for those.

I noticed there's no breakdown for the team totals or the over/under for the LA Lakers-Dallas game...😕 Why the wait?🤷 I've got something in mind, but I'm not going to call it blindly.

Also, James over 26.5 is tempting, but I'm unsure about Wade—supposedly he's playing.🤷 If that's the case, this might be a winner.

stormyseal9 said:Orlando under 98.5 1.85

I'm feeling this one too. 👍
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#165 ·
James Taylor3 said:You hit the nail on the head there. 👍

We've got some absolute bangers on the schedule today.

I’m leaning towards Miami absolutely crushing the Knicks. I mean, LeBron always seems to find another gear at MSG—I think he averages around 35 points there—and he should be more than capable of shutting down Anthony. My gut says a comfortable Miami win, maybe by about 10 points or so.

And then there's LA Lakers-Dallas... man.
That one could go either way, honestly. They're missing Kobe, but Bynum has been playing out of his mind lately.
It could be anything, really. Might be best to just crash on the couch and watch this one without getting too stressed out about it. 😁

Solid matchups, but none of them are making it onto my parlay. Just gonna sit back, relax, and enjoy the games. 😁

For today, I'm just looking at Chicago and Boston... Chicago is on the road against Detroit, but they've swept them three times this season quite easily. No major injuries to worry about (Rose should be back in the lineup too), and since they have the best record in the league, every single win counts. Plus, Detroit is nowhere near the playoffs, so they don't really have much motivation left...🤷
As for Boston, it's pretty simple: they're facing the worst team in the league on the road—a squad that basically doesn't even know how to play basketball and looks completely unmotivated and lacking any real talent...
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#166 ·
Keith Moore21 said:Great games, but none of them are touching my parlay—I'd rather just watch and enjoy the action. 😁

For today, I'm looking at just Chicago and Boston... Chicago is on the road against Detroit; they've swept them three times this season quite easily, and they're healthy—Rose should be back in the lineup. They have the best record in the league, and every win counts, whereas Detroit is nowhere near the playoffs and lacks any real motivation. 🤷
As for Boston, it’s simple: they’re playing the worst team in the league—a squad with no identity, zero motivation, and frankly, no talent.

Watch out, though—this is Boston's third game in a row. They're tough as nails. 🧐

Chicago should outclass Detroit by keeping their scoring low... 🤷

Expect Miami and LeBron James to tear through the New York Knicks; it should be a great game.
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 Member
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#167 ·
Keith Moore21 said:Great games, but none of them are hitting my parlay. I'd rather just watch and enjoy the action. 😁

For tonight, I’m strictly looking at Chicago and Boston... Chicago is on the road against Detroit. They’ve swept all three matchups this season quite easily, and they don't have any injuries to worry about (Rose should be back in the lineup too). They currently hold the best record in the league, so every single win matters. Meanwhile, Detroit is nowhere near the playoffs and honestly lacks much motivation right now. 🤷
As for Boston, it's pretty simple: they're playing on the road against the most convincingly terrible team in the league. That team plays without any cohesive identity, shows zero drive or desire, and frankly, they lack the talent.

Regarding Boston, it's worth noting this is their third game in three nights, but then again, those are the Charlotte Bobcats...

I'm expecting wins from Miami and Dallas in these "national" matchups, maybe LeBron James to go over, and things of that nature. But tonight is just about the spectacle. Betting takes a backseat. 🙂
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#168 ·
Arthur Hill2 said:I mean, we should probably mention that the Boston Celtics are playing their third game in three nights—but then again, they're going up against the Charlotte Bobcats...

I’m calling it now: I expect Miami and Dallas to pull through in these "national" matchups, maybe a LeBron James over, stuff like that... but honestly, tonight is just about enjoying the games. I'm putting my bets on the back burner for once 🙂

Yeah, totally forgot about that whole Boston Celtics back-to-back-to-back situation 👍
but even so, it's still the Charlotte Bobcats 😵 🤣
analoghound21 analoghound21 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Jan 2024
#169 ·
Keith Moore21 said:Detroit is nowhere near the playoffs, so they don't really have much motivation left 🤷

Oh, really? You think they aren't motivated? Here's their motivation: 🙂

Chicago is playing on the road against Detroit, and they've swept them all three times this season—not even that hard. Nobody's sidelined (Rose should be back in action too), and since they have the best record in the league, every single win counts.

Who's gonna be motivated if they aren't playing them? 🤷 ...I'm not saying they'll pull off some massive upset, though. 😁

Looking at Charlotte and Boston, I feel like the best play here is Charlotte under 87.5. It's their third game in three days, and like you guys always say, these old guys are probably going to try and slow things down again. Given how things are looking, I doubt we'll see any kind of track meet out there... 🧐
...the Bobcats have been putting up 82 (on the road against Miami), 85 (home vs Detroit), 90 (on the road against Cleveland), and 85 (home vs Washington) lately; but honestly, I’m expecting an even slower pace than those games
The Boston Celtics have been giving up 82 (to the Brooklyn Nets), 84 (to Toronto), 84 (to Atlanta), 107 (to Miami), 79 (to the Philadelphia 76ers), and 72 (to Indiana)...

By the way, regarding that Orlando under... you've gotta consider that this is also the third game in three days for Cleveland. That means the Orlando Magic could really benefit if they manage to force a faster tempo, and frankly, I don't have much faith in Cleveland's defense right now. Plus, after those two rough losses (81-109 against Atlanta and 93-85 against Washington), the Magic should be hungry enough to show up. So, I'd be careful with that one 🤷 ...if we were talking about a more consistent team, I'd take it in my sleep, but hey, it's Orlando... 😳
Thomas Cook54 Thomas Cook54 Member
41 messages
joined Jan 2012
#170 ·
Arthur Hill2 said:I guess we should mention Boston is playing their third game in three nights, though that's just how the Bobcats roll...

I'm leaning toward Miami and Dallas winning these national matchups, maybe LeBron James going over, stuff like that... but tonight is just for fun. Not really worried about my bets right now. 🙂

It’s probably more fun when the game is actually good and you've got a parlay running to watch.😁
Drew Palmer66 Drew Palmer66 Active Member
54 messages
joined Feb 2012
#171 ·
Turiaf & Haslem are out
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#172 ·
analoghound21 said:well, duh, there's their motivation right there: 🙂

who's gonna be motivated if they aren't playing against them? 🤷...not saying they'll pull off an upset, though 😁

when it comes to Charlotte and Boston, I feel like my best bet is probably taking Charlotte under 87.5. It's their third game in three days and, like you guys said, the old guys will probably want to slow things down again—given how things are looking, I doubt we're seeing any kind of track meet here...🧐
...the Celtics have been giving up 82 (away at Miami), 85 (home vs Detroit), 90 (away at Cleveland), and 85 (home vs Washington) lately; though, honestly, I'm expecting an even slower pace than those games
The Celtics have been allowing 82 (vs Nets), 84 (vs Toronto), 84 (vs Atlanta), 107 (vs Miami), 79 (vs 76ers), and 72 (vs Indiana) over their last few outings...

btw, regarding that Orlando under... you gotta keep in mind this is also the third game in three days for Cleveland. That means it could really work in the Magic's favor if they manage to push a faster tempo, and I don't exactly have tons of faith in the quality of Cleveland's defense; plus, the Magic should be pretty hungry after those two tough losses (81:109 to Atlanta, and 93:85 to Washington), so I’d be a little careful there 🤷 ...if it were any other team, I'd say take it without thinking, but hey, it's Orlando...😳

go for it 🤣

man, Rose and his crew are just gonna win this one 😁 I'm with you on the Bobcats under, but the Celtics are winning this; I seriously don't see anyone actually being able to touch them...

you're spot on about Orlando—everyone watch out with that under. Everything you wrote is true, plus if Orlando starts hitting threes, they'll just breeze right through it 😁
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 Member
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#173 ·
Thomas Cook54 said:It’s even more of a blast when there’s a great game on and you actually have a parlay running to follow along with.😁

Look, I put a little something down, but I'm not talking about any serious stakes here. I'm certainly not expecting a massive payout. If it hits, it hits.👍

Good luck to everyone tonight😁.
Dana Baker2 Dana Baker2 Newcomer
1 message
joined Apr 2011
#174 ·
Drew Palmer66 said:Turiaf and Haslem are both OUT.

Haslem is playing!😍
Drew Palmer66 Drew Palmer66 Active Member
54 messages
joined Feb 2012
#175 ·
Dana Baker2 said:Haslem is playing!😍

You're right. The update just dropped.
So, he's playing after all.
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#176 ·
Nothing's been officially confirmed yet, but keep an eye on the #Celtics—looks like they might be playing without Ray Allen (ankle issues), Paul Pierce (toe), and probably Kevin Garnett (resting) tonight.
Dana Baker2 Dana Baker2 Newcomer
1 message
joined Apr 2011
#177 ·
Lawrence Castillo76 said:Still nothing official, but look for the #Celtics to be without Ray Allen, (ankle), Paul Pierce (toe) and probably Kevin Garnett (rest) 2nite. about 1 hour ago

Are you kidding me?!🙂
And I took the Charlotte Bobcats under. I just can't catch a break with Boston.🤣
ruggedgull32 ruggedgull32 Active Member
92 messages
joined Jan 2012
#178 ·
Lawrence Castillo76 said:Still nothing official, but look for the #Celtics to be without Ray Allen, (ankle), Paul Pierce (toe) and probably Kevin Garnett (rest) 2nite. about 1 hour ago

Might be worth grabbing Rajon Rondo over 10.5 🤷
I mean, he hasn't exactly been lighting it up lately, but if those three big names are sitting out tonight, someone's gotta step up and carry the load. Plus, the line isn't even that high...
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#179 ·
Lawrence Castillo76 said:Still nothing official, but look for the #Celtics to be without Ray Allen, (ankle), Paul Pierce (toe) and probably Kevin Garnett (rest) 2nite. about 1 hour ago

Interesting—I doubt the Celtics win tonight, even if they're playing the Bobcats.

ruggedgull32 said:You could take Rajon Rondo over 10.5🤷
He hasn't been scoring much lately, but if those three are out tonight, someone has to step up—plus, the line isn't very high...

Top tier logic there—that line is negligible. He’d probably hit that even with a full roster, let alone this depleted lineup. Expect a double-double from Rajon Rondo tonight (points and rebounds); he won't have anyone to dish to since James Pietrus can't hit the rim this season, leaving only Caron Butler as an option.
Laura Morris4 Laura Morris4 Member
12 messages
joined Aug 2007
#180 ·
ruggedgull32 said:You could take the over on Rajon Rondo at 10.5 points.🤷
He hasn't exactly been lighting it up as a scorer lately, but if those three guys are sidelined tonight, someone’s going to have to step up and carry the load—plus, 10.5 isn't a huge bar to clear...

10.5 is a pretty solid line.

We're definitely on the same page here.

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