NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Disappointed in the Clippers and Memphis. It’s pretty rough. I had a feeling there was a catch if those odds shifted like that, but I suppose you always hold out a little hope anyway...🙂

Lawson over 14.5

"Honestly, I thrive on the road," Lawson told the team's official website. "There's something about hearing the crowd boo you that gets me going. I'm totally ready for it, especially when we head out to Utah and Chicago this Monday and hit those cities with the loud, rowdy fans. I live for that energy."

Road projection 16.5...

Bosh over 16.5 @ 1.85
He's looking sharp, plus the Detroit frontcourt defense has been looking pretty shaky lately, so I think he eats well tonight.

Pierce under 18.5 @ 1.85
😁Iggy
should be able to hold him down enough.
☕

Main Ticket

Lawson over 14.5 @ 1.85
Duncan over 14.5 @ 1.85
Howard under 22.5 @ 1.85
Millsap over 16.5 @ 1.85
Bosh over 16.5 @ 1.85 SS

It’s international, sure, but don't let that fool you because I'm dead serious about this one🤷

Gasol PF under 18.5 @ 1.85
Bynum over 17.5 @ 1.85
Iggy under 12.5 @ 1.85
James under 28.5 @ 1.85
Dunleavy over 13.5 @ 1.85
Henderson over 13.5 @ 1.85
Williams over 21.5 @ 1.85
Oklahoma under 110.5 @ 1.82

Running a 7/8 system for today, just what I've got for you guys, good luck to everyone, let's get this bread☕

Nicholas Chase34 said:Bosh over 16.5 @ 1.85
Great form paired with the Pistons' weak interior defense

Pierce under 18.5 @ 1.85
Iggy 😁

☕

I don't know, maybe I should grab Mel over 18.5 too? ☕

Up until a week or two ago, they had him pegged at 21 or 22 points. Now they've finally come to their senses.
To be fair, 18 doesn't look like a bad bet either. Thoughts?

shadowjackal27 said:I don't know, maybe we should look into grabbing Mel over 18.5 too? ☕

Man, it feels like just a couple of weeks ago everyone was calling his line at 21 or 22 points, but it looks like they finally woke up and realized what was actually happening. It’s kind of funny seeing them smarten up all of a sudden after being so far off the mark before.
Honestly, he’s only 18 and he already looks like he’s got some serious potential, don't you think? He’s definitely holding his own. What's your take on him?

The value is definitely sitting on the over here, because Melo—who honestly plays like a slightly more chill version of Bryant—is such a pro at drawing contact. He’s got this knack for getting to the charity stripe, so I really think he could easily breeze past that ridiculous line. 🤷

Christian Ruiz said:[Houston-Golden State] Luis Scola over 16.5#

First off, greetings to everyone; I hope my questionable expertise might be of some small use to you all.

So, looking at Luis Scola over 16 points—on paper, it seems like a reasonable margin given his season average of 15.7, but today’s matchup actually tilts quite favorably for this bet. After all the noise and speculation surrounding trade rumors, Scola announced he’s perfectly happy staying put in Houston. Beyond the fact that his heart is settled and he isn't exactly itching to pack up and leave Texas, he’s been producing solid numbers on the court, averaging 18.4 points over the last five games. What really bolsters this wager when examining the Rockets' injury report is the absence of both Lowry and Martin; frankly, even if they weren't facing the Warriors, this would be a tempting play. While the line was pushed higher because those two are out, it doesn't actually hinder Scola's production—if anything, it helps. Scola simply knows how to step up as the leader when the situation demands it. Furthermore, they are facing a squad that has also been restless with recent trades, and much like a team hungry for change and first-round picks, they are grappling with serious injury issues. They are essentially playing without a true frontline since Biedrins is sidelined and Udoha was traded away; they even pulled Tyler up from the G-League, a guy who just earned his first career start last game. Because they are thin on height, Tyler and Lee are rotating at center, while McGuire has been moved from small forward to power forward to cover alongside Lee. And to top it all off, the whole group seems to be playing what you might call mediocre defense.😁 Last season, Scola served them well, averaging 25.3 points in the three games they played against them. This season, in their lone meeting, Scola put up 14 points but managed only 6 rebounds, which is remarkably low. However, when you weigh all the circumstances, I believe this margin is short by at least two points.

tracked by 🤣

While I was looking for some league lines, I noticed the Lakers handicap is sitting at -8.5 tonight. Honestly, I think it’s an easy cover—the Blazers basically have a brand new roster, and frankly, they aren't any better than they were before. They're absolutely abysmal on the road, just as bad when playing on the second night of a back-to-back, and they simply lack the size to deal with Gasol and Bynum, both of whom have been playing lights out lately. Plus, Aldridge logged 40 minutes last night, while Batum and Matthews both cleared 35—they aren't going to find it easy tonight.

James Taylor3 said:While I was looking for some picks for the league, I noticed the spread on the Lakers tonight is set at -8.5 . I suspect this will be an easy win; the Blazers basically have a brand new roster that's arguably worse than their previous one. They struggle immensely on the road, they’re equally terrible on back-to-backs, and they just don't have the size to deal with Gasol and Bynum, both of whom have been playing exceptionally well lately. On top of that, Aldridge logged 40 minutes last night, while Batum and Matthews both played over 35—they probably won't find it very easy tonight.

A subliminal message, is it? 😁

Philadelphia - Boston
Philly just isn't playing at that same insane level they were hitting back at the start of the season, but hey, they're still sitting pretty at the top of the East. Meanwhile, those grinders from Boston are steadily climbing their way up, and honestly? They’re shaping up to be one of the absolute nastiest matchups you could face in the playoffs. I mean, Philly is obviously the favorite here without even having to think about it, but man, this line looks too juicy to pass up. I might just take a swing on 😉

wiredcanyon39 said:Philadelphia - Boston
Philly isn't quite playing at that same level they were at the start of the season, but they're still sitting pretty at the top of the East. Meanwhile, those Boston guys are starting to find their rhythm and are becoming one of the toughest matchups in the playoffs. Philly is the clear favorite here, but this line looks too good to pass up if you're looking to play it safe and stay away. 😉

Boston hasn't been great on back-to-back sets either, so if you can steer clear of this matchup entirely, go for it. That said, the odds are tempting. Good luck.

Hey everyone!

Bosh over 16.5
He’s sitting at 18.2 PPG this season. He’s really found his rhythm lately, dropping 29 and 23 points in his last two outings, while only missing about 4 shots per game. Detroit has been giving up 23 points to PF players and shooting 27% against them. He's averaging 21.7 PPG on 50.6% shooting. There's some doubt surrounding LeBron due to head, neck, and elbow issues. Even if he does suit up—though he mentioned yesterday he would, but http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3AB1EW41WzI—Bosh should be able to pick up some of those extra shots. Plus, if LeBron plays through the injury, he'll likely take fewer attempts himself. Detroit's defense is pretty shaky when it comes to defending mid-range shots from PFs, so Bosh could easily find some easy garbage-time buckets—maybe 2 or 3 right there. In their last meeting, they averaged 25.1 points, and Bosh put up 27.

Bargnani under 17.5
The Knicks have a massive hole in their PF defense (Stats shows they are struggling big time), but when facing an elite PF who serves as the engine of an offense, the coach usually brings in Chandler to handle business. Chandler is easily in the top 5% of defensive players. Bargnani has been out for two months with an injury; he returned on March 10th and just hasn't regained his offensive touch. In his last eight games, he only cleared this line twice—scoring 18 against Memphis and 19 against Cleveland. (Cleveland allowed 27 points to PFs in the NBA without their primary defensive big man, who used to be an All-Defensive selection; against Memphis, the Raptors went for 114 points, so tonight the team should realistically score about 20 points less). The Knicks and Raptors played just three days ago, where Bargnani finished with 15 points on 5-of-15 shooting.

Ray Allen under 14.5
The Celtics are on a back-to-back, and Ray is 37 now. He’s arguably the greatest shooter ever with the smoothest mechanics you'll see. His whole game relies on the three and shots outside the paint. However, Philly is playing at home and boasts one of the best defenses in the NBA, especially regarding frontcourt coverage. They allow a mere .248 percentage for frontcourt threes, and their perimeter defense is the best in the league, holding opponents to .386 from mid-range and deep. They also rank second in the league at guarding the SG position, allowing only 1.5 to 4.5 made threes per game. Ray will be matched up against sophomore Evan Turner—a fantastic defender who is faster, taller, and stronger than Ray. These teams met once this season when Ray was also on a back-to-back; he struggled with just 2 points on 0-for-5 shooting and two free throws.

Studemire over 17.5
Last year, Stats showed he led the NBA in scoring efficiency relative to minutes played. This season, his productivity has dipped a bit because of all the new offensive talent joining the roster, but the skill is definitely still there. He’s scored 20+ in each of his last two games. While the Raptors are decent at guarding PFs (ranking 12th in the NBA), they struggle against PFs with high-quality mid-range shooting (especially since Bargnani is falling out of the defensive rotation), and Studemire is easily a top-5 player at his position. They've faced off twice this season, with him scoring 21 and 22 points. Since the other PF, Jeffries (who averages 20.3 minutes), is 100% out tonight, Studemire should see plenty of floor time.

Good luck!

Stuckey ( Detroit ) is out tonight, and Parker won't be suiting up either.

Detroit (h+8.5) - Miami Heat 2 1.85

It seems like new NBA fanatics are popping up everywhere lately—like mushrooms after a heavy rain. 👍

James Taylor3 said:While looking for some lines for the league, I noticed the Lakers are sitting at -8.5 tonight. This feels like an easy cover—the Blazers are essentially running a new roster, one that’s arguably worse than what they had before. They are desperate on the road and struggle immensely on back-to-backs. Plus, they lack the interior presence to deal with Gasol and Bynum, both of whom have been playing lights out lately. To make matters worse, Aldridge logged 40 minutes last night, while Batum and Matthews both cleared 35—they aren't going to have much left in the tank for tonight.

graniteotter6 said:A subliminal message, huh? 😁

☕

James Taylor3 said:It seems like these new NBA fanatics are popping up everywhere lately, just like mushrooms after a heavy rain. 👍



☕

He’s back, he’s actually back! 🤣

wiredcanyon39 said:He’s back—he actually did it. 🤣

I didn't—look, I just felt strongly about this one, so I placed the bet. 😁

I have no intention of getting back into gambling full-time. Maybe I'll throw something down once every couple of days. 😁

Let's not turn this thread into an argument; besides, I've got to head out. Bokić, out. 👋

Blazers -8.5 All in

ALL IN

James Taylor3 said:It feels like every time I turn around, these new NBA fanatics are popping up everywhere like mushrooms after a heavy rain. Seriously. 👍

Whatever. Whatever. 🙂

☕

Total blowout. Honestly, what even was that? Just a complete and utter disaster from start to finish. I’m sitting here staring at the screen like, "Is this actually happening?" My eyes hurt just from watching that train wreck unfold. Absolute carnage. 🙂

I mean, I wouldn't be surprised if they pulled off a win tonight, but honestly? The coefficient alone makes this matchup pretty interesting... especially seeing the Spurs out there without Parker. 🤷

I’m on the same page as Tsigi regarding Portland; yeah, take the Lakers handicap.

They brought in Sessions, and honestly, his current shooting numbers look absolutely fantastic. Portland, as we’ve already established, is in full tank mode and currently sitting on the heavy end of a back-to-back.

Also, getting 1.40 on the Bucks against a weak Charlotte squad sounds pretty satisfying. Just a word of caution, though—they’ve lost five straight playing in Charlotte.

I see Tsigi didn't count me in...
"lagani šroć" wrote this: 😁

Now I suppose I have to follow along, whether it turns out to be garbage or not.

Bosh is over-definitively done. For the old times' sake.