NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Wall is already messing things up in the first quarter.

Crawford took 7 shots and only sank one.

Wall only managed to get one shot off. 🤷

Now Young is coming in too.
Ugh... I've already checked out on this game. There are way too many ball hogs on the court... 🤷

DeRozan was absolutely tearing it up in the second half, but I managed to pull off a win by playing my Derrick Rose card against the Nuggets' spread. 🥳

Wall is losing his mind in the second. Let’s just hope the Warriors don't go on a 25-point run in the fourth.

And DeRozan is basically inviting them to score... Defense is non-existent right now. It's embarrassing...

Whatever.

DeRozan is absolutely killing it right now... I’m planning on playing Howard, which shouldn't be an issue since the game is at Eagle and Rose is more than enough, but who knows? We'll see how it plays out. Good luck, everyone.

Honestly, my dear, nothing is going right today... what a complete disaster...🙂

Howard headed to the bench smoothly just before the end of the third quarter. If the Nuggets can pull off this win, we'll be looking at a double. 🙂

That was easily the worst performance I’ve seen from Rose in her entire career.

Guess I’m stuck picking one of those guys who basically owns this entire forum—and we all know how much those "experts" actually nail their picks. -.-

It’s true, because when you have NBA players hanging out on this forum, they just can't handle the heat once half the community starts betting against them. Not to mention those specific players where everyone takes the under; they end up feeling personally insulted, so they decide to double down and push the action toward the over just to spite us.🙂

I mean, Iggie only managed four shots and didn't get a single free look at the basket, which honestly feels like a pretty solid foundation given how things have been going. I guess he’ll probably find his rhythm and start firing off more attempts in the second half, so if you're looking at the over, it should be a relatively easy win.

Arthur Hill2 said:Yeah, because NBA players hang out on this forum too—then they can't handle the pressure when half the users bet against them. Not to mention those guys betting the under who get their feelings hurt and decide to tilt by doubling down on the over just to spite everyone.🙂

I was thinking more along the lines of Murphy's Law, but I guess your version works as a consolation prize.😁

Now Denver’s going to screw everyone over just to pad their pockets

I find it hard to believe the Nuggets won't walk away with this win against the Kings; they just made such amateur mistakes...🙂

Idiots leave things unfinished, and honestly, it's unbelievable. 😠

I'm rooting for the Kings now. Really wish they'd just pull off a win for once.

Joshua Gonzalez33 said:Sportsbook: DraftKings
Odds: 1.85
Pick: Dirk Nowitzki over 22.5 👍

Dirk’s been decent lately, though he barely played against Memphis and dropped 19 against New Orleans—but let's be real, New Orleans defends the PF spot pretty well, giving up about 19.4 points there per game. They even gave up 40 to Utah last outing. Looking at his matchups against OKC this season, he’s put up 8, 26, and 29; basically just missed the mark once. Oklahoma is struggling to defend the PF position and the paint in general, allowing 22.1 points on average to guys in Dirk's spot. He’s been averaging over 23 these last 10 games, so I think he hits the over tonight, especially since OKC games usually turn into high-scoring affairs.

Sportsbook: DraftKings
Odds: 2.00
Pick: Griffin vs. Howard, Howard 👍

Found an interesting matchup here; looks like a value play to me. Odds are sitting at 2.00. Howard has been scoring 28, 33, and 14 over his last three. Honestly, feels like he's putting in more work lately than he was at the start of the season. He's averaging 21 over his last 10, and facing Toronto tonight shouldn't be too bad since they aren't great defending the center position—they're actually 11th in points allowed at center. He had 19 against them in their first meeting, but he was dealing with Bargnani then, and since Bargnani’s been out injured for a while, Howard should have an easier time.
On the flip side, Griffin hasn't looked great since the All-Star break, posting 14, 17, and 14 in his last three against teams with mediocre interior defense. He’s also struggled on back-to-backs, averaging just 18 points, and he’s coming off an overtime game yesterday, so fatigue is definitely a factor. Facing Minnesota tonight is tough, especially with Love playing lights out against Portland. Griffin usually does well against Minnesota, but I think the exhaustion might bite him tonight.

Sportsbook: FanDuel
Odds: 1.85
Pick: Kyrie Irving over 18.5 👍

Irving has been rolling with 20, 22, and 24 points over his last three. He’s been on fire since the All-Star weekend, where he led the charge during the Rising Stars game with 38 points. With Vareja still out, he's taking more shots, and I think Millsap and Jefferson can handle Jamison in the paint. Utah is tied for 2nd in the league for points allowed to point guards, along with Miami and Memphis, giving up 21.1 per game. This one likely goes over 200 total since both teams allow a ton of points; their first matchup ended 113-105, where Kyrie scored 20. When Cleveland breaks 100, Kyrie averages 21.7 (his overall average is 18.5), and Utah is even worse at defending PGs when opponents score 100+, ranking dead last in the league by giving up 25.7. Seems like a clear over to me.

Good luck, I'd personally lean toward Irving or Dirk earlier.

Everything went south. If I’d just put it on Denver as a single, I would’ve been fine, but oh well.🙂

wiredcanyon39 said:Milwaukee Bucks - Philadelphia 76ers +1.75 @ 1.85
7/10
Igoudala over 12.5 @ 1.85
5/10
Minnesota Timberwolves - LA Clippers +2.5 @ 2 @ 1.85
6/10

So, 2 out of 3 hit, which is a decent little win, I guess. Anyway, I gotta head into work now. Once I'm back, I’ll drop three more analyses and start testing out this new 2/3 system I’ve been thinking about. Basically, we look for odds around 1.85; if two legs hit, you get a small profit, but if the whole thing lands, we go with a 3x stake. Might work, maybe.😁

I wonder if Rose actually got hurt or if he just had a really rough game 😕 🤷

Mark Williams15 said:Now they're going to screw over Denver just to line their own pockets.

Denver😵 🤦is actually 🙈going to 🙂get
shafted.
🙂What kind of absolute bull**** 🙂is 😠this?

Adam Williams2 said:Did Rose get injured, or was he just playing that poorly?😕 🤷

The first quarter was rough. They were down 1-9.