NBA Betting: Vol. 2

3 out of 4 today—not bad at all.
San Antonio absolutely crushed Oklahoma. Not that I'm bitter or anything, but for the sake of my parlay, it would've been nice if they hadn't slumped so hard. 😁

Jeremy Lee67 said:I assume someone followed along—it wasn't exactly a wild, imaginative parlay, but those odds were certainly rewarding enough.🤷

Today, I’m feeling good about Minnesota, the Bulls, the Knicks, and honestly, even the Pistons. I'll put something together later this evening.

I suspect some of you tracked the action again; our main ticket has now hit three days in a row.😁 If only the Lakers had pulled it off—and if Rose had managed just one more basket—that 1,185,000.15 odds ticket would have landed, and I’d likely be out on some luxury yacht right now, sipping martinis alongside some stunning models.

Goodnight.☕

Quote

Jeremy Lee67 said:Man, someone actually stayed glued to the screen again, didn't they? Because my main parlay just hit for the third straight day! Can you even believe that? Three days in a row!😁 If the Lakers had actually pulled that win and Rose had just sunk one more basket, I’d be sitting on some massive parlay with 1,185,000.15 odds right about now, probably sipping martinis on a luxury yacht surrounded by gorgeous girls. Seriously, can you even imagine? One more bucket and my life would be completely different!

Goodnight, everyone!☕

Congrats!😉Man, I am absolutely losing my mind right now because Rose and Duncan completely screwed me over on my parlay by just one single basket! How does that even happen?! One shot, one tiny little bucket, and suddenly my whole slip is dead in the water? Are you kidding me with this?🤷Man, seriously? It’s been two days straight and we are still talking about the exact same thing! Are we actually stuck on loop here or what? Seriously, does anyone else feel like we're just spinning our wheels at this point? Same old story, day after day, and I am honestly losing my mind!😠Man, I’m really hoping for some better luck today, but honestly, what am I even supposed to play when the odds are this garbage? I mean, seriously, looking at just two games? It’s almost impossible to find anything worth touching with lines like that!🤷I’m sitting here thinking, maybe I should just go with Pierce over, Garnett under, Gay over, Gasol under, James under, and DeRozan under... what do you guys think? Is that too wild or am I onto something here?🤷Man, I seriously need to go check those margins right now!

Quote

Nicholas Chase34 said:Pick of the day:
Milwaukee vs. Chicago
Here’s my take for this one: Chicago @ 1.55 Full Time: 90-113

Washington-LA Clippers
My pick: Thinking about putting some action on the first quarter with the LA Clippers at 1.7, honestly sounds like a pretty solid way to kick things off if you're looking for some early momentum. 17:28


Jefferson
My pick: I'm feeling pretty good about taking the under 18.5 points at 1.85. 18 points!

☕

☕ 😉

ironwalker4 said:Just quoting myself here. I put together a spreadsheet 😁

download file - 217.5 Kb

So, I've included every player offered in the sportsbook. All data from January 9th is in there, including last night's games. If you want to use it, just start adding your own data from today onwards.
The numbers show how many points they went over/under by. Each number is a direct link to the box score on NBA.com for that specific game.
The gray cells indicate away games where the player's team was visiting the team listed in the first column.
At the very bottom, you'll find the total over/under for each player against all teams, and on the far right, the total over/under for all players against each specific team.
You can find anything easily using Ctrl+F. Just type in the last name of the player you're looking for.

There's a million other things I thought about adding, but the sheet is already getting too massive. To do anything more advanced than this, you'd need to be a programmer and build actual software...

The table looks a bit empty, but that's mostly because I left space for every player to play four games against every single team—which doesn't happen in the NBA.😁

Hope this helps someone with their bets.

Nice work, this is actually a pretty sweet little tool, but man, there's a lot of work involved. I got a bit lost trying to wrap my head around it... 😁 once I get the hang of it, though...

Man, thank God I decided to pass on Martin... ended up playing right into the hands of the Clippers and the Bulls 🙂

It was basically Parker's masterclass in basketball school—trading those looks for Westbrook, hitting 42 shots, dishing out 9 assists, and zero turnovers 🙏

Checking out tomorrow's matchups on Betway, and I’ve gotta say, seeing them put the odds at 1.80-2.00 for Orlando - LA Clippers caught me off guard. 🤷

If those lines hold up tomorrow, I'm definitely taking the Clippers. ☕

Bryan Adams6 said:I was checking out tomorrow's matchups on Betway, and I gotta say, seeing those 1.80-2.00 odds popping up for Orlando - LA Clippers caught me a little off guard🤷

If those lines hold steady through tomorrow, I'm definitely riding with the Clippers☕

Personally, if I get those kinds of odds, I’m probably grabbing them with a spread like +2.5

In the end, he somehow managed to hit the Knicks spread—even though they were trailing by 12 at one point. 🙂

Arthur Hill2 said:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EEFBECsE-gk

🙂

EDIT: Actually, I'm passing on Terry. Cleveland's defense is just too weak to handle a duo like that.

Griffin against Howard (Hibbert should provide decent coverage for Dwight, so Griffin ought to cover his margin—check this pic)
Chicago (That "home court" feel while playing away; they match up well against Milwaukee, and Rose usually handles Jennings easily 😬)
Minnesota 1x (Tsigijev pick, straight win or draw, no handicap needed since we're covering with the X)
Jefferson under (Playmaker pick)

Griffin



For today:
LeBron James under 27.5 (Bosh's former team will likely demand more ball touches from Chris, and since Wade is averaging 32 points against the Raptors, I have a feeling James might end up on the short end of the scoring battle)

I am also weighing Memphis +4.5. To be honest, the Celtics haven't convinced me they are truly elite, plus:

Quote: While Boston has yet to beat a team from the West, Memphis has won four straight against East foes by an average margin of 15.7 points. The Grizzlies have won their last two at Boston.

There are other alternatives to consider, like Garnett under, Allen/Pierce over, or Gasol younger over. Something profitable should surface eventually.🙂

Miami vs. Toronto
My pick: Miami over 102.5 points @ 1.85

I'm looking closely at DeMar DeRozan here.
My pick: under 14.5 points @ 1.85

Nicholas Chase34 said:Miami - Toronto
pick: Miami over 102.5 points @ 1.85

DeMar DeRozan
pick: under 14.5 points @ 1.85

Is this suitable for a medium or large Fortuna bet?🤷

I'm expecting a blowout against Toronto tonight, which might mean LeBron sits most of the second half... I guess the Miami spread and LeBron under is my pick...

Man, there’s absolutely nothing on the board today worth getting excited about, so I guess I'll just throw together a basic parlay and see what happens🤷

Pierce over 19.5 @ 1.85
Allen under 16.5 @ 1.85
Gay over 19.5 @ 1.85
Bosh over 17.5 @ 1.85
DeRozan under 14.5 @ 1.85 HL

Just a tiny little bet, nothing crazy here🤷

Thomas Cook54 said:I'm expecting a blowout against Toronto tonight—which should mean LeBron sits most of the second half. My pick is Miami spread and LeBron under...

Be careful with that logic—in these types of blowouts, starters usually only get a breather during the final 4 or 5 minutes, which isn't much at all.

Starters typically only sit out the fourth quarter if there's a lead or deficit of 30+ points.

Besides, Miami is a squad where three players account for 70% of their average 103.5 points per game—nearly 70% total—so LeBron can hit that threshold even with reduced minutes.🤷

Plus, LeBron's shooting percentage this season is ridiculous—sitting at 55.1%. That’s the best mark in the league for positions 1 through 3 (it's expected that bigs in the 4 and 5 spots would naturally shoot higher than perimeter players).

frozengull49 said:Is this meant for a mid-to-high level bet?🤷

I'm thinking more along the lines of a smaller bet 👍

28w/28l ; +25,119 units; ROI: +9.27%

Boston - Memphis
Pick: Memphis

Odds: 2.75

Bookmaker: Fortuna

Bet: 4/10

Completely lost focus on the NBA for a moment. 🤦

Quick breakdown. Memphis has been playing sharp lately—they have a solid roster specifically built to cause trouble for the Celtics. Former Celtic Tony Allen should be excellent at shadowing Ray Allen. Pierce is likely going to struggle against a much stronger Gay. With Bassa out, the Celtics' frontcourt relies heavily on Garnett and a declining O'Neal. Gasol could realistically dominate Jermaine, and I'm not sure Speights can handle Garnett on defense.
Rondati's return is a significant boost for the Celtics; he’s essentially their only major advantage over the Grizzlies and their playmaker Conley, who is decent enough.
Boston's bench is looking desperate without Bassa, whereas Memphis's depth—led by May’s recent strong form—isn't bad at all. I think Memphis takes this, and Fortuna is tempting us with these high odds.

Tony Allen is inexplicably out for Memphis. 😕

There was absolutely nothing mentioned regarding his injury. 🤷

Nobody's really following that stuff over there anyway, and honestly, since it's Super Bowl day, who even cares about those two games? It's just not worth worrying about the bookmakers right now when the big game is happening.

boldgull20 said:Nobody is even watching that stuff—it’s Super Bowl day. Honestly, who cares about those two games? They aren't worth a damn right now.

I’ve been scanning the Memphis sports outlets, local fan blogs, and even some forums—not a single mention of any injury or anything similar.