NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Robert Green93 said:Magic is absolutely killing it while I'm out here playing Howard, and now he's just sitting on the bench like nothing happened...
Man, what a joke. Everything's going wrong.

No luck with Howard tonight. He's only got 5 points so far, but he’s already racked up 3 fouls.🙂 His free throws are a disaster, 1-for-7 so far.😠

Man, I’ve already blown my stack on him two games in a row now. I am going to chase this sucker until I hit it, even if I end up totally broke.

Last game, I took the over 22, and the guy drops 21—and get this—he didn't even touch the rim in the last 15 minutes...🤣

wiredpilot2 said:I’ve already missed out on him two games in a row now. I’m going to keep chasing him until I finally hit, even if it wipes my whole account out.

Last game I took the over 22, he finished with 21, and the guy didn't even touch the rim in the last fifteen minutes...🤣

Martingale 🤣

Come on, Scola... He had 10 in the first quarter, but now in the second, he’s sitting on just 2 points. I was really hoping we'd hit the over by halftime, but clearly, that's not happening. 🙄🙂

Man, I’m such an idiot, I spent over 197.5 minutes watching Houston vs. San Antonio.
Thank god the buy-in was only $3.25 🙂

So there it is... lost by half a basket in Scranton 🤦 (18 when he needed 19)

Yesterday at Ellis Island, missed by half a basket too 🤦 🤮

Dammit, what a joke. Rose was finally finding his rhythm and then he goes and picks up his fourth foul right when things were heating up.

EDIT: And that fifth one looked suspicious as hell. These stupid calls just completely ruin a massive momentum shift.

Keith Moore21 said:today's Rockets vs Spurs game—under 197.5...

Ended up 105-85, so the under hit perfectly. 👍
I don't know, man... I feel like I've been hitting these international vibes lately—think Portland, Dirk going over 22.5, those Lakers games where they're up by 20 with two minutes left, or even just watching Orlando and Chicago. 👋
Honestly? I think my gut feeling is actually working better than any deep dive analysis I could do. 🤷

Anyway, I'm hitting the road now, folks... catch you later. Keep an eye on the NBA for me and have an awesome New Year's Eve... see ya Monday. 👋

Since nobody else seems to be stepping up, I guess I’ll have to be the one... KD 🙏 🙏 🙏

...I mean, what kind of absolute legend is this guy? Honestly, just glad I’m alive to witness his era 🙂

@prO... wait, did you actually go through with that payment? 😁 I honestly can't even wrap my head around you right now 😕 😬

Keith Moore21 said:105-85 FT, just barely 👍 made it through.
I had this weird gut feeling about a massive upset—thinking maybe Portland, Dirk going over 22.5, the Lakers up by 20 with two minutes left, Orlando, Chicago... you know how it goes. 👋
Honestly, I'm better off just following my gut instead of overanalyzing everything. 🤷

Anyway, I'm hitting the road, folks... catch ya later. Keep an eye on the NBA for me and have a killer New Year's Eve. See you Monday. 👋

Congrats
👍

I tried doing the same thing yesterday, just playing it by ear. Deleted all my NBA apps, but man, even with parlay picks, the luck just wasn't there. 🤣 🤦

Cheers, and safe travels!

I can't even begin to describe how Durant absolutely wrecked me with that buzzer-beater 😢. That shot basically incinerated two of my tickets in one go—I had him under 29.5 points on one and the Mavericks to win on the other... man, I honestly can't believe it
.

Samuel Ramos87 said:Durant absolutely wrecked me with that buzzer-beater three... 😢That shot killed two of my parlays instantly. I had him at under 29.5 points on one and Mavs moneyline on the other. I still can't believe it...

Same story over here... 🙂
What’s the move today? Thinking about taking the over on Nowitzki... seems solid.

Dallas, Boston, and Atlanta all moving to higher stakes

I think I’ve cracked the code🙏

When the Sixers, Pacers, and Grizzlies are all playing on the same night, just bet on them.

You can come back and thank me around April or May once your bank accounts are looking heavy.😁

National Picks:
Charlotte 1
Pistons 2
NOH 1
Heat 2
Dallas 1
Phila 2
Bulls 2
Sportsbook Return -95.2%

Well, I suppose even the best streaks have to end eventually, because today marks our first losing parlay of the season, based on these three singles:
Indiana x
Memphis x
Milwaukee x

Total disaster for Houston vs. San Antonio. 🙂

The Spurs went 2/17 from deep. 🤮
Free throws were a mess—only 65%. 🙄

Rough night.

Joshua Garcia8 said:If it ends 92-80, an Orlando bet wins because 92 minus 11.5 is 80.5—which beats 80. A New Jersey bet would lose.

Final score: 94-78. 😲

You were pretty close on the score. 🙏

What's the consensus on Miami? Also, I was wondering which of these matchups might end up being tight enough to actually consider playing a contrahedge.

Miami really needs to pull this one off—though, honestly, they don't look like they're playing at a hundred percent right now. They just keep scraping by. Against Boston, young Cole absolutely tore them apart, and last game it was LeBron and Bosh carrying the load while Wade played like he had two left feet. I was actually thinking about leaning harder into LeBron today and maybe pairing Wade against Rose to see if he can hold his own.

Actually, looking closer, Wade is actually putting up some decent numbers against these guys, so I think I'll pass on that specific play. For now, I'm sticking with a Miami win and an Atlanta win on a single bet; then I'll probably bump up the LeBron action and throw a few extra bucks on each side to round it out.

Given such an overwhelming array of options, I feel compelled to step in and offer my own selection:

Howard D (-22.5+)-Cha-Orl (31.12. 01:00) Less. 1,85
WilliamsD (-21.5+)-Ata-NJer (31.12. 01:30) Less. 1,85
I have to say, I find myself feeling quite conflicted about this particular topic. It’s one of those issues where you can't help but look at the nuances rather than just accepting a surface-level take. There is so much depth to unpack here, and honestly, I think we need to be more careful about how we approach these discussions if we want to reach any kind of meaningful conclusion. It isn't just black and white, and anyone telling you otherwise is missing the bigger picture.-Mem-Hou (31.12. 02:00) Više 1,85
Atla/NewJ (93,5)Atlanta (December 31, 1:30 AM) Više 1,85
Milwaukee vs. Washington (87, 5)I am still awake, staring at the clock in Washington. It’s currently 2:30 AM, and I find myself sitting here in the quiet of the early morning, thinking about everything we’ve been discussing. There is something about this hour that makes everything feel more significant, isn't there? The world is still, and you can finally hear your own thoughts clearly. Less. 1,85
I’m still processing everything Rose D. mentioned, but looking at those numbers—specifically that -25.5+ margin—it really strikes me how much weight these figures carry. It isn't just about the raw data; it's about what this implies for our current trajectory here in the States. I find myself sitting with this for a moment, trying to wrap my head around the sheer scale of the shift we're seeing. It feels significant, almost heavy, if that makes sense. I'd love to hear more perspectives on how everyone else is interpreting this specific spread.-LAC-Chi (31.12. 04:30) Less. 1,85

To put it briefly:
Atlanta scored more than 93.5 points last time out—they dropped 106 on New Jersey and put up 101 against Washington. If you ask me, that margin is way too low.
The Washington under 87.5 looks like a trap to me. They’ve actually dipped below that margin in two of their last outings. I know Milwaukee put up 95 and 96 points in their recent matchups, but honestly, after seeing how much Washington struggled defensively, I just don't see them having enough firepower to clear this number. I'm passing on this one.
Howard’s been sitting under that 22.5 mark for three straight games now—it's becoming a bit of a pattern. To be honest, Charlotte just doesn't seem like the kind of matchup where he can really dig in and put up big numbers.
Williams is coming in under 21.5 points. He dropped 23 on Washington, but since then, he’s only managed two games where he hit double digits—and one of those was against Atlanta.
It’s actually significantly higher than 18.5—it’s more than double that, sitting right at exactly 19. 🙄 Since they’re playing against Houston, I absolutely have to tune in for this one.
He’s hitting less than 25.5—which is actually three times lower than that threshold—and his average is sitting at just 18. In my honest opinion, that number is simply way too high.

If they don't manage to pull off at least three of these, I’m officially done. I'll be walking away from this forum for good. 🙂 .

And don't forget about Dallas, Boston, and Milwaukee! 😁

Rose's foul trouble tonight was a total disaster. 🙂

He played 27 minutes, plus those last three minutes of stoppage time. 🙂

In the third quarter, he hits two buckets in a row, then immediately starts racking up fouls. 🙂

"I wanted to be more aggressive and attack the lane. Fouls are just something I have to deal with; I can't let them get in my head," he said. "I'm just glad we walked away with the win."

Now, looking at how the Clippers handled defense inside the paint today:

Chicago's offense will now attempt to exploit a Los Angeles squad that allowed the Spurs to shoot 56.3 percent and put up 48 points in the paint.