Nancy Gomez26 said:The West warned an invasion was coming, but I didn't buy it. (Why would you trust the same crowd that went looking for weapons of mass destruction in Iraq and found absolutely nothing?) But this time, they were right. Defying all rational logic, he attacked, and he clearly has a specific agenda. It appears his goal is a rapid regime change in Kyiv, thinking that will be enough. He still hasn't grasped that the will of the people actually matters. Does he honestly think he can hold a country under occupation for years? That would economically bankrupt Russia.
I didn't think an invasion would happen either,
but within a realistic framework, this logic isn't irrational at all.
At least from his perspective.
The Minsk II agreement fell apart, and Ukraine wasn't following it.
It's simple cause and effect.
He didn't just wake up one morning and decide—"today I invade Ukraine."
This happened for clear reasons we've already covered,
including the broader geopolitical context.
You could call this a conflict between the USA and Russia, where Russia
is directly involved, while the USA acts through proxies.