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Sanctions on Russia

Started by Richard Wilson4 · · 👁 375 views · 9.5K replies

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Participants Richard Wilson4velvetcyclist95Jeremy Peterson4silentsurfer3rowdytiger13Carol Newman2William Anderson5Carl Cookfrozencobra50Paul Patel95Michael Davis10Gary WilsonGregory Ramos3slyfox43dustywolf13Tyler Jones6Larry Walker24Ashley Ramirez4Paul Clark80Adam Lee13northernangler8Nancy Ruiz5James Chavez91neonheron9 …
Keith Martin7 Keith Martin7 Member
21 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2601 ·
hiddeneagle98 said:The real reason everything is spiraling out of control right now boils down to speculators, people freaking out over nothing, and everyone trying to hoard supplies like it's the end of the world..

I saw this little joke in the Free Press the other day, set at a local farmers market:

Why is grandma buying extra cheese at the $27 market this morning?
- Because there's a war going on in Russia!
What does that have anything to do with you?
- What do you mean? Everything is getting more expensive, even gas prices are up.
Hold on a second, is your cow running on gasoline or grazing in a field?
Sarah Mitchell2 Sarah Mitchell2 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Nov 2017
#2602 ·
These sanctions are a joke. The EU is basically banning everything except gas, which just means we'll end up paying a premium for it while Russia keeps enough cash flow to sell their resources elsewhere without breaking a sweat.

But hey, if they want to play dress-up, let them.
George Robinson43 George Robinson43 Regular
472 messages
joined Oct 2017
#2603 ·
Sarah Mitchell2 said:These sanctions are a joke. The EU is basically banning everything except gas, which just means we'll end up paying a premium for it while Russia keeps enough cash flow to sell their resources elsewhere without breaking a sweat.

But hey, if they want to play dress-up, let them.

They are so ridiculous that even Sergey Lavrov is now bringing up sanction relief during negotiations.
Unfortunately, selling oil at a discount isn't working out for them because, apparently, only India wants those 15 million barrels, and that's it. It’s highly doubtful they can actually deliver it all since finding tankers is getting difficult, and nobody is exactly lining up to sail alongside the Russians right now.
As a result, oil is piling up in storage, and production at the wells is starting to taper off.
wiredseal7 wiredseal7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jan 2009
#2604 ·
slyfox43 said:It just invites a swarm of speculators who will inevitably flip these goods at massive markups later.

That’s just how solidarity works in the "Russian world."

But then again, I shouldn't be surprised you'd latch onto that like a fly to... 🤣

And that all boiled down to ________.
Between the boycotts hitting foreign companies in Russia and what the exporters and freight haulers are doing—it’s all part of the same mess.

That’s just how solidarity works in the Russian sphere—don't hold your breath.

Is that "world" really any different from ours? Not long ago, people in the wealthiest parts of America were practically brawling in the aisles over toilet paper.

How was I supposed to know you’d latch onto that like a fly on... 🤣

Just another day of being hit with those "what do you think?" suggestions—same old song and dance. 🤣 It’s not just me feeling the boredom—it's everyone.
Terry Hernandez10 Terry Hernandez10 Active Member
58 messages
joined Jul 2023
#2605 ·
All 27 European Union member states have officially signed off on a ban regarding the import of Russian coal, timber, and vodka, according to reports from the AP.

Just wait until the Russians realize how much they're going to struggle without those exports.
Bryan Booth82 Bryan Booth82 Regular
483 messages
joined Feb 2024
#2606 ·
Sarah Mitchell2 said:These sanctions are a joke. The EU is basically banning everything except gas, which just means we'll end up paying a premium for it while Russia keeps enough cash flow to sell their resources elsewhere without breaking a sweat.

But hey, if they want to play dress-up, let them.

I disagree. That gas being sold to the European Union via pipeline? They can't just ship that anywhere else.
Germany pulls in about 66 billion dollars a year from gas sales alone, and another 106 billion from oil.

The word is Germany plans to stop importing oil this year and cut off the gas by 2024—at least, that's the official plan.
Best regards,
Christian Torres3 Christian Torres3 Regular
604 messages
joined Sep 2014
#2607 ·
Terry Hernandez10 said:All 27 European Union member states have officially signed off on a ban regarding the import of Russian coal, timber, and vodka, according to reports from the AP.

Just wait until the Russians realize how much they're going to struggle without those exports.

At least they'll still have their vodka to get drunk on.
wearytrucker22 wearytrucker22 Active Member
222 messages
joined Dec 2012
#2608 ·
Sarah Mitchell2 said:These sanctions are a joke. The EU is basically banning everything except gas, which just means we'll end up paying a premium for it while Russia keeps enough cash flow to sell their resources elsewhere without breaking a sweat.

But hey, if they want to play dress-up, let them.

Nobody is going to pay a single extra cent for gas beyond what was already locked in before the invasion of Ukraine. We're talking prices stuck between $270 and $480 per 1,000 m3.
Melissa Bailey5 Melissa Bailey5 Active Member
68 messages
joined May 2024
#2609 ·
Terry Hernandez10 said:All 27 European Union member states have officially signed off on a ban regarding the import of Russian coal, timber, and vodka, according to reports from the AP.

Just wait until the Russians realize how much they're going to struggle without those exports.

Coal imports only make up about 3% of what the European Union brings in.
Most of that vodka actually comes from Finland. There was already a mess with that because consumers started boycotting it left and right without even realizing it wasn't even Russian.
Not sure about the timber situation.
With SWIFT, they managed to get it so that less than 50% of Finnish institutions are under sanctions.

Russia got kicked out of the UN Human Rights Council. I mean, they probably don't give a damn about that though...

This whole "step-by-step" approach just isn't working, I guess. You really gotta squeeze them hard if you want anything to happen.
slyfox43 slyfox43 Regular
292 messages
joined May 2023
#2610 ·
The Russians are trying to spin the narrative, acting as if they weren't kicked out of the UN Human Rights Council, but rather made a dignified choice to walk away on their own terms. It’s a classic move—whenever they get tossed out into the cold, they immediately start shouting about how they’re leaving because they simply don't care for the company. It reminds me of when American aerospace companies stopped buying rocket engines from them, prompting Washington to pass legislation banning the sale of those engines to Americans altogether.

It’s hard to wrap one's head around the sheer dysfunction of such a state; you almost can't believe what you're seeing, though at this point, even disbelief feels a bit optimistic.

https://twitter.com/SergiyKyslytsya/...24063078510597
Robert Barrett6 Robert Barrett6 Member
44 messages
joined May 2023
#2611 ·
George Robinson43 said:They are so ridiculous that even Sergey Lavrov is now bringing up sanction relief during negotiations.
Unfortunately, selling oil at a discount isn't working out for them because, apparently, only India wants those 15 million barrels, and that's it. It’s highly doubtful they can actually deliver it all since finding tankers is getting difficult, and nobody is exactly lining up to sail alongside the Russians right now.
As a result, oil is piling up in storage, and production at the wells is starting to taper off.

Well, obviously it isn't working when roughly 60-70% of the market is boycotting them. The rest of the market is tied up in existing contracts; they can't just swap all their oil or gas for Russian supplies overnight, nor would they want to. They'll buy what they need at a discount, but it's nowhere near the volume the Russians need to offload.

I don't get the people who think India and China are going to suddenly start buying 200% more oil and gas just because there's an opportunity. Where on earth would they even store it all?
Kyle Nelson2 Kyle Nelson2 Regular
475 messages
joined Jun 2008
#2612 ·
How on earth do they plan to get gas to India?
What, by trucking it over the Hindu Kush? I guess they'll just load an LNG tanker up at Yamal and sail it all the way around Asia to Mumbai?
rustynomad12 rustynomad12 Member
45 messages
joined Apr 2012
#2613 ·
Melissa Bailey5 said:Coal imports only make up about 3% of what the European Union brings in.
Most of that vodka actually comes from Finland. There was already a mess with that because consumers started boycotting it left and right without even realizing it wasn't even Russian.
Not sure about the timber situation.
With SWIFT, they managed to get it so that less than 50% of Finnish institutions are under sanctions.

Russia got kicked out of the UN Human Rights Council. I mean, they probably don't give a damn about that though...

This whole "step-by-step" approach just isn't working, I guess. You really gotta squeeze them hard if you want anything to happen.

I actually think the exact opposite...
Every single sanction has its own ripple effect over time... it gives the opponent room to figure out the total damage and reorganize their goals. It's not an instant knockout blow, which could be super awkward for the "survival of Russia."
Plus, we've realized so many times before that certain people actually *want* Russia weakened like this—to prevent all this blood being spilled in Ukraine—so that the situation doesn't repeat itself in a few years and Russia somehow finds a weird way to toughen up and try again...
This war is all about attrition. In my opinion, Putin knows exactly what each sanction pulls him toward and exactly how much he's willing to endure... He isn't stupid, he isn't uninformed, and he isn't crazy. Tactics aren't his strong suit, but giving up? No way!
He’s going all the way, or settling for some hollow victory just to justify starting the war in the first place.
His chances are slim to none, so we just have to wait and pray that Ukraine stays well-equipped and brave... this isn't just going to stop overnight. When Biden says—ENOUGH, then it'll be enough.☕
Melissa Bailey5 Melissa Bailey5 Active Member
68 messages
joined May 2024
#2614 ·
rustynomad12 said:I actually think the exact opposite...
Every single sanction has its own ripple effect over time... it gives the opponent room to figure out the total damage and reorganize their goals. It's not an instant knockout blow, which could be super awkward for the "survival of Russia."
Plus, we've realized so many times before that certain people actually *want* Russia weakened like this—to prevent all this blood being spilled in Ukraine—so that the situation doesn't repeat itself in a few years and Russia somehow finds a weird way to toughen up and try again...
This war is all about attrition. In my opinion, Putin knows exactly what each sanction pulls him toward and exactly how much he's willing to endure... He isn't stupid, he isn't uninformed, and he isn't crazy. Tactics aren't his strong suit, but giving up? No way!
He’s going all the way, or settling for some hollow victory just to justify starting the war in the first place.
His chances are slim to none, so we just have to wait and pray that Ukraine stays well-equipped and brave... this isn't just going to stop overnight. When Biden says—ENOUGH, then it'll be enough.☕

I mean, I guess I agree with you, I just wanted to point out that sanctions don't really do much when you're dealing with a total sociopath. The guy doesn't give a damn about the victims or any of that damage, and honestly, neither does anyone in his inner circle, I suppose.
swiftjackal11 swiftjackal11 Regular
271 messages
joined May 2018
#2615 ·
Sarah Mitchell2 said:These sanctions are a joke. The EU is basically banning everything except gas, which just means we'll end up paying a premium for it while Russia keeps enough cash flow to sell their resources elsewhere without breaking a sweat.

But hey, if they want to play dress-up, let them.

Plus, that gas money wasn't even staying local before the war started. Now it's funding the conflict, and everyone else just takes the hit. They get the benefit of the sanctions, but not really.
Chris Thomas94 Chris Thomas94 Member
27 messages
joined Sep 2010
#2616 ·
Haha, look at Vučić acting all high and mighty now that the election is over:

https://www.b92.net/info/vesti/index...nav_id=2136233
Sarah Mitchell2 Sarah Mitchell2 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Nov 2017
#2617 ·
Bryan Booth82 said:I disagree. That gas being sold to the European Union via pipeline? They can't just ship that anywhere else.
Germany pulls in about 66 billion dollars a year from gas sales alone, and another 106 billion from oil.

The word is Germany plans to stop importing oil this year and cut off the gas by 2024—at least, that's the official plan.
Best regards,

Fair enough, but they're only selling gas to the EU. Which specific year does that 66 billion figure cover? What was the total back in 2021 versus what we're looking at for 2022? If it ends up being more than 172 billion, then those sanctions didn't actually do squat.

If it were up to me—even though I rely on gas for heat—I'd say shut it all down immediately. Prices are going up regardless.

wearytrucker22 said:Nobody is going to pay a single extra cent for gas beyond what was already locked in before the invasion of Ukraine. We're talking prices stuck between $270 and $480 per 1,000 m3.

So why the hell is gas getting more expensive then?
Paul Anderson7 Paul Anderson7 Active Member
97 messages
joined Jun 2010
#2618 ·
Natural gas prices have been climbing for a year now, and honestly, you can't just pin this on the war in Ukraine. Sure, the conflict plays a role, but the hikes for propane started long before any of that kicked off, and the price surges for standard residential gas were already on the horizon well before the fighting began. It’s the same story with electricity rates, too.
Melissa Bailey5 Melissa Bailey5 Active Member
68 messages
joined May 2024
#2619 ·
Sarah Mitchell2 said:Fair enough, but they're only selling gas to the EU. Which specific year does that 66 billion figure cover? What was the total back in 2021 versus what we're looking at for 2022? If it ends up being more than 172 billion, then those sanctions didn't actually do squat.

If it were up to me—even though I rely on gas for heat—I'd say shut it all down immediately. Prices are going up regardless.

So why the hell is gas getting more expensive then?

Maybe this is a bit off-topic, but I heat my workspace with AC units and I'm honestly pretty satisfied with how it works. Nowadays, when you basically can't function without cooling things down, investing in that—which costs way less than setting up central heating—is kind of a two birds, one stone situation, I guess.
So there's your solution if anyone's looking to trim their gas bill (even just a little bit), especially now that electricity hasn't spiked nearly as hard as gas has, which makes it even more worth it, maybe.

Then why is gas getting more expensive?

Man... gas and oil prices are set on free markets, which I guess doesn't really have much to do with the big players signing those long-term supply contracts. But we, the end consumers, end up footing the bill for these market rates that don't even seem to make sense, really.
I mean, we've got this weird setup here with HERA, but that's probably a whole different conversation..
Michael Ortiz68 Michael Ortiz68 Regular
264 messages
joined Oct 2018
#2620 ·

Keith Martin7 said:I saw this little joke in the Free Press the other day, set at a local farmers market:

Why is grandma buying extra cheese at the $27 market this morning?
- Because there's a war going on in Russia!
What does that have anything to do with you?
- What do you mean? Everything is getting more expensive, even gas prices are up.
Hold on a second, is your cow running on gasoline or grazing in a field?

I was scrolling through some local news site earlier and stumbled upon an interview with an olive oil producer. His logic? He’s planning to hike up his prices because sunflower oil has gone up, and he thinks it’s just plain unfair for olive oil to stay at the current rate.

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