Paul Pierce over 20,5
@1,85
-The Milwaukee Bucks had one of the worst defenses in the league last year when it came to stopping scoring from the small forward position. Pierce got off to a solid start against the Miami Heat with 23 points, but obviously, he had to deal with Lebron James and Shane Battier—defensive stalwarts who are a massive step up from whoever the Milwaukee Bucks players will be tasked with guarding tonight. I’m expecting a high-scoring affair, so we'll likely see more player overs than unders.
Al Jefferson over 17,5
@1,85
-Al had a rough start to the season against the Dallas Mavericks, but I'm expecting a big bounce-back tonight. With Davis likely guarding Millsap, Jefferson should have a slightly easier ride. Given that the New Orleans Pelicans were struggling with paint protection and center defense last year, and they've now lost Kaman, this could easily be a game where both Al and Paul crack the 20-point mark.
Lamarcus Aldridge over 20,5
@1,85
-Lamarcus didn't look amazing last game—19 points with only 3 rebounds, and he barely even got to the free throw line. The Lakers guarded him well, but tonight he runs into Ibaka, who wasn't exactly a defensive rock last season. Plus, Oklahoma City Thunder were among the five worst teams at defending the power forward spot, and it's worth noting Ibaka tends to pick up a lot of fouls. Batum stood out against the Lakers, but facing Durant tonight will be a different story, so I expect Aldridge to carry the load. Worth a shot; just hoping OKC doesn't run away with it early and force him to the bench.
Dwight Howard over 21,5
@1,85
-Dwight has put up 19 and 33 points so far. In that 19-point game against Dallas, he ran into foul trouble and had to sit early with 6 fouls. That shouldn't be an issue tonight since he's matched up against DeAndre Jordan, who isn't much of a threat to his offensive rhythm or foul situation (unlike someone like Tyson Chandler). He should get plenty of trips to the charity stripe, and I think he'll deliver better than he did against Dallas, where he went 3/14.🙂
Rudy Gay over 20,5
@1,85
-Rudy looked good opening with 25 points against the LA Clippers. He should be the primary scoring option tonight because Bogut is slated to guard Gasol, which might take some pressure off. Besides, the Golden State Warriors' defense was pretty thin at the small forward position last season, ranking among the bottom three teams for points allowed to SFs. Let's give it a go and see what happens.
@21,67 Good luck!!