Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion

23,30 Universidad Católica vs. O'Higgins (2.5) Over 1.70 CS (2-1)
BTTS & 3+ 2.00 CS (2-1)

It’s the return leg of the cup, and since Universidad Católica is trailing after losing the first match 1-2, they’re going to be coming out swinging. They aren't exactly known for having a broken offensive line, so I'm expecting them to come out aggressive from the opening whistle... they actually lost their last two matchups against O'Higgins, so they should be plenty motivated to score more than just one goal here 😁. As for when I expect them to slip up? Well, playing at home is usually the perfect recipe for a blunder, so I think it’s totally realistic to think the visitors walk away with at least one goal... you've got two teams that love to attack, so this feels like a prime candidate for an "over" scenario. The odds look solid to me, so that's what I'm riding with... O'Higgins isn't just going to park the bus and sit back, either. They've had this long streak of scoring at least once during their away games, and since Católica is chasing the result, there's bound to be plenty of openings today. That part's a lock...

Saturday 4:00 PM

Hyde United vs. Alfreton Town FC 2 @ 2.00 (1-2)

So, I’ve already taken a deep dive into Hyde—man, they are absolute bottom-feeders. We’re talking about a squad with arguably the worst record in all of American lower-league soccer. They’ve only picked up 3 points in 20 matches! They haven't even made it halfway through the season and they're basically already relegated. The whole club just feels totally lifeless and hopeless right now, isn't it? And then you've got Alfreton coming in, a team sitting right on the edge of the playoffs for a promotion spot. Talk about a mismatch!

If this were any major top-tier league instead of some fifth-division grind, the odds would be like 1.30 max, no question about it.

Uruguay vs. Jordan—nothing at stake here, 68th minute, still 0-0, odds on a Jordan win... 101 (bet365) 😲 😲 😲

I'm not even watching the game, but this is just insane—you can't just let this pass, gotta place a bet...

Mind you, Uruguay was sitting at 1.05 right at kickoff—not laying that would be a total crime...

6:30 PM Orlando City vs. Indy Eleven over 2.5 @ 2.00 (over 2.5 @ 1.60) (1-2) (PSK)

A showdown between the third and second-place teams in the USL Championship—a league that, honestly, tends to be pretty wide open and high-scoring most weeks.
Looking at the numbers, the home side is averaging about 3 goals per game through 17 rounds, while the visitors have been absolutely clinical lately—they’re sitting on an insane +12 goal differential (which works out to roughly 4 goals per match), and in 10 of their last 13 outings, they've seen three or more goals hit the net. The hosts are currently trailing Indy by just 3 points in the hunt for that top-tier promotion spot, so they really need this win—which, frankly, plays right into the hands of the visitors. I'm expecting a total shootout here.

LA Galaxy vs. LAFC 2 @ 3.05 (SS live) (3-1)

It’s a massive showdown here—the second and first-placed teams in the MLS fighting it out. This is a huge derby between a revitalized LA Galaxy side, which honestly looks miles better than they did last season, and the kings of the regular season—they took the top spot last year, and they're looking just as dominant this time around. We've got the Galaxy sitting at 4 wins and 2 losses, while LAFC stays unbeaten with 4 wins and 2 draws. To make things even more interesting, I'm leaning toward the underdog because of their head-to-head history; LAFC has swept all four of their recent meetings. Just a gut feeling, really, but I think I'll try my luck with a 1:2
final score. The match is also available for live betting.

Austin FC vs. LA Galaxy @ 1.95 (0-1) (HL)

The Galaxy's second squad—basically just a feeder team for the main roster—really stumbled after that hot start they had. They’ve been stuck in this funk where they haven't tasted a win in six matches now. On the flip side, the home side has been absolutely tearing it up lately... I mean, they’ve pulled off six straight league wins (and if you look at their last 13 games, they’ve grabbed 11 wins, one draw, and a single loss against the big club in the cup). The Galaxy play this incredibly wide-open style of soccer—their games are usually high-scoring affairs, averaging about 3.5 goals per match—so I don't see why tonight would be any different. They have enough quality to find the back of the net at least once, and I expect the home team to bag at least two. Let's go with over 2.5 goals. 😁


Charlotte FC vs. St. Louis City SC @ 2.15 (1-0) (SS)

Charlotte—our guy Skender’s team—is in a real tight spot right now. They’ve dropped six in a row, and honestly, if they keep sliding like this, they’ll be looking at relegation pretty soon. St. Louis is sitting 7 points ahead of them, so Charlotte basically has to go all-in to stay afloat. Since St. Louis tends to play a very loose, open game—they’ve conceded 51 goals in just 15 matches, which is an average of about 3 per game—there’s going to be plenty of space for counterattacks. Looking at their recent history—the last six meetings between these two have all gone over 2.5 goals—and given how desperate Charlotte is, I’m leaning toward the over 2.5 goal line.

Charleston Battery vs. Richmond Kickers @ 1.75 (1-5) (SS)

Charleston is finally finding their rhythm again and looks like a serious contender for promotion to the top flight. Meanwhile, the visitors started the season well enough but have completely fallen off a cliff—they’ve lost four straight (that’s five losses in their last six total). When you look at the last four times these two squads met, Charleston walked away with all four wins—and three of those were with the handicap.

MLS

Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati @1,50 (1-1)
LA Galaxy vs. LAFC @1,50
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami @1,55
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers @1,40 (1-1)
Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United @1,50 (2-2)

Heavy rain is forecasted all weekend, and let’s be honest—we all know how American soccer pitches handle a downpour. They basically turn into swamps the second things get wet. Because of that, I’m leaning toward playing Under 3.5 goals for everything. Most of the odds are sitting around 1.5, so we'll see. I might skip the Philly game entirely since they play at Subaru Park, which has arguably the best drainage in the league, and Philly usually plays an aggressive, high-pressing style. As for the rest? Even if the weather was perfect, I don't see much scoring happening, so imagine trying to find goals on waterlogged grass.

I don't know—playing on waterlogged pitches with low scoring rates has never paid off for me. If anything, it’s just been a steady stream of rain goals. 🤣

Friday, Nov 22
French Ligue 1
8:30 PM

Ajaccio - Marseille 2 2,00 (1-3)

Both teams are struggling right now. Ajaccio has only managed to scrape together two measly points from their last seven matches, leaving them sitting way down in 19th place.
Marseille managed to beat Sochaux 2-1 at home this past week, which I guess gave them a much-needed confidence boost after a rough patch in the league and a string of losses in the Champions League.
They've essentially lost any realistic shot at advancing in the Champions League, so they have to put all their focus back on the domestic league.
They're currently in 5th place, so a win is pretty much mandatory here. Quality-wise, they are significantly better than these underdogs from Corsica.
There's no reason for them to hold anything back for European play anymore, so I'm expecting a win.

MLS LA Galaxy vs. LAFC both teams to score (1-1) (1.70 odds)

The Galaxy have been looking pretty dominant in their home stretch lately—9 wins and 2 draws through this stretch. On the flip side, LAFC is sitting comfortably in fourth and they’ve been clinical, consistently putting up over two goals a game. Honestly, looking at these two, I wouldn't be surprised if we see plenty of action on the scoreboard...

10:00 PM

Argentina 2

Douglas Haig-Villa San Carlos 1 @ 1.80 (1-1)

So, looking at Douglas Haig—they’ve been a rock at home lately, honestly! I mean, they’ve only dropped one game in their last 15 matches (that 0-0 draw against top-tier Banfffield was a tough one), and now they are absolutely hungry for those three points to stay up in the league. On the flip side? You've got the worst team in all of South American soccer... yeah, you read that right. They're basically living in the second division, and honestly, if things don't change fast, they'll be heading right back down there next season.

Manchester City vs. Tottenham 6-0 1.75 odds

After 11 games, Man City is sitting in ninth place. That’s a joke. It doesn't match their roster or what they claim to be about, especially since they look lost whenever they play away from home. They absolutely need this win just to stop the bleeding and catch up to the leaders. Now, Tottenham had a decent start to the season, but lately, they haven't exactly been knocking anyone's socks off either. I'm calling it: a comfortable home win for City.

Inter Miami - Seattle Sounders. LIVE. X@3.50 (0-0)
Just calling it now: 1-1 draw @6.75 (0-0)
You only have to look at their head-to-head history to see where this is going.
I’m calling a draw here, and honestly, every single time these guys play to a draw, it ends up being a 1-1 deadlock.
So why wouldn't it happen again right now?

Champions League tomorrow:

Basel vs. Chelsea: Away win @ 1.90 (1-0) - After that 3-2 home loss against Basel, Mourinho is almost certainly dreaming of "revenge"—and honestly, isn't that the goal? That 3-0 shutout they put up against West Ham the other night was basically just a warm-up for the trip to Switzerland—a way to cement their spot at the top of the group.

Steaua vs. Schalke: Away win @ 2.00 (0-0) - Steaua will play exactly as much as Schalke allows them to. They aren't quite the powerhouse they were last year, but facing the Americans shouldn't pose too much of an issue.

Good luck, everyone!!

Monday 11:00 PM

Argentina 2

Banfield vs. Sarmiento: Both Teams to Score @ 2.20 (Current score 3-0)

So, I’m looking at breaking up the accumulator here and betting on "Both Teams Not to Score" instead—it just feels right. Banfield hasn't seen both sides find the net in their last 9 matches, and Sarmiento has only managed it once in their last 7. Plus, if you look at their last two head-to-head matchups, neither side scored? Total shutout territory!

On top of that, getting 2.20 odds for this kind of play is actually pretty juicy... definitely worth a shot, don't you think?

Tuesday at 5:00 PM

US Open Cup

Puyallup FC vs. San Diego FC 1 @ 1.80 (1-0)

So, I’m betting on the fresh legs here! Puyallup has had the whole weekend off to recover—total rest mode—while San Diego has been absolutely killing themselves on the road. They played, traveled all the way out to Kokomo, then turned right back around to head home... man, those players have gotta be exhausted! Plus, picking up that win against Columbus Crew definitely took its toll—Mato Neretljak, who is basically the backbone of San Diego's defense, ended up getting sidelined with an injury. Tough break!

Zenit St. Petersburg vs. Atletico Madrid (11.26. 18:00) 1@2.10 (1-1)- I happened to stumble upon some figures suggesting that roughly $1 million has been wagered on Zenit, whereas Atletico has seen about $16k put down; I assume this is just from a single sportsbook, but it serves as an interesting point of comparison regardless. Zenit hasn't exactly been playing their best football lately, though perhaps today might be the day they finally snap this frustrating slump. On their side, they have the advantage of seeing Atletico arrive missing six or seven key players, essentially traveling from tropical climates straight into the teeth of a harsh winter; meanwhile, Zenit sits in second place with five points and holds a real shot at advancing to the second round of the Champions League.

B. Dortmund (-3+)-SSC Napoli (11.26. 20:45) v./@1.55">t.@1.55 (3-1)- For Dortmund, this is one of those "must-win" matches if they have any hope of moving forward. The trouble, however, lies in their defensive lineup being somewhat depleted, and Napoli isn't exactly the type of squad that lets such vulnerabilities go unpunished. Dortmund will likely be forced to play an expansive, attacking style to chase goals—their last outing was quite lively, ending with three goals scored. On the other hand, Napoli will be feeling the absence of Hamšik.
B. Dortmund (yellow card handicap 4.5)-Napoli (11.26. 20:45) under@2.10 (5)- This feels like a decent option to test out. Neither Dortmund nor Napoli are teams known for picking up cards recklessly; both tend to maintain a certain level of discipline, judging by how their recent matches have unfolded.

Celtic Glasgow-AC Milan (11.26. 20:45) 2@2.60 (0-3)- Milan is struggling through a bit of a rough patch, performing poorly in their domestic league and facing the very real threat of an early exit from the Champions League. Kaka suggests that a victory here could provide that much-needed psychological boost—that spark of motivation they've been searching for to improve their overall play and increase player commitment. This presents an ideal opportunity for Milan to secure advancement, especially considering they face Ajax at home in the next round.

FC Basel (+3 handicap)-Chelsea (11.26. 20:45) yes@2.15 (1-0)- Looking strictly at recent form, the +3 handicap has hit in their last three outings. A gritty Basel side actually managed to pull off an upset against them at Stamford Bridge. Mourinho will likely use this chance to rotate the squad and test his bench depth in the Champions League, which might just give Basel the opening they need to snag at least one goal.🙂

Saturday 9:00 PM

Colon-Velez Sarsfield 2 @ 1.90 (0-2)

So, I'm just sitting here watching some South American soccer on ESPN, and man, the situation over at Colon is absolutely brutal—like, seriously tragic. They haven't seen a paycheck in seven months! Can you even imagine? An hour before their last match kicked off, nobody even knew if they were going to actually take the field. To top it all off, the league slapped them with a six-point deduction. At this rate, they’re basically toast regardless of how the regular and playoff seasons shake out. On the flip side, Velez is looking super solid and is definitely in the hunt for the title.

jadewolf16 said:Saturday 9:00 PM

Colon-Velez Sarsfield 2 @ 1.90

Watching the American leagues on ESPN right now. This Colon situation is a total disaster. The club hasn't paid their players in seven months. An hour before the last match kicked off, nobody even knew if they were going to show up. On top of that, the league hit them with a 6-point deduction. They’re basically dead meat regardless of how these weird seasonal formats work. Velez is looking solid and fighting for the title.

No way they get relegated.😉
15 Tigre 1.261
16 Colón 1.231
17 All Boys 1.226
18 Argentinos Juniors 1.194
19 Godoy Cruz 1.194
20 Olimpo 1

CSKA-Bayern 2 1,55 (1-3)
Bayern isn't officially locked in at the top of the group yet with a 4-0-0 record (Man City is sitting at 3-0-1), so I have zero doubt they’re going to come out swinging from the opening whistle just like they did in their last match. They're missing Mandžukić and Ribéry, sure, but look at this lineup: Neuer—Rafinha, van Buyten, Dante, Alaba—Lahm, Müller, Martínez, Alcantara, Robben—Götze. That is still an absolute powerhouse, and frankly, I don't see how CSKA stands a chance when they haven't looked anything close to being in peak form lately. Bayern absolutely dismantled Dortmund 3-0 over the weekend, and back on September 17th in Munich, they basically put the nail in the coffin by the 41st minute when it was already 2-0, eventually finishing 3-0...

PSG-Olympiacos 1 1,40 (2-1)
After that embarrassing stumble against Anderlecht at home, PSG really made things complicated for themselves, but if they pull off a win today, they pretty much guarantee first place. Olympiacos is untouchable in their domestic league and they've picked up 7 points in their last three Champions League outings, but let's be real: PSG is playing in a completely different dimension than everyone else in this group. They've proven that consistently—if you ignore that hiccup against Anderlecht, they were sitting at 3-0-0 with a massive +11 goal differential. When they faced them in Greece on September 17th, it ended 4-1 for the Parisians, though it could have been even more decisive if Ibrahimović hadn't missed that penalty.

Sirigu—van der Wiel, Marquinhos, Thiago Silva, Maxwell—Lucas, Thiago Motta, Verratti, Matuidi—Cavani, Ibrahimović...

TOTAL 2.17