Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion

LIVE

USA

Yaracuyanos vs Llaneros currently tied 1:1 at the 20 minute mark
betting on a home win at 2.40 (1:2)
the reasoning? honestly, just look at their head-to-head history... enough said

Live (SS)

20th minute---- U. Catolica vs Cobreloa over 2.5 @ 2.10 (2:1) (for a smaller stake 6+ @ 24 (2:1) )

Last 5 head-to-head matchups: 3:1, 3:3, 2:4, 3:4, 5:1

09:30 Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix 1 @ 1,55
(3:2)
It’s Matchday 4 in the MLS, and we’ve got an interesting matchup brewing—unbeaten Melbourne taking on those visitors from New Zealand who are still hunting for their first win of the season. Both sides play a pretty gritty, physical brand of soccer—though I’d say the home side has the edge there—but the real story is how much Melbourne has been running circles around them lately. If you look at their head-to-head history, Melbourne has basically owned this matchup, winning the last six meetings with a solid 16:6 goal difference. They’ve managed to find the back of the net at least twice in every single one of those games, so honestly, I don't see why this time would be any different.
One thing worth noting, though—last round at AAMI Park, even a leading Brisbane couldn't hold on and ended up dropping the match.

Helmond vs Ajax Jong 1 1,75 (3:2)

Ajax Jong is absolutely spiraling right now—they're stuck in this miserable slump with 5 straight losses under their belt... just total chaos.
And honestly? The timing couldn't be any worse for them. You've got the main Ajax squad gearing up for their big Champions League match this Wednesday, and then you have this U19 squad playing tomorrow in their own youth Champions League matchup against Celtic. It's just one thing after another.
To top it all off, the roster is a complete mess again. They’re missing at least 4 or 5 key players—some out on suspensions and others sidelined with injuries. Just typical.
So, what can we actually expect? Probably just a bunch of inexperienced, super young kids being thrown onto the pitch for Ajax Jong.
Now, look at Helmond. They've only managed 2 wins at home so far, so they aren't exactly powerhouse material, but they're a decent enough side... and if they play smart, they should be able to capitalize on this absolute mess of a situation and walk away with the win.

Monday, 11/04
Polish League
8:30 PM

Podbeskidzie vs Wisla Krakow 2, 2.10 (0:0)

The home side is sitting at the bottom of the table. They have managed only one win and have just 9 points total, coming off a rough stretch of two draws and five losses in their last seven matches.
Wisla has picked up two wins in a row. They are currently in 3rd place, and if they pull this one off, they'll move into 2nd, tied on points with the leaders, Legia.
Decent odds here; maybe worth a look.

Netherlands 2nd Division
8:00 PM

Helmond Sport vs Ajax Jong Over 2.5, 1.45 (3:2)

The young Ajax squad is in a terrible slump. They've been conceding a massive amount of goals lately; looking at their recent scores
(2:1, 2:3, 1:3, 0:3, 1:5, 0:4), it's pretty clear.
Helmond also tends to see plenty of goals at both ends. Their first matchup against them this season ended 2:1.

Copenhagen vs Galatasaray 2 @2.35 (1-0)
In my book, this is hands down the best pick on the board today in the Champions League. After that first leg in Istanbul, Galatasaray walked away with a 3-1 lead. Look, let's be real—Copenhagen is definitely the weakest link in Group B, whereas Galatasaray actually has the guts to try and shock Juventus and sneak into the Round of 16. Right now, things are looking up for them; they've got 4 points and are sitting pretty in second place, just trailing behind the juggernaut Real Madrid. If they want to keep that dream of advancing alive, they absolutely have to take care of business against the group underdogs today. And honestly? I think a squad loaded with heavy hitters like Drogba and Sneijder is more than capable of pulling it off.

Ronaldo - Juventus vs Real Madrid (05.11. 20:30) score a goal@2,10-It’s common knowledge that Ronaldo is the heartbeat of Real Madrid; he’s the one who simply doesn't miss an open net (unlike Benzema), and with seven goals already in the Champions League, he’s been scoring at will in both domestic play and European competition. Honestly, I don't see any reason why he wouldn't find the back of the net again today...

Paris Saint-Germain (3,5)-Anderlecht (05.11. 20:45) more@2,10 (1-1)-The Belgians are quite out of their depth in the Champions League; if you look at their last outing, PSG dismantled them 5-0. Over their last three matches, they have a goal difference of 0:10, whereas PSG sits comfortably at 12:1. Plus, Ibra is going to be right in the mix for the Champions League top scorer title...

Ibrahimović scores (1.50)

Honestly, there isn't much to debate here—he absolutely tore them apart with four goals last time they met. At this point, tonight is really just a question of how many he manages to bag.

Plzen vs Bayern: Team 1 doesn't score, Team 2 scores (1.75) (0:1)

Looking at the last match, it was a 5:0 blowout. Viktorija’s goal difference is sitting at 2:11, while Bayern is at 11:1—they basically have zero chance against a powerhouse like Bayern Munich.

Is there even a game on tonight?

Carl Torres21 said:Ibrahimović scores a goal (1.50)

I don't think there's much to debate here; he absolutely tore them apart with four goals in their last meeting. Honestly, tonight it feels more like a question of how many he'll manage to tuck away.

Where on earth did you find that?

Kyle White3 said:Is he even playing tonight?

I suspect not...

"Paris Saint-Germain will be without the in-form striker duo of Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Edinson Cavani as they bid to qualify for the knockout stages of the Champions League with victory over Anderlecht."

http://www1.skysports.com/football/live/match/301267

I saw the same thing on PSK, though I noticed the odds were identical over at Hattrick too.

Look, if he isn't sidelined by an injury, I'm betting Ibra gets the start—mostly because he can't afford to let Ronaldo pull ahead of him in the scoring race.

He’s not playing

Edinson Cavani isn't on the call-up for this one.
http://www.psg.fr/en/News/003001/Art...roupe-parisien
We'll find out if he's actually in the lineup around 8:00 PM.

casualangler4 said:Copenhagen - Galatasaray 2 @2.35
In my book, this is easily the best pick in today's Champions League slate. After that 3-1 win for Galata in Istanbul, things look interesting. Looking at Group B, Copenhagen is definitely the underdog here, while Galatasaray is really gunning to pull an upset against Juventus and sneak into the Round of 16. They’re sitting pretty right now—4 points and holding second place, just behind the juggernaut Real Madrid. If they want to keep those knockout dreams alive, they have to take care of business against the group's bottom feeder, and honestly, with guys like Didier Drogba and Wesley Sneijder on the pitch, I think they can pull it off.

I don't know, man, I'm not buying it—especially since Galata tends to struggle when they're playing away, and Copenhagen is finally finding their footing after a pretty rough start to the season.
What caught my eye instead is the option where FCF scores a goal (1:0) which SS offers @ 1.40

Carl Torres21 said:Zlatan Ibrahimović scores a goal (1.50)

I mean, there isn't much to debate here—they absolutely dismantled them in their last outing, putting up four goals. At this point, it's really just a question of how many he bags tonight.

Plzen-Bayern 1st team doesn't score, 2nd team scores (1.75)

The last match was a 5-0 blowout. Viktoria's goal difference is a measly 2:11 compared to Bayern's massive 11:1. Personally, I don't see them having any prayer against a Bayern Munich side this dominant.

Actually, I'm going to have to disagree there too—mostly because the Bavarians have basically already punched their ticket to the Round of 16. Their focus has slipped a bit in domestic play lately, though; they've surrendered five goals over their last four matches (including some shaky performances against relatively weak sides like Mainz and Hertha BSC). Even if Bayern wins, I think Plzen has enough quality to find the back of the net at least once.
That's why I'd lean toward the option where Plzen scores a goal @ 2.10 (0:1)

Eric Fox7 said:I don't really see it that way, especially since Galatasaray is way worse when they're playing away, plus Copenhagen is finally finding their rhythm after such a rough start to the season.
Personally, I'm feeling the option where FC Copenhagen scores a goal which SS offers at @ 1.40

Eric Fox7, I'm with you there, though I'd also throw in that it looks pretty solid to bet on ah on Copenhagen 2.10...(1:0) since they play so well at home.

It might be even smarter to look for a draw for Manchester (0:0) , because they've got some massive league games coming up and they'll probably want to just coast through to the end of the Champions League group stage without any drama... Real Sociedad is decent, but I think the Red Devils have the edge here. ☕

What can we even say about Juventus vs. Real Madrid???

It’s honestly such a headache to call, but seeing how the star lady is absolutely on fire right now, I’m expecting some serious offensive fireworks... as for Real Madrid, there's really no need to sweat them; they don't even know how to play any other way besides going full throttle on attack.

I'm looking forward to a total heavyweight brawl that goes right down to the wire, so I'm putting my money on odds 1.50 (2:2)👍

Tuesday, 11/05
Champions League
20:45

Viktoria Plzen - Bayern Munich Bayern win DA 1.45 (0:1)

I have been pushing this option for the Bavarians for a while now, and it generally holds up.
I have already noted how impressive they are, but they showed their true strength just two weeks ago against the Czech side.
I don't see any significant change in the dynamic on the pitch here.
So, I expect another barrage of shots against the home goalkeeper and at least one or two goals in each half.

Champions League
20:45

Shakhtar Donetsk - Bayer Leverkusen Over 3.5 goals DA 1.95 (0:0)

Shakhtar is a different team when playing at home compared to their away matches.
They will likely attack, and given their strong offensive line, they should manage to score at least once.
On the other hand, they struggled easily in Leverkusen, where they conceded four.
I believe Bayer will exploit the open play of the Ukrainians and find the net at least once.

I like the option where FC Copenhagen scores. I’m actually expecting a wild match with a crazy scoreline, maybe something like 3:3 or a 2:4 win for the Turks; I wouldn't be surprised.

stormyharbor13 said:I'm really digging the option where FC Copenhagen scores—honestly, I'm expecting some absolute madness, maybe a wild scoreline like 3:3 or even a 2:4 win for the Turks. Wouldn't surprise me one bit.

I was just looking at the stats, and man, Galatasaray has conceded a goal in their last seven matches—actually, it's been nine times in their last ten. That pretty much seals it for me; I'm feeling even more confident that FC Copenhagen finds the back of the net today.

Galatasaray is a very solid squad, though they seemed sharper last year under Fatih Terim. Maybe Roberto Mancini just needs more time to settle things in.😁
They definitely have a high-quality roster capable of holding their own against the big clubs, but like you mentioned, almost everyone manages to find the back of the net against them.
Both outcomes could easily happen here, though I haven't checked the odds on that yet.