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NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Started by shadowjackal27 · · 👁 25 views · 711 replies

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Participants shadowjackal27wiredcanyon39Joshua Gonzalez33Nicholas Chase34vividbison47Elizabeth Baker20stormyseal9Ryan Barnes85Drew Palmer66darkmarlin16James Richardson3James Taylor3placideagleArthur Hill2Ethan Kern11darkgull11boldgull20Gregory Cooper5Grace Smith3Adam Williams2ruggedgull32Keith Moore21shadowpanther19graniteotter6 …
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#281 ·
Keith Moore21 said:Aside from Detroit Pistons (looking at the Play spread, though I'm fine with just taking the clean juice), I'd probably bet on Al Jamison over 17.5 again... assuming they still don't have Veras for Cleveland, it basically means they're leaning on Jamison as their only real big man worth anything. His minutes should be decent—somewhere around 35—and he was looking sharp before the All-Star break, dropping about 20 points regularly in his last 5 or 6 outings. He takes 15-20 shots, so if he hits 5-6 threes, maybe knocks down 2 or 3, plus whatever layups Kyrie Irving sets up for him... if he just stays focused, he clears that line easily. Plus, he probably got some rest during this 4-5 day break, which is huge since the guy is 35, I guess. Stoudemire is keeping him in, and we all know how much of a defensive liability that guy can be... so yeah, feels like an over to me...

edit: wait, I'm an idiot—the Cavs played the Celtics yesterday, and Jamison struggled against KG, shooting 3-of-15 and barely hitting 8 field goals. But whatever, it doesn't change my mind; I still think he could go over tonight even if he didn't last night.😬

Both picks hit!
👋
@Play 👍
wiredcanyon39 wiredcanyon39 Active Member
74 messages
joined Jul 2020
#282 ·
Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat odds 1.50
9/10

Yesterday, the one analysis I missed was calling a Portland win over Denver, but like I mentioned there, I mostly played that because of all those injuries hitting the Nuggets, not necessarily because I thought Portland was playing out of their minds. At the start of the season, they were such a massive surprise, just cruising to wins with really solid play. Lately, though, things have gone downhill fast, and they finally fell out of the Playoff hunt. If they don't step it up, making the postseason in this West is going to be an uphill battle. They aren't dealing with much of an injury bug either, though I guess Kurt Thomas is a bit of a question mark. On the flip side, the Miami Heat are on this incredible 8-game tear, and game after game, they’re proving they're the real deal for the title. They've been dismantling opponents pretty easily, which is exactly what you'd expect from that big trio once they got their rhythm down; I guess they just needed a season to gel. LeBron James is playing better than ever, leaning more on those drives to the rim, and he's looking unstoppable. Even when he isn't dropping a triple-double, he's still chipping in with assists and boards every single night. Dwyane Wade is back from injury and has been providing huge plays—he might take an extra shot here and there, but hey, who can blame a superstar like him? Chris Bosh is looking perfect from mid-range and has even started knocking down threes; he gets way more aggressive when one of the other two isn't scoring, and he's doing his job perfectly. Mario Chalmers is consistently hitting open threes, while Udonis Haslem and Shane Miller are those gritty guys off the bench that the Heat really missed last season. And we can't forget Shane Battier, who adds a whole new dimension to this squad on defense—he's honestly one of the best defenders in the league, and he can definitely knock down a three when he gets hot. Portland has been looking pretty miserable lately, while the Heat just seem to get stronger and crazier every single night.

Sacramento Kings - LA Clippers odds 1.60
7/10
Blake Griffin over 22.5 odds 1.85
4/10

The Kings are easily one of the weakest teams in the league, and probably have the worst defense around. I don't think I even need to point out the million times people have said here that they are bottom-tier when it comes to protecting the paint. Knowing how bad the Kings' defense is, I really think the Clippers are going to lean heavily on Blake Griffin tonight. If he can just stay efficient around the rim, I don't see why the over wouldn't hit. The Clippers did drop one to the Timberwolves, but I'm sure Chris Paul and the rest of the crew are hungry to push hard through the end of the season to secure a better seed. I'm guessing they're eyeing that second spot, since jumping ahead of the Oklahoma City Thunder feels like a tall order. As for the Kings, they probably already know their playoff hopes are basically dead, so they're likely just playing for pride now. Honestly, if they can just keep their arena in Sacramento filled, I guess that's a win for them.
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#283 ·
Since the selection today is pretty weak, I’m just throwing down a basic ticket and praying to God it actually hits😍

Russell Westbrook over 23.5 at 1.85
Blake Griffin under 22.5 at 1.85
LaMarcus Aldridge over 21.5 at 1.85
Greivis Vasquez over 17.5 at 1.85
Batum over 14.5 at 1.85 SS

Just a small little bet☕

I'm expecting a much better performance from Russell Westbrook because even though he had a total garbage shooting night last night—going 7/20 and missing the over by just a hair—he should definitely be able to clear it today, right? Then you've got Blake Griffin playing on the road where he usually hovers around the 20-point mark, plus the Sacramento Kings just don't seem to mesh well with the LA Clippers, and if I recall correctly, the Clippers have dominated them in 23 of their last 26 matchups, and they're looking pretty solid at home this season. As for LaMarcus Aldridge, he really needs to start playing up to his reputation now that he's finally back from injury, and honestly, I think the margin here is way too slim, especially since he always seems to step it up big time when he's facing tougher teams🤷, and regarding that French guy, Batum, he’s clearly found his rhythm lately, so even though he struggled tonight, I don't see that happening again today; but whatever, I'm not getting my hopes up too high because let's face it, the NBA has become a nightmare to predict lately🤷
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#284 ·
02:00 Orlando Magic - Oklahoma City Thunder
tip: Dwight Howard under 21.5 points @ 1.85

Honestly, Dwight Howard had another rough one last night, and man, it feels like it’s becoming a regular thing where he just isn't playing at that elite level we know he can hit. He looks almost checked out on the court sometimes, just moving through the motions. If you look at his last 10 games, he’s only cleared this line twice—and both times were against the Milwaukee Bucks, dropping 28 and 26 points respectively. Lately, he’s been averaging about 16.9 points, which is nowhere near this target. The Orlando Magic and Oklahoma City Thunder have already faced off once this season back in December, and Dwight was struggling big time, only putting up 11 points (shooting 4-12 from the field and 3-8 from the stripe). Plus, you've got Kendrick Perkins playing solid post defense; he's a beast in pick-and-roll and one-on-one situations, and honestly, he’s one of the few guys who actually knows how to lock down someone like Howard, so getting to 20+ points is going to be a massive uphill battle. It really feels like Howard just isn't getting enough touches lately, averaging only about 12.7 field goal attempts over his last 10 outings. Word is he's pretty unhappy in Orlando and is probably just counting down the days until a trade happens, so I'm feeling pretty good about taking the under on his scoring here. ☕

Quote:>>
Keith Moore21 says: >>
both picks lost 👋>
@Play 👍>
>🙂 🙂>
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#285 ·
Joshua Gonzalez33;38322744If they play like this—if it turns out to be more than just one fluke in ten games—we could actually go pretty far in the playoffs.[/QUOTE said:

I’m skeptical—honestly, I think the first round of the playoffs is the ceiling for this squad, maybe even the second. 🤷

wiredcanyon39 said:Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat odds 1.50
9/10

Remember how Miami struggled in the West last postseason? They were dropping games to anyone and everyone, including teams like the Golden State Warriors.

The Blazers tend to show up for these kinds of home matchups—don't write them off just yet, even if their recent play hasn't been great. 😁
wiredcanyon39 wiredcanyon39 Active Member
74 messages
joined Jul 2020
#286 ·
James Taylor3 said:Just remember how the Miami Heat played during their last Western Conference tour—they were dropping games to basically anyone, including teams like the Golden State Warriors and similar crews.

And honestly, don't count the Portland Trail Blazers out just yet in these kinds of home derbies, even if they're playing pretty rough right now. 😁

Maybe you should push back your "retirement" from betting by one day and put some money on Portland. 🤣
I mean, I feel like the Heat look way better now than they did a couple of months ago, whereas Portland is playing seriously bad. I kept hoping that a few bad outings were just a fluke, but this losing streak just keeps going and going. Still, we can't really hold that game against them against the Spurs, since Gregg Popovich was definitely coasting there.
Sean Bailey3 Sean Bailey3 Newcomer
1 message
joined Mar 2012
#287 ·
Why didn't Kevin Love play yesterday, and is he actually going to suit up today? Honestly, looking at the matchup, I'm thinking it might be worth taking the LeBron James under today.
Christian Garcia36 Christian Garcia36 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Feb 2012
#288 ·
Christian Garcia36 said:Last night was actually pretty decent thanks to that single bet on Peja Peković's under ☕,

but I might be looking at a loss again tonight:
Pau Gasol over 16.5 (odds dropped to 1.70)
Tim Duncan over 13.5

I think I'll try a single on Oklahoma City tonight, just to see what happens 😁

Oklahoma City really pulled through ☕, and I was almost tempted to go even bigger on them, though I'm glad I didn't🙂

I'm actually liking stormyseal9's picks for tonight, especially the Russell Westbrook and LaMarcus Aldridge overs 👍
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#289 ·
Christian Garcia36 said:Oklahoma pulled that move ☕, and here I was thinking about going even harder against them with my picks, but I just couldn't 🙂

Honestly, looking at tonight, I’m really digging what stormyseal9 picked, especially taking the over on Westbrook and Aldridge 👍

Don't even bother, man, because you're just gonna be crying about it later😍
rustyseal92 rustyseal92 Newcomer
6 messages
joined Jan 2012
#290 ·
Sean Bailey3 said:Why didn't Kevin Love play yesterday, and will he be out today as well? I honestly think betting on LeBron James under might be the move here.

LeBron James has been averaging 39 points over his last four games in Portland.
This is a lock, plain and simple.
ruggedgull32 ruggedgull32 Active Member
92 messages
joined Jan 2012
#291 ·
...Basically, 'Hannibal' Kobe Bryant went full beast mode with that mask and absolutely crushed his own line, leaving us stuck with the Pau Gasol under. Luckily, I was playing defense and actually put some cash on the under—they bumped up the odds too, so at least something went right for me tonight... oh well, a new day brings new chances...
Brian Barrett5 Brian Barrett5 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Nov 2009
#292 ·
Joshua Gonzalez33 said:The bench really stepped up—they did the job. Finally, we actually played some meaningful basketball (at least for two quarters). If we keep playing like this, and if things aren't just a fluke once every ten games, we might actually have a shot deep in the playoffs.

Haha, true enough... I'm always praying for Novak to get in there—the guy just goes for it whenever he gets the chance. 😂
barun Davis 😲 man, he's out of this world compared to Jeremy Lin... anyway, I agree, the bench really turned the tide!!
Lisa Ramos59 Lisa Ramos59 Member
19 messages
joined Sep 2012
#293 ·
Do you think Miami can pull off the win tonight? Looking at the betting lines, they're heavy favorites, but I wanted to get some input from those of you who actually know the game and follow these matchups more closely. Thanks 🙂
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 Member
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#294 ·
rustyseal92 said:LeBron James is averaging 39 points over his last four games in Portland.
This is a lock. It's as solid as they come.

I agree. He's been absolutely incredible this season. 😉
Jeremy Kelly3 Jeremy Kelly3 Member
28 messages
joined Feb 2012
#295 ·
Chris Bosh won't play tonight in Portland or tomorrow at Utah because of a personal matter.

This kind of thing usually signals some pretty serious underlying issues....

There is a higher probability now that Aldridge might head toward a bigger contract.
For LeBron James...
Wade...
wiredcanyon39 wiredcanyon39 Active Member
74 messages
joined Jul 2020
#296 ·
Bosh is out injured, so I guess I’m still sticking with my pick for Miami. Honestly, I think Haslem can step up and fill that void pretty well, especially when it comes to the defensive end.
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#297 ·
04:30 Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat, tip: LeBron James over 26.5 points @ 1.85 Bwin

Get settled in Oregon because we’ve got one of those absolute bangers lined up for tonight. It’s the home team Portland Trail Blazers taking on a super heated Miami Heat squad. Portland is legendary for having one of the toughest home courts out there, where the fans really know how to turn the energy up to eleven. There’s actually one guy on tonight's roster who absolutely thrives when he steps into that specific atmosphere at the Rosa Garden. I'm talking about LeBron James, who has historically been an absolute beast in that arena, averaging around 30.4 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 7.1 assists, while shooting a solid 49.7% from the field and 46.9% from downtown (15-of-32). http://www.oregonlive.com/blazers/index.... If you look at his last four trips to Portland, LeBron has been on fire, averaging a massive 39 points per game. Batum and the rest of the crew are going to have a nightmare trying to handle someone as physically dominant as LeBron, so this feels like the perfect setup for him to bounce back after a slightly quieter stretch lately. Plus, LeBron generally plays even better on the road, averaging about 2.4 more points away from home than he does at his own place. To top it all off, since Chris Bosh isn't in the lineup, LeBron is going to have way more room to operate offensively, making the over 26.5 feel like a total no-brainer to me.
Brian Barrett5 Brian Barrett5 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Nov 2009
#298 ·
What do you guys think?

Blake Griffin vs. LaMarcus Aldridge matchup 2
Orlando Magic - Oklahoma City Thunder matchup 2

and
this @Play prediction about the over on LeBron James
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 Member
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#299 ·
Nicholas Chase34 said:04:30 Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat, tip: James over 26.5 points @ 1.85 Bwin

Settling in here in Oregon where we're looking at one of the most exciting matchups on the schedule tonight. It’s the home team Portland Trail Blazers taking on a heated Miami Heat squad. Portland is well known for having an incredible home-court advantage; their fans really know how to set the tone and create an intense atmosphere. There is one player currently on the rosters who absolutely thrives in that environment at the Rosa Garden. I'm talking about LeBron James. Throughout his career playing there, he has averaged 30.4 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 7.1 assists, shooting 49.7% from the field and 46.9% from deep (15-of-32). http://www.oregonlive.com/blazers/index.... In his last four outings in Portland, James has been averaging a massive 39 points. Batum and company are going to struggle against a physically dominant LeBron James. This looks like the perfect opportunity for him to bounce back after a slightly subpar stretch recently. Generally speaking, LeBron tends to play better on the road, averaging about 2.4 more points away from home than he does at home. To make matters even better for him, Chris Bosh won't be in the lineup, which gives James even more freedom in the offensive sets. Therefore, the over 26.5 feels like a very realistic solution.

👍

I came in here intending to write up my own analysis, but since you beat me to the punch just to show some support, this is an excellent pick. 👍
wiredcanyon39 wiredcanyon39 Active Member
74 messages
joined Jul 2020
#300 ·
Griffin's already sitting on 10, and the LA Clippers have things totally under control. The only thing that’s gonna mess everything up for me is if Dwight Howard drops 31 points—just one guy like that can ruin the whole vibe.

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