Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion

Greuther Fürth vs. SC Freiburg @ 1.85

Freiburg could potentially lock in a spot in European competition next season regardless of how things shake out for HSV. Honestly? I think grabbing those crucial points here is a much cleaner path for them than grinding through that final match against Schalke. 🙂 As we already know, the home side is headed down to the G League next season, so they have zero real incentive here—other than maybe putting up a good fight just to say thanks to their fans. For Freiburg, though, there’s actually something on the line. ☕

US Championship,

Pecos – Szombathela Haladas 1 2,40 @ DraftKings

US Championship, four rounds remaining, featuring the matchup between Pecos and Szombathela Haladas.
The landscape of the league is largely settled regarding relegation battles and European qualification spots... Haladas is safe from the drop, as is Pecos, who could only theoretically face relegation if they lost every single match while Siofok—the other team fighting to stay up—managed to win all four games and overcome a massive 19-goal deficit... which, frankly, isn't happening, leaving both sides secure for next season.
What caught my eye here was the injury report for Haladas, which is quite devastating: they’ll be without Zoltan Feher (defender, starter), Daniel Rozsa (goalkeeper, key player), Gabor Rajos (midfielder, starter), and Krisztian Kanesei (forward, starter)... on top of those absences, they are also facing suspensions for Peter Toth (defender, key player), Peter Halmosi (midfielder, key player), and Bence Iszlai (midfielder, key player).
I suspect the Pecos squad will capitalize on the fact that seven starters from the Haladas lineup are sidelined, especially since the latter side seems to have mentally checked out already, allowing the home team to solidify their top-flight status for next year in front of their own fans...
At 2,40 on DraftKings, this looks like an opportunity that shouldn't be overlooked...

French Ligue 1

Valenciennes – Rennes 1 2,10 @ DraftKings

French Ligue 1, a matchup between Valenciennes and Rennes... With three rounds left, Rennes has already secured their top-tier status, and their recent performances have felt somewhat like a mere formality, almost as if they are already on vacation... They head into this away fixture against Valenciennes with that same relaxed mindset, whereas Valenciennes only needs two more points to mathematically guarantee their spot next season, making Rennes the ideal opponent to exploit.
Last week, they managed to snatch a point against PSG, but Rennes suffered a bruising 0-3 defeat at home against Nice.
For Valenciennes, the absence of key players like Anthony Le Thellec (forward, starter) and Pape Abdou Camara (midfielder, starter) will be felt, though their bench depth should cover the gaps reasonably well.
Rennes, however, is dealing with much heavier losses: Roman Denze (defender, starter), Kevin Teophile (defender, starter), Montano Caiced (forward, starter), and Alessandrini (midfielder, starter) are all out, alongside suspensions for Mavinga-Adebayor (defender, starter) and Vincent Payot (midfielder, starter).
It seems likely that Valenciennes will seize this moment to confirm their top-flight credentials before their home crowd, taking advantage of a Rennes side that is both depleted by injuries across nearly every position and seemingly preoccupied with their upcoming summer break...

Inverness CT vs Dundee Utd Over 2.5 goals @ 1.65

The visitors are absolutely gutted right now—they're heading out without four of their regular defensive starters:
Watson (29/2), Dillon (31/0), Gunning (25/3), and Douglas (27/1).
The home side is desperate for this win to lock down that third spot they’ve been clinging to... they've got just one point separating them from St. Johnstone at the moment, so they can't afford any slip-ups.
Dundee Utd is playing like absolute garbage lately—three straight losses in the Championship tier and showing up with basically no defense left. They're bottoming out, whereas Inverness is actually pretty solid at home... I mean, in their last 12 matches, the only time they even tasted defeat was against Celtic.

Looking back at their three meetings this season:
Feb 27, 2013, Inverness CT vs Dundee Utd 0-0
Dec 15, 2012, Dundee Utd vs Inverness CT 4-4
Sep 29, 2012, Dundee Utd vs Inverness CT 4-0

Expect a total shootout today because both sides are missing key pieces in the backline—home team is missing Warren and King, plus their keeper Esson—and since the hosts are hunting for the win while the visitors have nothing left to lose... things should get wild.
Honestly, taking the home team to score more than one goal isn't a bad shout either.😉


Hoffenheim vs HSV Over 2.5 goals @ 1.60

Hoffenheim is backed into a corner here—it's win or bust. They've already signaled they're going with an aggressive, attack-heavy lineup, so they'll be chasing a goal from the opening whistle... meanwhile, a relaxed HSV shouldn't just sit there and take it; they're still very much in the hunt for a Europa League spot, so this match should naturally spiral into an over scenario.
Since both squads are basically fighting for their lives...
the visitors can still grab that European berth, but only if they pull off a win.
For Hoffenheim, this is the big one—if they don't get the points here, they're looking at a serious fight just to stay out of the second division...

L.A. Galaxy vs. LAFC draw +3, 1.90

Away team scores over 1.5 goals, 1.62

The home side is just chilling right now, sitting comfortably in the middle of the standings... they’re probably gonna try to play some fancy football against the favorites today.
Real wants to finish this season on this massive heater—they’ve already got 6 wins in a row and the goal is to wrap up the league with 9 straight.
They’ve already hammered in 95 goals, and you know they’re itching to blow past that 100-goal mark just to keep pace with what the Lakers would do if it were basketball... they want that triple-digit glory.
Looking back at their last 10 matchups against L.A. Galaxy, they only walked away with a measly 1-0 win once—in every other single game, they’ve put up at least two.
It’s totally possible the coach might shuffle the lineup since there's a big trophy game coming up, but honestly, it doesn't matter... these guys can still outplay anyone and find the net. Plus, letting Real score? That’s basically just Tuesday for them at this point...
The first matchup between these two ended in a 2-2 deadlock in LA.

Bayer Leverkusen vs. Hannover 1

Look, you’ve got one of the absolute powerhouses in the league—a squad that absolutely rips it up at home—going up against one of those bottom-tier defenses that just can't seem to hold a line... honestly, it's almost unfair.
Leverkusen is missing:
Djourou, C. Schulz, Andreasen, Franca, Huszti, Stindl, Abdellaoue, and Ya Konan.
Home win.

Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund, Over 2.5 goals @ 1.85

We're hitting week 33 here... getting close to the end.
The final two weeks are all that's left for both sides—for Wolfsburg, this is their last stand on home turf, and for Dortmund, it's their final road trip of the season.
Wolfsburg is sitting comfortably mid-table, totally relaxed and playing without any pressure, whereas Dortmund? They're definitely locked in for that 2nd place spot.
The home side has been catching fire lately—playing super aggressive, high-octane offense—but man, they sure know how to waste a scoring chance when it counts... it's frustrating to watch sometimes.
When these two met over in Dortmund earlier this year, it was an absolute shootout... pure chaos... ended up with the visitors taking it 3:2 after Schmelzer got sent off way too early in the 35th minute.
I'm thinking the visitors are going to be looking for some serious revenge here, while the home crowd will be desperate to see their boys grind out a decent result before they head into the offseason.
Both squads are pretty much at full strength with no major injury headaches, so realistically, we should be looking at a high-scoring affair in Wolfsburg... expect goals.

Double chance @ 2.42

The Major League Soccer standings...

The odds on Sparta Prague to cover the spread against Mladá Boleslav are sitting at around 2.10 over at DraftKings... a rather interesting proposition for those watching the match...

By securing this victory, Sparta finds itself back in the title race, sitting just two points behind the leaders with only three matches left on the calendar...
Sparta fell at the final hurdle in their cup match against today's opponent just a few days ago, suffering a narrow 1-2 defeat at home that effectively ended their trophy ambitions... Now, their entire focus must shift toward the league title, where they’ll be chasing down the leaders who currently hold a five-point advantage and have even managed to play an extra game...
According to yesterday's updates from the club, the roster for this matchup will be significantly thinned out by the absence of Mario Holek and Tomas Zapotocny, both starting defenders currently sidelined by injury, while Leonard Kweuke is also unavailable due to suspension... leaving the starting lineup looking quite vulnerable.
On the other hand, Sparta will be facing off against the likes of Austin FC again, much like they did just three days ago... Having already secured their spot in the top flight, they find themselves comfortably stuck in the middle of the pack—not quite facing relegation, yet nowhere near a shot at those European qualifying spots... I suspect they’ve met their primary objective by reaching the cup final, where they'll be squaring off against San Jose on May 17th, which is only five days away...
The roster for this matchup shows a significant void in the defensive rotation, with five key starters currently sidelined... specifically, we're looking at an injury to Lukas Magera, our starting striker, alongside the absence of Radek Dosoudil, Petr Johana—who is serving a suspension—Jan Kysela, Tomas Janicek, and Radek Sirl, all of whom are primary fixtures in the backline...
The stakes for Sparta feel significantly higher in this matchup, and frankly, they have plenty of motivation to prove themselves... If they stumble here, their chances of catching up to the leaders and clinching the title might just evaporate entirely. They’ve got every reason to push forward, especially against a weakened defense like the one at MLS Portland, providing them a perfect opportunity to settle the score after that cup loss...
On the other hand, the focus in the headquarters is entirely fixed on that five-day window leading up to the cup final against the Seattle Sounders... and I suspect they won't be pushing the players too hard to avoid any unnecessary injuries or similar setbacks...
A victory for the Spartans seems quite plausible to me, much like seeing more than two and a half goals scored in the match, though I have ultimately decided to back a Spartan win by more than one goal... given that those specific defenders will be sidelined...

The American First Division...

The odds for a home win at Basel are sitting at 1.85 through DraftKings... an interesting proposition if one considers the current momentum...

With today's matchups, we'll finally wrap up the 32nd round of the Major League Soccer regular season. Looking at the game between FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC, there certainly won't be a lack of motivation from either side to secure a result...
The race for the top spot between the Red Sox and the Dodgers is becoming increasingly frantic, while over at the bottom, the Marlins are fighting tooth and nail just to stay ahead of the Athletics and avoid falling into total irrelevance...
Neither side has looked particularly sharp lately—Basel’s form is understandably shaky given they’ve been deep in the Europa League run, likely prioritizing those continental matches over their domestic schedule, whereas Servette has essentially been playing at full tilt all season...
The roster for the upcoming match shows that Basel has been forced to leave several key players out due to injury, including starting defenders Philipp Degen and Arlind Ajeti, while the status of starter Fabian Schar remains uncertain...
It seems Servette is still clinging to the hope that they can secure their spot in the league, refusing to throw in the towel just yet... Their recent home victory against Thun provided a small glimmer of light for their survival hopes...
The lineup for the upcoming match looks a bit thin after the latest injury report... they're missing Jerome Schneider at center back, Simone Grippo in the midfield rotation, and starter Steven Lang, along with Omar Kossoko up front, plus the suspension of starting midfielder Antonio Marcos De Azevedo leaves them even more shorthanded...
Anything other than a win for the Lakers would be a genuine shock, given that their sheer talent outweighs any recent slump in form... Having faced off against heavyweights like the Golden State Warriors in recent competition, they should have no trouble capitalizing on home turf to pull themselves closer to the championship title... I expect them to walk away with a comfortable victory, likely by more than a single goal...

Seattle Sounders vs LA Galaxy 5:30 PM 2@1.85

The home side is basically a circus right now. They kicked their head coach to the curb after the fans started making threats, and it’s been two weeks and still nobody in charge. So now, they've got two assistants running the show, but let's be real—they aren't exactly winning any trophies.
Last week was an absolute disaster. They took one of their worst beatings in years, getting absolutely shredded 5-1 by Portland. That loss pushed their goal difference to a pathetic 2-19. Total embarrassment.
To make matters worse, the injury list is looking like a damn hospital ward. Their top striker is out, plus another key attacker, and they’re also missing guys who have been sidelined for ages. It's a mess.
On the flip side, LA Galaxy is rolling. They’re still one of the toughest teams to beat in the league, and they just grabbed a solid point against a motivated San Jose Earthquakes last time out.
Galaxy is sitting in 4th with 15 points, while Seattle is trailing just behind with 17. If Galaxy pulls this off today, they jump straight to the top of the table and lock in those Champions League spots... and honestly, I don't see them blowing a golden opportunity like that against a Seattle squad that's dead last with only one measly point.


Manchester United - Swansea 10:00 AM 1@1.30

I feel like there isn't much to even say here...
Sir Alex Ferguson’s final home game should be a total celebration, period.
But the Scotsman is dealing with some headaches. He's down without Rafael, who got tossed for hitting David Luiz, and he’s also missing Young and Fletcher due to injuries. Then you've got Rooney, who basically told the club to sell him—United said no, but he might sit this one out regardless.
Swansea is walking into Old Trafford at a weird time. If they don't play their hearts out, United is going to steamroll them fueled by pure emotion. The Swans have been sliding lately; we already talked about how they haven't done much in the league since winning the League Cup. They showed they could hang with Man United earlier this season when they played them to a 1-1 draw at home—they actually looked better on the pitch but just couldn't finish. This time? Not gonna happen. They're playing without their top scorer, Michu, and their starting keeper is out too.

odds:2.40

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Augsburg over 2.5 goals @ 2.00

Both these squads have been absolutely tearing it up lately—just pure offensive firepower... nothing but high-scoring action recently.
Augsburg has completely turned things around under their new manager, and they’re heading into Frankfurt looking to grab a massive result—something that'll basically cement their spot in the Championship before the season even hits the home stretch.
On the flip side, Frankfurt took that tough loss out in Kaiserslautern, which pretty much killed any realistic shot at promotion... so now, if they want to save any face, they better wrap up this final stretch of the season with something decent to show their home fans.
They've been involved in ten straight games with goals—just constant scoring—and the visitors are coming in on a four-game winning streak, feeling themselves big time and thinking they can pull an upset here too.
Back when these two first met this season, Frankfurt went out there and cruised to a 3-1 win on the road.
I'm calling for more goals, though I wouldn't be surprised if this one ends up being a total nail-biter...🙄

LA Galaxy vs. LAFC over 2.5 goals @ 1.85

This matchup at the Rose Bowl should be one of those high-stakes showdowns where both squads just want to outdo each other for the hell of it.
Realistically, this game doesn't carry much weight beyond pure bragging rights—I mean, the Galaxy is sitting pretty in 3rd place while LAFC is already riding high as the reigning champs...
I’ve got a feeling the Galaxy is gonna be incredibly fired up to prove something against a powerhouse like this, whereas the visitors? They might just stroll in there with a bit of a "victory lap" mentality, celebrating that recent title... though honestly, I bet they'll still try to run up the score and hammer home as many goals as possible...

Last two meetings in LA:

Feb 26, 2012: LA Galaxy vs. LAFC 1:2
Sep 19, 2010: LA Galaxy vs. LAFC 1:2

Back when they first met this season on Dec 16, 2012, LAFC absolutely tore them apart with a 4:1 win.

23,55 LA Galaxy - Inter Miami 2 2,60 SS

I’m leaning towards taking the away win at those odds, though calling anything a "sure thing" these days is a stretch... 😁 LA Galaxy is having a season they'd probably rather forget, sitting way down in 11th place right now. Teams like Atlanta United, Portland Timbers, and Nashville SC have all taken points off them, including three straight wins against them on their own turf. They’re currently stuck in a three-game winless slump, and their last outing was an away match against LAFC where they lost a massive derby 3-2—and they actually led twice in that one. To make matters worse, they finished the game in the hole and got absolutely hammered by the refs with yellow cards 😁 and even two reds. My logic here is purely based on current form and the lineup issues LA Galaxy is dealing with today. Their star striker, Munoz (14 goals/8 assists), is out, and looking at the projected starting XI, you've got three guys who barely see any field time: L. Dominguez (1 goal/defense), M. Opazo (2 goals/midfield), and F. Lara (zero appearances/midfield). Honestly, they’ve been mediocre all year, and with these absences, I don't see them pulling anything away from Inter Miami today. On the flip side, Inter Miami is sitting third in the league, playing high-octane offensive soccer and aiming straight for the top. Their away record is 6-4-1-1, though I will say this might be their toughest road trip yet. Their last away win was a 2-0 against someone like D.C. United, but let's be real, that team is hit-or-miss, so it's not a great comparison for what we're seeing today. Inter Miami is going to come out aggressive. With teams like Seattle Sounders and FC Dallas breathing down their necks in the standings, they've got a relatively soft schedule right now, so I really believe they'll push hard to grab all three points and head home with the win.

slyhawk4 said:Major League Soccer...

Sparta Prague (-1) vs. Mladá Boleslav — Home win — 1 — Odds: 2.10 @ DraftKings...

By securing this win, Sparta has a genuine shot at getting back into the title race—bringing them within just two points of the leaders with only three matches left in the season...
Sparta played a cup match against this exact same opponent just a few days ago—and they dropped the second leg at home, 1-2... which effectively ended their shot at the trophy. Now, the cup is out of reach. All that remains for Sparta is the league title—and I suspect every single strategic move from here on out will be focused on catching up to the leaders... They’re currently trailing by five points, though the gap is even wider when you consider the leaders have a game in hand.
According to yesterday's updates from the club—Sparta will be facing some significant hurdles for this matchup... Mario Holek is out due to injury (starting defender), Tomas Zapotocny is also sidelined (another starter in defense), and Leonard Kweuke is serving a suspension—which leaves them without their starting striker as well.
On the other hand, Sparta will be facing Mladá Boleslav again—just like they did three days ago... They’ve already secured their spot in the top flight, sitting comfortably right in the middle of the standings. They aren't facing relegation, yet they aren't in the hunt for those Europa League qualifying spots either. I truly believe they achieved exactly what they set out to do by reaching the Cup final—where they'll go head-to-head against Jablonc on May 17th... which is only five days away.
The lineup for this matchup shows five key defensive gaps—and that's not even counting the offensive side... We’re looking at Lukas Magera out with an injury—he's a starting striker—plus Radek Dosoudil, who's a starting defender, and Petr Johana, also a starting defender, currently serving a suspension. On top of that, we have Jan Kysela, Tomas Janicek, and Radek Sirl—all starters—unavailable for selection... quite a blow to the backline.
The stakes for Sparta are significantly higher in this matchup—and they certainly have the motivation to match. If they slip up here, their chances of reaching the finals and clinching the championship title are essentially dead in the water... They have plenty to play for, especially since they’re facing a weakened Mladá Boleslav backline that offers the perfect opportunity to settle the score from their previous cup loss.
On the other hand—with everything focused on that five-day turnaround for the Cup final against the Jabloniec equivalent—I suspect they won't be pushing anyone too hard... they'll likely avoid risking any unnecessary injuries or anything like that...
I see a Sparta win looking pretty likely—and honestly, over 2.5 total goals feels like a safe bet too—but I’ve decided to go with Sparta to win by more than one goal... given that those specific defenders are out of the lineup.

I’d be cautious with this one—neither the Patriots nor the Jets have much of a history of playing with handicaps, and the Jets aren't exactly known for being the underdogs lately, especially when they head into New England. The last time that kind of imbalance happened back in 2007... since then, it's been two 1-0 wins for the Patriots, three 1-1 draws, and one 3-0 blowout for the Jets.

Regarding these absences—I’m not entirely sure where you're sourcing your data—but calling Janicki and Schiller starters is a stretch... at least for this season. Janicki has been sidelined with injuries for quite some time now; he’s only managed ten appearances all season, and even those were back in the fall. As for Schiller, his playing time hasn't improved much—he isn't even in the squad this spring. It’s clear he didn't meet their expectations, so he's heading back to the club in Prague. They have definitely weakened the roster—they have, certainly—especially considering they still have Miller, who is in his prime at just 37... 😁Johan probably won't see any playing time—given his injury status—but they’ll likely rely on that veteran presence at defensive midfield, David Jarolim. It’s a different outlook than their last match a few days ago, where Boleslav fell 2-1 in Prague... just missing Johan makes a difference. We should also keep in mind that young Boleslav always gets incredible support in Prague—it’s only about a thirty-minute drive for the fans to get there... 😉

I’m not saying a handicap isn't possible—certainly, the team will do everything in their power to secure those three points and stay in the title hunt—but personally, I wouldn't touch this for even a single dollar. Given how low the odds are, it’s just too much risk for too little reward...

Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers Over 3.5 @ 1.95

Look, both these squads play an absolute offensive style—they aren't afraid to leave themselves wide open just to get shots up... it's chaotic.
The home side, Seattle, is basically a goal machine lately, averaging about 3.1 goals per match, and honestly, every single one of their home games this season has blown past the over line. On the flip side, Portland is coming in with a 2.6 average, sitting at a 9:9 goal differential through 7 rounds... so they aren't exactly defensive specialists either.

If you look back at how these two matched up last season, the goals were practically guaranteed:
09/27/22, Portland vs. Seattle 2:2
05/13/22, Seattle vs. Portland 3:2

I’m calling it now—expect another shootout here... plenty of goals incoming.

Hey Roger Phillips, I was thinking about adding one of these two options to my picks for the Swedish matches, but I’m honestly having a hard time deciding which way to go... both home teams seem to score plenty when they play at their own stadiums, and those CSMS guys almost always manage to find the back of the net whenever they're playing away from home...
Since both games look like they could easily go over, I'm feeling a bit indecisive...
and man, check out these decent odds...
What do you think?🤷

Univ.Cluj(2,5)-CSMS Iaşi (13.05. 18:00) over 2,00

ZaglLubi(2,5)-GorZabrz (13.05. 18:30) over 1,90

Or maybe I should just bet on both, huh?

placideagle said:Doc, I’m looking at adding one of these two pairs to my Swedish picks, but I’m totally stuck... both home teams are scoring like crazy when they play at home, and then you’ve got CSMS—those guys practically guarantee at least one goal almost every single time they play away...
Both games look like total over territory, so I can't decide...
And man, check out those odds...
What do you think?🤷

Universitatea Cluj (2.5) - CSMS Iași (13.05. 6:00 PM) over 2.00
Zagłębie Lubin (2.5) - Górnik Zabrze (13.05. 6:30 PM) over 1.90

Or should I just hammer both, huh?

Well, like you're pointing out, CSMS Iași is all about the goals because they're playing desperate, damn near hopeless soccer trying to avoid relegation... I guess that's why their matches are always such high-scoring messes...

In the first leg, Universitatea Cluj absolutely crushed them at home, 4-0.
Easily the most convincing win of their entire season...🤣

Good luck😉

Eric Fox7 said:Troyes vs. Bordeaux 2 @ 2.30
X2 @ 1.30 postponed due to rain

It’s kind of like that situation we saw in the Russian league—cup semifinals, single-leg knockout, high stakes. You've got Troyes in a massive hole, trailing by 4 points in the relegation battle with just three games left on the schedule, facing off against Bordeaux, who are sitting pretty right in the middle of the table. Bordeaux has been looking solid lately—five games without a loss—and the home side isn't doing too bad either, picking up three wins in their last four. Honestly, Troyes are basically written off, but they're fighting for survival now. They need a win this weekend away at Ajax to stay alive, and they're actually hoping today's opponents can do them a favor against a tough Nancy side. That’s exactly why I’m playing this card. Plus, these two meet again next week, so Bordeaux might just ease off a bit today if it means securing that cup advancement later. 🤔

at 8:55 PM, 257 Troyes-Bordeaux 2 @ 2.20

X2 @ 1.30

The odds have dipped slightly to @ 2.20 (though X2 hasn't budged), but I'm sticking to my guns from last week. Troyes is in decent shape, sure, but everything for them boils down to staying in the league. They took the first step toward that with a win over Ajax, but they aren't out of the woods yet. The reality is, they don't have total control of their destiny, and interestingly enough, today's opponent plays an even bigger role in their fight for survival. Since they face them again next round, I wouldn't be surprised if they'd trade today's result for a league win down the road—especially since Bordeaux hosts a direct relegation rival, Evian, in the final match.

So, combining this with a single, here’s what I’m looking at:

sub 9:00 PM, 330 Troyes-Bordeaux 1 @ 2.40

That brings the total to @ 5.28 😲

Arsenal vs. Wigan (14.05. 20:45) f+2@2.00

Time to get to work 🙂. Arsenal is still keeping their eyes on that Champions League spot; they have two games left in hand, though they’re currently trailing Tottenham by two points. On the other side, Wigan is in quite a predicament, particularly with a glaring lack of defensive depth in their lineup:
R. Stam D
M. Figueroa D
Ramis D
J. Beausejour M
I’ll admit, Arsenal hasn't exactly been playing at their peak lately, which might ultimately cost them that Champions League berth, but I suspect they won't go down without a fight. Meanwhile, Wigan is fighting tooth and nail just to stay in the league—though, to be fair, they did manage to pull off an upset against Manchester City in the FA Cup just three days ago. However, if you look back at the head-to-head matchups when Arsenal is playing at home, things tend to lean heavily toward the handicap.

I also wouldn't be surprised to see the over hit here. Arsenal (-2+) vs. Wigan (14.05. 20:45) over @1.50

Man Utd 21/Away +3 Liverpool 21 (14.05. 20:00) no @1.70-Man Utd

Manchester United boasts one of the stingiest defenses in the league, having conceded only 10 goals (trailing only Everton, who gave up 8). Historically, United has held their own quite well against Liverpool; looking at their last seven meetings, they’ve only tasted defeat once. Furthermore, whenever United has hosted Liverpool in these matchups, the visitors have struggled to find the back of the net, with the exception of their most recent league meeting. This match is a direct path to the final—though I am somewhat unclear if they are playing a single leg or a two-legged series. Given that United has surrendered only one goal in their last six home matches, it feels worth considering:

Man Ut/Liver/draw-Liverpool 21 (14.05. 20:00) no draw @2.90

Seattle Sounders vs FC Dallas 1,25

The top dogs at Seattle are heading out to face a seriously underwhelming Dallas squad.
Dallas was basically the laughingstock of MLS last season—honestly, they only kept their spot in the big leagues because some startup franchise in Portland folded right before the season kicked off.
Last year, they got absolutely demolished by Seattle in all four matchups. Every single time.

04/26/13, Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas 2 : 0
09/22/12, FC Dallas - Seattle Sounders 0 : 3
08/25/12, Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas 5 : 1
06/16/12, FC Dallas - Seattle Sounders 0 : 2

I’m expecting a total blowout, just like before... nothing changes.


St. Louis City vs Atlanta United under 1,65

It's the second leg of the US Open Cup final. The first match wrapped up in St. Louis with a 1-1 draw.
Because of that away goal rule, the home side definitely holds the upper hand here.

Atlanta already managed to snag the MLS Cup title this season, so this trophy would just be a little victory lap—extra icing on the cake for them.

St. Louis has been decent enough, though if it wasn't for this cup run, they'd be having a miserable season... which means they're coming into this one incredibly hungry and motivated to win it all.
St. Louis isn't going to go flying forward recklessly; they'll play it smart and stay disciplined. They've only conceded 5 goals in 14 home games, and I really think in the biggest game of their year, they aren't going to gamble on an offensive shootout. Especially since a 0-0 draw still keeps their hopes alive... so I'm leaning towards a low-scoring affair.

double odds 2,06

Roger Phillips said:Most Wanted-Steelers under 1.65

It’s the second leg of the US Open Cup final. The first match ended in a 1-1 draw over in Chicago.
The home team basically holds all the cards right now because of that away goal advantage.

On this other matchup, the odds were sitting at about 1.6 for a draw at most local US sportsbooks, and honestly, things were moving fast—it stayed like that for maybe ten minutes after the books opened up before they just pulled the plug on it entirely. You can't even place a bet on this game here anymore, so I'm guessing you guys are seeing the same thing where the markets are totally frozen.

It isn't blocked—X is sitting at $2.00 in the Lottery, though I really don't see the logic behind Široki cutting a deal with Želj 🤷🤔

Robert Scott39 said:For that other matchup, the odds were set at about 1.6 for a draw—at least according to the betting lines over at some of the local sportsbooks out here...

I mean, it’s probably because a 0-0 tie works perfectly for the home team... keeps things safe for them, I guess.🤷