Brenda Taylor13 said:Revenger, how do you see the timeline playing out—basically the lifespan of the EU in our neck of the woods over the next 5 to 10 years? What’s the forecast for 2016, 2017... maybe even 2025? How do you see the whole process unfolding within the EU?
If you ask me—and I'm no expert, mind you—the EU project basically signed its own death warrant the second it stopped being a community of sovereign nations (the EZ) joined together for free trade and better competition, back in 1993 at Maastricht, and morphed into this political project aimed at becoming a full-blown Euro-federation with one unified policy for everything. Which, let's be honest, is just absurd. In my book, that was the beginning of the end for the Europe we've known since WWII. I think we're headed for some seriously wild times. After what felt like a super boring twenty-year stretch where absolutely nothing happened in Europe, I reckon the next 5 to 10 years are going to be incredibly turbulent—we're talking changes on a scale we haven't seen since the Treaty of Versailles. It’s going to be a hell of a ride watching which way things swing.
A forced attempt at federalization following the signing of TTIP (if it even happens). I wouldn't be surprised if they try to push through a new Lisbon Treaty to officially declare itself the EU constitution.
New waves of immigrants with no real solutions in sight. Economic collapse across all the southern nations, and maybe the Visegrád Group becomes an official alliance (if God wills it, including America). Destabilization of the German economy by wrecking the auto industry, Bosch, and Siemens; an EU crisis, unrest in Germany, political maneuvering, and finally, Merkel stepping down. We might see the creation of two or three separate blocs within the EU, or maybe, I say maybe, abandoning the dollar one day. Honestly, it wouldn't surprise me if Germany already has Deutsche Marks printed and ready.
The UK will either leave the EU or get some special status within two years max—basically a state within a state. NATO won't be expanding anymore. A failed attempt at a new war in Ukraine that ends in a total catastrophe for the Kyiv regime. Ukraine becomes a federation with military neutrality. An attempt to bring Sweden and Finland into NATO that fails. Poland grows stronger.
Russia definitely wins in Syria. The Middle East turns into a massive slaughterhouse between the West and Russia. Proxy wars between Iran and Saudi Arabia. The Russians will try to win over all the Orthodox nations. We'll see how successful they are.
If America experiences a total collapse of its Middle East strategy, it will pivot toward the Pacific. There will be attempts to destabilize China via the Uyghur and efforts to tear apart the Chinese-Russian alliance. But, I guess, it probably won't work.
Inside the EU, nationalist and anti-American forces will strengthen. Germany, and perhaps France and Italy, will eventually openly defy Americans.
The EU might survive, but it’ll look nothing like it does today. They'll have to tie themselves to Russia energetically, otherwise, the EU economy just vanishes.
The US and the UK will likely form their own Anglo-American bloc. BRICS and other nations will form a second group, and Europe will be split apart.
Exactly what you wrote. It either goes back to the pre-Maastricht state or it falls apart.
I expect the UN to be moved out of New York.